Lena_W3

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Last visit Joined 4 years ago Lena_W3
Markets Allocation
51 % forex 24 % stocks 8 % cryptocurrency 16 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 34% | 17 AAPL 10% | 5 XAUUSD 10% | 5 DB 8% | 4
Lena_W3 Lena_W3 BTCUSD, W, Short , 2 months ago
BTCUSD: BYE BYE BITCOIN. Without ATH it is done.
187 0 5
BTCUSD, W Short
BYE BYE BITCOIN. Without ATH it is done.

My last long call is over two years old. I was surprised by the extend of the up move. But now I see a 64 BTC/$ target. So be careful with new longs. The scenario is dead with new all-time-highs. And they should come fast. I am not trading the bitcoins.

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 XAUUSD, 60, 5 months ago
XAUUSD: Where is my data? Empty charts for days now...
67 5 0
XAUUSD, 60
Where is my data? Empty charts for days now...

For some day now, I do not get any data anymore. Any idea? Only empty charts. No matter what...

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 DB, D, Short , a year ago
DB: DB in $. Short near the end. EW at its best.
52 0 0
DB, D Short
DB in $. Short near the end. EW at its best.

As a reminder, please look at the old chart idea down at the links. Price action and elliottwave at its best. The old longer short target was 16 $. But from the waves I cannot see an end to it. I wait for a long signal, a wave is finished formation, to try to catch the next big move long. How to trade? Short positions stops bring closer, long positions not yet, ...

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 BTCUSD, W, a year ago
BTCUSD: BitCoins: "<300 Bites The Dust." vs. ">500 Happy Party People."
90 0 0
BTCUSD, W
BitCoins: "<300 Bites The Dust." vs. ">500 Happy Party People."

Sorry, folks, my last BitCoin analysis was too eager. It took much longer then expected. And now BitCoin is - in my waver eyes - in a make or break situation. If it goes below 300, the chances are good, that it will never come back, maybe a long time to say goodbye, but a goodbye forever. If it gets back on track and does a new high over 500, then BitCoin ...

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 CL1!, D, a year ago
CL1!: THE END IS NEAR. WTI should build a bottom. Oil Rally in 2016?
511 0 7
CL1!, D
THE END IS NEAR. WTI should build a bottom. Oil Rally in 2016?

After being strong short on oil since August 2014 (see the green arrow... YES, no kidding...), I am expecting the WTI to rock bottom right at or little under 30 $. Two more lows and then there should be a bottom formation, preferably an ending diagonale triangle. Alternative: If not, under 10 $ is on the table (but that I do not see). So I am changing oil from ...

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 EURUSD, 180, 2 years ago
EURUSD: EURUSD. A warning sign. Chance for EUR revival.
206 0 2
EURUSD, 180
EURUSD. A warning sign. Chance for EUR revival.

From an Elliott Wave perspective there is room for discussion. The wave pattern for the first time for some years show, that the EUR could become bullish. It is a real possibility. But not a safe bet. Shortterm a short, but medium neutral. Check out my former ideas. This is NOT as safe as these, but I told you, I would say something, when I see more.

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 BTCUSD, D, Long , 2 years ago
BTCUSD: BitCoin. Comeback Baby. Time for (false?) hopes.
769 7 6
BTCUSD, D Long
BitCoin. Comeback Baby. Time for (false?) hopes.

BitCoins are crazy volatile and not easy to trade, at least it feels like this to me. So this is just for fun. If you look into the chart from a Elliott-Wave perspective, then it could be time for some long movement. False hope if you ask me from my fundamental view, but anyway, something like 700-xx should be possible. If we see one lower low, it could be even ...

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 EURUSD, D, Short , 2 years ago
EURUSD: EURUSD. Draghis Last Stand. Part 6. The EUR tide hits target.
381 1 3
EURUSD, D Short
EURUSD. Draghis Last Stand. Part 6. The EUR tide hits target.

My longterm target is done. Faster then expected, but I was sure it will. Now it was hit. But. Right now, I can see no end. Two possible points in the chart, but no signs that would support any of them. Basically the 1,07 is a "good" looking target, the 1:1 is the magic number target. But. I am totally unsure where this will end. When I am sure Part 7 will ...

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 EURUSD, D, Short , 2 years ago
EURUSD: EURUSD. Draghis Last Stand. Part 5. Awesome FX.
357 0 1
EURUSD, D Short
EURUSD. Draghis Last Stand. Part 5. Awesome FX.

