NickCoulby

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About me Tradin'
Joined United States ncoulb1
Markets Allocation
47 % stocks 45 % forex 2 % indices 6 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 4% | 24 AAPL 4% | 23 EURGBP 3% | 20 AUDUSD 3% | 18
NickCoulby NickCoulby US10Y, D,
US10Y: Core yields approach a short-term top
50 0 1
US10Y, D
Core yields approach a short-term top

A short-term decline in US10yrs could push yields to 3.1% within the next two weeks, followed by what I expect to be at least two months of corrective price action. Several high-tension events that could spark the traditional 'safe-haven' demand and kick off the interim decline culminate on Monday, March 5th. With the longer-term trend active, I'm bullish on ...

NickCoulby NickCoulby XCUUSD, D, Long ,
XCUUSD: Daily breakout long in copper
32 0 4
XCUUSD, D Long
Daily breakout long in copper

A 17-day uptrend just triggered here in copper inside an already active weekly trend. If you're interested in the methodology used above, stop by the Key Hidden Levels chat room. Posts are for my personal notes only

NickCoulby NickCoulby MEOH, D, Long ,
MEOH: Solid Daily Oversold Buy
70 0 6
MEOH, D Long
Solid Daily Oversold Buy

Methanex is in a strong monthly uptrend but recently dipped oversold on the daily time-frame and flashed a buy signal. Adding to the bullishness, the recent daily range-expansion sell bar on 1/16 failed to meet its downside target. The chemical company has a FCF yield of 12%+, and the stop level is 1.5x daily ATR. If you're interested in the methodology used ...

NickCoulby NickCoulby US10Y, W, Long ,
US10Y: Big long signal in US10yr. yields
95 0 3
US10Y, W Long
Big long signal in US10yr. yields

An 11 week long signal was just triggered in US10yrs, placing conservative yield targets at 2.65%-2.75% by the end of February. This outlook could get much worse if the 11 month trend goes active before the end of Dec.

NickCoulby NickCoulby USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: Daily long in crude oil
104 0 5
USOIL, D Long
Daily long in crude oil

Friday brought a fresh daily long in crude targeting $61 within the next 9 days. This setup offers a solid 2.5R with a conservative stop, and is supported by a weaker near term outlook in the US$ as well as the recently agreed upon nine-month extension in OPEC/ally production cuts. A larger 13-month uptrend remains active into late next year, but with the ...

NickCoulby NickCoulby XLY, D, Long ,
XLY: Time for consumer discretionary to outperform?
62 0 6
XLY, D Long
Time for consumer discretionary to outperform?

Longs look good with entry/target/stop levels shown on chart.

NickCoulby NickCoulby DE10, D, Long ,
DE10: German 10 yr. daily long looks good
47 0 3
DE10, D Long
German 10 yr. daily long looks good

Entry/target/exit shown on chart; monthly uptrend active.

NickCoulby NickCoulby BR1!, D, Long ,
BR1!: Brent looks good to $60/barrel
52 0 6
BR1!, D Long
Brent looks good to $60/barrel

Trade entry/target/stop shown on chart

NickCoulby NickCoulby SJM, D, Long ,
SJM: Smuckers a buy here
47 1 4
SJM, D Long
Smuckers a buy here

Long: MKT Target: 136.38 Stop: 128.43

NickCoulby NickCoulby DX1!, D,
DX1!: Dollar longs not favorable for at least a month
51 1 2
DX1!, D
Dollar longs not favorable for at least a month

Dollar looks to be toasted for the upside in the near term. Could be ready for more upside sooner if we see a more dramatic drop off in price to around 99.40 (blue). Otherwise, we could correct this larger leg through time for all of February as well (purple).

NickCoulby NickCoulby HUM, D, Long ,
HUM: Humana daily long
37 2 4
HUM, D Long
Humana daily long

entry- mkt target- 212.6 stop- 193.96

NickCoulby NickCoulby AMZN, W, Short ,
AMZN: Short Amazon (weekly)
85 0 5
AMZN, W Short
Short Amazon (weekly)

Appealing short based on close of last week. Entry: MKT Target: 689 Stop: 767

NickCoulby NickCoulby AMLP, W, Long ,
AMLP: Weekly long in MLP's
44 0 5
AMLP, W Long
Weekly long in MLP's

Strong weekly close could trigger a much larger monthly scale upside for the patient. Entry: MKT Target: 5R+ Stop: 12.26

NickCoulby NickCoulby HLF, D, Long ,
HLF: Herbalife basing
59 1 5
HLF, D Long
Herbalife basing

Weekly price objective met/time expiring next week with no new daily low in 5+ days. With a strong close an upside play here could be promising.

NickCoulby NickCoulby UNG, W, Long ,
UNG: Natural Gas Weekly Long
79 0 5
UNG, W Long
Natural Gas Weekly Long

Upside weekly play looking decent here. Long: MKT Target: TP at 3R+ Stop: 8.15

NickCoulby NickCoulby USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: Oil: Near term neutral/bullish outlook
197 1 7
USOIL, D Long
Oil: Near term neutral/bullish outlook

Oil is pinched in a long term bimodal scenario. A wave 4 triangle looks to be carving out because of it, and the weekly mode has now shifted higher. While we could revisit the $46 level mode, I am leaning bullish after that given the outlook of the current PA.

NickCoulby NickCoulby TSU, D, Long ,
TSU: Tim Participacoes; a long without the fundamentals
39 1 5
TSU, D Long
Tim Participacoes; a long without the fundamentals

Open: Market Target: 13.30 Stop: 9.92

NickCoulby NickCoulby FL, D, Long ,
FL: Footlocker: A long supported with improving fundamentals
40 0 2
FL, D Long
Footlocker: A long supported with improving fundamentals

Footlocker (FL) recaptured a key level last week. Last quarter, FL reported its highest level of sales ever, with both FCF 9% greater and D/E 6% lower than at last September's peak. However, I think I will wait to see a retrace or mode build at this level to offer a greater R trade, as the initial stop given the current PA is over 2 ATR's.

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