In this Video I discuss The technical analysis of the SPY ETF which is a proxy the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. I also discuss broader market Macros I have been watching including last week's and next weeks economic events. We also discuss some recession indicators, and other charts that show headwinds and tailwinds to equities. You...
In this Video I discuss The technical analysis of the SPY ETF which is a proxy the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. I also discuss broader market Macros I have been watching including last week's and next weeks economic events. We also discuss some recession indicators, and other charts that show headwinds and tailwinds to equities. You...
Monday 2/27/2023 - In this Video I discuss The technical analysis of the SPY ETF which is a proxy the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. I also discuss broader market Macros I have been watching including last week's and next weeks economic events. We also discuss some recession indicators, and other charts that show headwinds and tailwinds...
Monday 2/20/2023 - In this Video I discuss The technical analysis of the SPY ETF which is a proxy the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. I also discuss broader market Macros I have been watching including last week's and next weeks economic events. We also discuss some recession indicators, and other charts that show headwinds and tailwinds...
In this Video I discuss upcoming events quickly, then dive into the weekly analysis of the SPY ETF which is a good proxy for the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. We also discuss some recession indicators, and some pattern analysis. Also dont Forget CPI is released on the 15th. You can jump to the below links and hit the play from the dates...
In this Monday video I go over multiple time frames of the SPY and what my thoughts are.
FCX is a good company if your a copper and chips follower. I want to post this to see if the H&S plays out over time..... If so Im a buyer.
In this chart you can see how inverted we are and for how long on the 10-2year. I also have the 10-03mo chart that I will link to this also. This is a recession indicator. It will be interesting to follow this chart as the FOMC tries to bring the curve back under control. I will return frequently to run the "Play" and see how they do over the months!
In this chart you can see how inverted we are and for how long on the 10-3mo. I also have the 10-2YR chart that I will link to this also. This is a recession indicator. It will be interesting to follow this chart as the FOMC tries to bring the curve back under control. I will return frequently to run the "Play" and see how they do over the months!
This chart shows IEF/LQD ratio (Inverted) With the SPY overlayed so you can compare how when financial conditions ease (as they are) then the SPY will react as it is, positively.
In this Video I do a quick analysis of the current condition of markets based on the SP500 proxy index the SPY. I also go through a few weekly data points as I am hoping to publish this every Monday to summarize the week head, and behind. This video is a bit long as I go through all my tools and routines, plus we have a very hectic week this week with FOMC,...
Note in this SPY Daily Pattern we have reached and exceeded the upper trend and have now passed through it. I would also point out on the chart, this has happenned before in this bear market (previous several "rip your face off" bear market rallies). One thing that has my brow furled here is notice the last low is a higher low, again looking like a C&H........
Here I present the SPY in a Weekly Timeframe. Notice how all the bear rallies to date have ended at the upper trand of the downtrend? The one big difference I see here is we put in our first higher low....... RSI looking OK, MACD looking Bullish. Also it looks like a C&H may be forming....? Again, remember big data dump this week at the end, so this weeks candle...
I will put out a couple timeframe on the SPY. I'll start out and move inward. So this is the monthly. Nice rooftop pivot still holding. One thing to notice is 2 of the last 3 months are green and pushing up on the channel. Also note the RSI looks to have started to rise and possibly the MACD is curling?
In this chart of the VIX daily I have changed the final pattern to a Bullish Flagish pattern. I anticipate the VIX to rise also due to macro conditions, and Data Flow, and of course Earnings. Earnings I am back and forth on since Bank reporting..... Thats going to be a big tell IMO. This pattern morphed since last week when I was calling it a more of a bullish...
This chart is an inverted chart of the IEF/LQD ratio with a SPX (SP500) overlay line chart Not Inverted . This shows the corrrelation to easing conditions and the S&P500. This is what the FOMC is failing at fighting. With QT and rate hikes, this has only had pullbacks. Jawboning too.
On this Weeklty SPY ETF chart (SP500 Proxy), we see the upper trendline on the bear trend (yes i made it green sorry) is being tested and spiking it again. This has repeatedly resulted in a rejection. CPI came in sorta inline which gave a little boost this week, but bank earnings disappointed when you look in the line items of the reports. This is an inflection...
VIX Daily represented in a Symetrical Triangle coming into the pattern from a bearish stance. This generally signifies a continuation pattern as it has on this chart. Its odd to see the VIX dropping while the SPX is also dropping today. Lets see if that holds. We may get BTD going on and the VIX may retest the pattern as it should.