US FED implied probability for a rate hike or a rate cut at present date.
S&P 500 decomposition by the 11 sectors with stocks above 200 day moving averages ...
S&P 500 decompostion by the 11 sectors above 20 day moving averages ...
4 x Advance Decline Line type Indicators for SPX market... updated version
some indexes ratios to evaluate the index markets ....
US core CPI vs Fed Funds in periods of high inflation ... The Fed has always cut BEFORE core CPI peaked as the chart suggests
Inflation YoY vs Fed Fund Proxy in the 1940s ... No need to lift rates do match inflation .... something to think about it
Inflation Expectation relative to US Bonds vs residential mortgages relative home construction Shelter is the most big CPI part of the index...
10yr and 5yr inflation expectations - breakeven ... FED 2 % target rate ... means at 2 % they pause ...
Is 158 the magic number of the MOVE index (bond volatility) for the fed to cut rates ? .... A simple analysis... just a pity this index hasn't a bigger historical price range....
US recession indicators. Yield Curve Inversion part 3 ...
Yield Curve of the US Free Markets 10Y-30Y Combination part 4
Dollar index major currencies combination 1 minute resolution, using currency markets for finding inflection points in the stock market
US recession indicators, very handy.. Yield Curve Inversion, Data used is the most long US treasury bond yield spread for recession prediction 3 month to 30 years, better than 2 year to 10 year maturities that is more often used for analysis.
Another TD sequential with divergence many other indicators.... and lowry upside vol 90 %
Fed Funds and Divergences with Eurodollar spread and US Bonds spreads
Fed Funds and Divergences with Eurodollar spread and US Bonds spreads
Nasdaq 1 minute resolution view ... with different OBVs for bond - stock comparison flows ....