JohnConaway

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Joined USA JohnConaway
Markets Allocation
59 % stocks 32 % forex 3 % commodities 6 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDJPY 14% | 5 SPY 11% | 4 BABA 8% | 3 AUDJPY 8% | 3
JohnConaway JohnConaway AUDUSD, 240,
AUDUSD: 2 Potential Patterns - Patience
50 1 2
AUDUSD, 240
2 Potential Patterns - Patience

In Yellow in a potential Deep Crab that has completed & could retrace (fibs on trace). However, I am more found of the potential 707 Butterfly that is almost complete here & could catch some folks offsides with the run to new highs post-Brexit. The break from the X-A leg works really well for these patterns, too (great Harmonic reactions). I'm neutral until a more ...

JohnConaway JohnConaway USDJPY, 240,
USDJPY: Long $USDJPY if B point is closed above
93 0 4
USDJPY, 240
Long $USDJPY if B point is closed above

We have a *Potential*Bat here that is not yet active. If you are OK with playing C-D legs then you can wait for a convincing close above $103.4 B point. ABCD completes at $105.846 & full pattern completes at 106.868. Traditional way to play this is to wait for full completion & enter short on confirmed reaction (negative divergence or strong push from completion ...

JohnConaway JohnConaway AUDJPY, 240, Short ,
AUDJPY: Crab Retrace Potential (ABCD hit only)
69 1 1
AUDJPY, 240 Short
Crab Retrace Potential (ABCD hit only)

Retrace levels in green, pother levels of potential support marked as well. Possibility of tagging 27.2 then going back up to complete pattern fully. Stay nimble

JohnConaway JohnConaway AUDJPY, 240, Long ,
AUDJPY: Bearish Crab
46 1 3
AUDJPY, 240 Long
Bearish Crab

My view at the moment. Resistance points, confluence, & patterns noted on chart

JohnConaway JohnConaway AUDJPY, W, Long ,
AUDJPY: $AUDJPY completed Bullish Bat
110 5 2
AUDJPY, W Long
$AUDJPY completed Bullish Bat

It goes against the grain of current market rhetoric but the large Bullish Bat has hit it's lowest target (75.764) & showed a good reaction from it (as well as the other major points in the PRZ including a 161.8% ext.). RSI (14) shows bullish divergence potential here as well as this new low in price is not matched with a new low in RSI. The last 3 pivot lows are ...

JohnConaway JohnConaway AUDCAD, 240, Long ,
AUDCAD: IH&S Attempt with Crab
33 0 1
AUDCAD, 240 Long
IH&S Attempt with Crab

Needs to break B point to activate fully. Notes on chart

JohnConaway JohnConaway USDCAD, 240, Short ,
USDCAD: Potential Bullish Crab forming on $USDCAD
103 0 2
USDCAD, 240 Short
Potential Bullish Crab forming on $USDCAD

Here is a potential C-D leg forming of a Bullish Crab. It would not 'activate' until the B point (May 26th low) is broken/closed. Indicators have been confirming at each point with solid reactions at the turns. The completion target also works well with my noted confluence. A break of the C point (June 2nd high) invalidates pattern & probably means a longer term ...

JohnConaway JohnConaway USDJPY, D,
USDJPY: Daily $USDJPY
29 0 0
USDJPY, D
Daily $USDJPY

So, taking you a bit through my thought process. I've noted some of my fave candle patterns on the chart (3 Inside/Outsides). Whether they fail or confirm they usually give me some good tells. Also to note, in the grand scheme of things, technically the Bullish Bat (green) is still in play (large daily pattern). It didn't hit full target until 4/29 but that was ...

JohnConaway JohnConaway USDJPY, W, Short ,
USDJPY: $USDJPY looking for possible continued weakness
48 0 1
USDJPY, W Short
$USDJPY looking for possible continued weakness

Looking at prior history (left) on this Weekly chart you can see that we're at an important area here. We can see that the Bat completed, but failed to even break to a full 27.2% retrace. We then continued on down to fully complete the H&S pattern (& 200% ext); yet again, failed to retrace even 27.2% before a low NFP pushed it back down to retest prior lows area. ...

JohnConaway JohnConaway USDJPY, 120, Short ,
USDJPY: Testing update
45 0 3
USDJPY, 120 Short
Testing update

Testing update function to Twitter

JohnConaway JohnConaway USDJPY, 120, Short ,
USDJPY: $USDJPY Full Pattern Retrace & confluence test
54 0 4
USDJPY, 120 Short
$USDJPY Full Pattern Retrace & confluence test

Although this pattern did NOT hit full target of $111.479 it looks to be in full retrace mode. In combination with multiple candle formations I'm looking for at least a retest/pause of noted confluence, and a push for $108.3. If we hit that area I will re-evaluate. My area of risk would be about $110.6-75 (tolerance dependent, close or breach).

JohnConaway JohnConaway GLD, 960,
GLD: Some thoughts on $GLD Gold
226 0 4
GLD, 960
Some thoughts on $GLD Gold

May be a chance for consolidation/pullback here to break through this high traffic area. "Overbot" conditions support some cooling off is possible.

JohnConaway JohnConaway DECK, W,
DECK: test
7 0 1
DECK, W
test

test

JohnConaway JohnConaway BABA, D,
BABA: $BABA Possibilities
60 0 1
BABA, D
$BABA Possibilities

A few possibilities here, depending on which way it breaks out of this potential pennant . The stalling at the top of the smaller pennant tells me that maybe it hasn't tested it's real bottom yet, which would fit well with the pink Gartley. This area has been congested for $BABA all year, so I believe a break, either way, could move fast; especially with Earnings ...

JohnConaway JohnConaway GOOGL, 120,
GOOGL: Starting look
34 0 2
GOOGL, 120
Starting look

Initial look at Alphabet. Watching for move past B/C points

JohnConaway JohnConaway GER30, 240,
GER30: Interesting Point
318 3 4
GER30, 240
Interesting Point

I'd like to see one of these B points to be fully broken. Break to the upside would be a nice play for a Bat, minimum

JohnConaway JohnConaway NFLX, 60, Long ,
NFLX: Good spot for a bounce attempt
55 0 2
NFLX, 60 Long
Good spot for a bounce attempt

There's some good symmetry (time & price) & a couple of patterns trying to play out here. If we hold above the low from 12/14 for a nice move up, with possible rejection points along the way. For support, the green line must hold for a potential new pattern to come into play. for resistance, watch the B points of the patterns as well as the extensions (in black). ...

JohnConaway JohnConaway AAPL, 60, Long ,
AAPL: Time, Price, & Pattern appear to be lining up for $AAPL
98 0 2
AAPL, 60 Long
Time, Price, & Pattern appear to be lining up for $AAPL

Time, Price, & Pattern appear to be lining up for $AAPL for a measure bounce. Resistance areas & support marked on chart

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