About meI'm a digital nomad software engineer and investor from San Francisco. I have been tracking this everything bubble for a few years. And trying to position myself to survive the crash, and maybe profit.
S&P 500 finally has a setup. And FED balance sheet is magically still going down. Let's get in here.
In the news now, we see that Trump's tax returns may be made public, but probably not, at least not before the election. But the real news now is the liquidity. FED isn't printing. Congress hasn't started flooding liquidity from the Treasury General Account.
Stock market crash on the S&P. Here's some technical analysis and fundamentals on the S&P with my full bubble model and bubble bull market support lines.
Head over to MMT Investing on YouTube to see all my videos.
Any Elliott Wave people out there want to take a look at this expanded flat pattern, as we approach the 200-day moving average around 3000 on the S&P 500. Major bear market top resistance. What do you think is going to happen? Could be a dramatic overnight trading session and big important day tomorrow. To see if we stay in the bear market area, or cross over into...
Stock market rally. Big gap up to open Monday, and parabolic rally. This messes up most people's technical analysis formations and Elliott Waves they had projected. But I have a different cyclical model to take a look at. We have the amazing double rainbow here. And we'll see exactly how that ties into the fundamentals, cyclicals, and technicals. Are we done with...
Here's a look at inflation during the crash, the following bear market, and then some ideas past that. Basically deflation during the crash, then inflation should keep increasing from there over the next 3 years, and the next 20 years.
This is looking at the dollar situation during this crash. And some other dollar risk situations. Definitely long the dollar during the crash. Long the DXY dollar index against other currencies. Very long gold on the up bounces. And short the market, the whole market.
Dell has been on the down for a year, now they are really going down. And they are still doing stock buy-backs. The stock is way too high. Dell will be the main stock dragging down the XLK ETF for the next two weeks, and the next two months. They could get in serious debt trouble here.
Dell is my number one short position with out-of-the-money put options into June.
We have all heard the stories of people getting in trouble shorting Tesla. That was in the middle of the bull market. We are not in a bull market anymore. But Tesla still may not be the best short, this week. And here is why.
Listen to my super boring investment life history, if you like. From the dot com bubble and financial crisis, to the everything bubble crash we are in right now. Where I made huge mistakes, and where I dodged a bullet or two.
Here is both very long-term and short term analysis for our current Everything Bubble stock market crash. We just crossed over the bear trendline and rallied up and back-tested the 2008 financial crisis trendline. This sets up the bull trap, and a next huge leg down.