KlendathuCap

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About me I run a very small hedge fund and have a blog detailing some of my thoughts.
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Markets Allocation
63 % stocks 16 % forex 5 % indices 16 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
XLF 4% | 2 KRE 4% | 2 SPY 4% | 2 USDJPY 4% | 2
KlendathuCap KlendathuCap RY, D, Short ,
RY: RY time to fall?
34 0 4
RY, D Short
RY time to fall?

The Canadian economy is on a shaky foundation. And finally the Canadian banks look a bit wobbly.

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap USDAUD, 240, Short ,
USDAUD: Aussie Dollar Weakness
20 0 5
USDAUD, 240 Short
Aussie Dollar Weakness

It's time for the dollar to flex its muscles over the weak suburb of China that is Australia.

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap HDB, M,
HDB: HDB, waiting for a buying opportunity in Indian Banks
21 0 5
HDB, M
HDB, waiting for a buying opportunity in Indian Banks

Modi's demonetization effort has bit the Indian economy quite hard. Perhaps there is a case to be made from a long term perspective that the banking sector is a buy after the recent sell off. Given the technicals and on going chaos, I'm going to wait and see if a better buying opportunity emerges. Possible targets are the parole black lines.

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap IEV, W, Long ,
IEV: Bullish Europe IEV
25 0 2
IEV, W Long
Bullish Europe IEV

I spy an inverse H&S pattern. Bullish on Europe. Technicals look good. Check out my blog for more information. https://klendathucapitalist.com/2016/12/13/another-head-fake-why-the-euro-may-go-higher/ https://klendathucapitalist.com/2016/12/24/predictions-for-2017-shit-escalates/

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap RBS, W, Long ,
RBS: Bullish European Banks RBS
28 0 5
RBS, W Long
Bullish European Banks RBS

I believe inflation is about to rip through the EU and push yields higher, breathing new life into the banking sector. For more information please read: https://klendathucapitalist.com/2016/12/24/predictions-for-2017-shit-escalates/

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap US10Y, D, Short ,
US10Y: US 10yr Looking to Retest key multi-year trendling
20 0 5
US10Y, D Short
US 10yr Looking to Retest key multi-year trendling

Bearish momentum divergence. The rise of long term yields on the Fed meeting was comical and offered a great opportunity to get long US bonds at least for a short term trade.

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap XLF, D, Short ,
XLF: Bearish US Financials $XLF $KRE
14 0 4
XLF, D Short
Bearish US Financials $XLF $KRE

Yield curve is flattening with each rate hike as the short term floor is hiked higher. Not a stable environment for better loan growth. These are the leaders, do people really expect a hand off back to FANG?

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap XAUJPY, W,
XAUJPY: Big move in XAUJPY coming soon to a theater near you
14 0 4
XAUJPY, W
Big move in XAUJPY coming soon to a theater near you

I've never seen such a coiled spring in all my life. Trading in a 4+ year channel, on top of a triple symmetrical triangle on shrinking time horizions and now a 4 week channel as well. I mean I do not know what else to say. This thing is going to blow like mount saint hellen and to which direction do not know.

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap USDJPY, W, Short ,
USDJPY: Long Yen/Short Nikkei
120 1 4
USDJPY, W Short
Long Yen/Short Nikkei

The dollar is likely to hit a short term peak as expectations of THREE rate hikes slowly melt away. US treasuries are due for a significant rally. Have a good day folks this just looks too pretty.

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap KRE, M, Short ,
KRE: Hedging A Black Swan: KRE
10 0 2
KRE, M Short
Hedging A Black Swan: KRE

I believe now is the appropriate time to begin hedging for huge Black swan style events. This near vertical run in the KRE banking index is now above the 07 highs. It tried to break above the +8 year long channel but failed. I expect a much lower retest. At the very least, I believe low delta long duration put options on this ETF to be a very cheap trap that ...

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap XAUUSD, 240, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold Bottoming?
68 0 3
XAUUSD, 240 Long
Gold Bottoming?

Gold appears to be making a short term bottom on the 4 hour chart. I'm looking to buy some miners for leverage here.

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap KRE, D, Short ,
KRE: KRE, Banking Momentum Diverges From "reality"
4 0 4
KRE, D Short
KRE, Banking Momentum Diverges From "reality"

Slowly scaling into financials. I admit I may be booking myself into the spa for a "face-lift" but the risk reward seems skewed in my favor to take a stab here.

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap EWT, 2D, Short ,
EWT: Short Taiwan EWT
9 0 4
EWT, 2D Short
Short Taiwan EWT

Taiwan's fate is intertwined with China's. China is tightening liquidity in the country to try and temper inflation. This should reverberate through the rest of the world over the next month or so. Taiwan looks technical week on a daily and monthly basis.

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap EURUSD, M,
EURUSD: EURUSD
21 0 3
EURUSD, M
EURUSD

Interesting momentum on EUR/USD. See the inverse of this pattern in the DXY. Could be in for a bit of rally in the Euro to catch the dollar bulls offsides.

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap XLF, D, Short ,
XLF: Bearish XLF
11 0 4
XLF, D Short
Bearish XLF

I may regret this, but damn does this look pig look ugly. There's a lot of Trump brand lipstick on it don't get me wrong, but this rally is just too far for me not to take a stab.

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap PRU, M, Short ,
PRU: Are people still bullish? $PRU
24 0 3
PRU, M Short
Are people still bullish? $PRU

Are people still bullish? I'm confused...

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap SPX, W, Short ,
SPX: Transitioning to Risk-OFF Inflationary Environment
112 0 5
SPX, W Short
Transitioning to Risk-OFF Inflationary Environment

We are about to transition from a risk-ON inflationary environment to a risk-OFF inflationary environment. That means bond yields might fall even though inflation is rising. The US has been a huge beneficiary of the risk-ON move and as a result should see outflows. That means lower equities, and a weaker dollar. Given a falling dollar, rising inflation, and ...

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap CL1!, D, Short ,
CL1!: I'm Short OPEC
113 0 4
CL1!, D Short
I'm Short OPEC

They cheap over 70% of the time. Libya has just announced to add 300k barrels per day of output. I'm hedging this position with a consumer discretionary company GCO short. If oil rises or stays flat on a YoY basis oil will be 40-60% higher. The consumer will thus be hammered and my short should pay off. If oil falls, the consumer looks weak regardless. Higher ...

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