EURUSD was THE trade of 2014. The 4. try got the whale. Right on the topping day in March 2014. So here a little update on the EURUSD. Still no bottom to be seen, but from an Elliott Wave perspective the needed is done. Everything else is just the icing on the cake. 1,10 is not too far away, only 8 cents... but the thing running now for over 3000 pips. Check ...

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 XAUUSD, D, Short , 2 years ago
XAUUSD: Gold. AU. Goldbugs Panic Mode On.
94 0 0
XAUUSD, D Short
Gold. AU. Goldbugs Panic Mode On.

It is a awful time since 2011 for fundamental Goldbugs. Everyone else can look more calm. It looks like I can buy gold for around the neck next year again. From the hight's of 1900 $ Gold was pretty beaten down. Around 10xx $ and 800 $ I see two places for turnarounds to new highs. The 1200 were pretty strong but broken now. A little chance for 10xx to bottom ...

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 DB, D, 2 years ago
DB: Deutsche shorter or longer short. Revisited.
35 0 0
DB, D
Deutsche shorter or longer short. Revisited.

Wow. This one was spot on. See link below. From 50,80 to 31,76. Couldn't be more happy for the analysis, sadly I did throw the trade away, way too early. So why now the revisiting. Because. The green line could start, so at least the stops should be brought closer, or parts taken of the table. The 35 could be a nice stop. My wave sentiment: So neutral to short. ;)

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 SPX, D, 2 years ago
SPX: SPX and VIX. Signs of Trouble. Now?
218 1 3
SPX, D
SPX and VIX. Signs of Trouble. Now?

As you can see the "First sign of deep shit trouble" indicator is moving into the alarming area. The chart is only marginally changed from the first one (link below). But the VIX now NOT long anymore, and not yet short. Neutral with potential, I would say.

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 EURUSD, D, Short , 2 years ago
EURUSD: EURUSD. Draghis Last Stand. Part 4. Yipiiiaheh Schweinebacke.
219 2 1
EURUSD, D Short
EURUSD. Draghis Last Stand. Part 4. Yipiiiaheh Schweinebacke.

As can be seen in the chart the red marker was spot on. I do not paint these things just for fun, but when they hit the mark like this, it is extremely fascinating. :)

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 EURUSD, 240, Short , 2 years ago
EURUSD: EURUSD. DRAGHIS LAST STAND AT 1,4000. PART3. Coordination Point.
246 0 0
EURUSD, 240 Short
EURUSD. DRAGHIS LAST STAND AT 1,4000. PART3. Coordination Point.

As you can see with the attached links, that one went well. Why the update? Because I do not do the market, we all do, and with all due respect, I can see one possibility that is noteworthy. But to be sure, weekly I am still strong short on this pair, at 1,3550 I have to reconsider, at 1,40 well, then it is too late anyway. So besides all the short load I carry ...

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 GG1!, M, 2 years ago
GG1!: Euro Bund Future. The End is Near. Big Big Pic Wise.
84 0 1
GG1!, M
Euro Bund Future. The End is Near. Big Big Pic Wise.

A nice scenario for the Bundfuture. Actually it looks great, I love it. From 151 - 156 is the target area, then it will go down. Sorry, cannot be more specific, but if you ask, 152,85 sounds great. But will take some more time and with new moves, the matrix will show. ;) More fractals needed, but in the Big Big Picture, the end is pretty close.

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 FB, 120, Short , 2 years ago
FB: FB. Room 44. Then next floor.
123 1 2
FB, 120 Short
FB. Room 44. Then next floor.

FB is not my favorite share. Fundamentally I do not understand its value. Totally not. Then the late IPO, tons of pre IPO VC investments, employees loaded with shares. A lot looking for profitable exits. So this should be a share, that could be hit hard when the tide will go. But maybe not yet. The patterns: the inner structure of the wave show a nice likelihood ...

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 SPX, D, 2 years ago
SPX: SPX and VIX. Signs of Trouble. Revisited.
212 1 4
SPX, D
SPX and VIX. Signs of Trouble. Revisited.

Just a bloop until know, but keep it on your radars... VIX super low. Stuff is brewing but nothing more... Do not front run deep shit trouble.

Lena_W3 Lena_W3 EURUSD, 240, Short , 2 years ago
EURUSD: EURUSD. Draghis Last Stand at 1,4000. Part2
247 0 0
EURUSD, 240 Short
EURUSD. Draghis Last Stand at 1,4000. Part2

As shown in the link below, the analysis finally worked. Trading was also nice, but not too good, as no gas station available on the way down... so sadly no multiple entries. To the patterns: As seen in the pic, I favor the pink 2/b finished. But, still room for a longer and higher 2/b, please keep in mind. The scenario for EURUSD 1:1 is full intact and on a ...

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