Nicotavee

Nicotavee

Looking at the Monthlty candels we can see that the pattern is forming it does not suggest a green monthly close. If there is gonna be a momentum cooldown candle i'll plan a long. If the downwards move is continuing strong I would like to see a big spike. (In this scenario bids at 16k and 11.5k)

Nicotavee

Took some time away from the charts. I've almost saved my underwater long, i'm scaling out from the position. I'll open a leverage short at 25k, many confluences there. I personally think that it needs time to create a macro bottom, 16K and 11.5k is where i have my bids. If the 25k short goes wrong i'll start to use trend-following strategies to not get totally...

Nicotavee

Let's go all-in, Great opportunity in my opinion. Manage your risk.

Nicotavee Updated 

When you get tired to get rekt, I think the chart explains itself.

Nicotavee Updated 

Until now i was right. Adding more to my longs, is a matter of supply and demand.

Nicotavee Updated 

This is what i would likely expect to see now. Remeber that SP 500 is really close to a support and this move is way far overextended. 2 weeks ABCD pattern is basically completed.

Nicotavee

My algo shows high demand at this levels, i'm buying in spot (1/3 of my capital). No capitulation yet but markets works because price is unpredictable.

Nicotavee

I'm in luna since de bottom. i did almost a 38.000% in spot. I've taken just 25% of the profit at the top. Waiting for a continuation.

Nicotavee Updated 

I'm going to take a trede on this supports lines confluence. Despite my bearish view on the monthly, few days ago i've reboght a very little bag of BTC thinking to a possible massive pump due to the huge candle(sigma spike) printed on 1D TF. Well that small long is currently under water and i want to Fix my average price in order to close part of it in break even....

Nicotavee Updated 

At 4H BTC is bullish. The daily is still under ATR's resistances but the chart has printed a god candle. I still think we need another leg down on the Monthly. Caution is the key.

Nicotavee Updated 

Just remebered to have some usdt left on my second bybit account, I thought to withdraw them but at the end i've decided to take a lovely 40x short on ETH.

Nicotavee Updated 

After my last post i've decide to share one of my favourite spot/low leverage strategy to support my long position. Is based on order blocks and the "demand" area we find under. Just want to precise that when i write "invalidated area" i mean for my strategy, not in general(you can find an area under order blocks that works as reversion area also if price bounced...

Nicotavee Updated 

Leaving for a moment BTC macro structures, i want to go down to the four hours where we can see that this last dump was in some ways predictable. I have no idea if we should expect another strong dump leg from here, but i know that price is more likely to do some accumulation before the nex strong , or at least decent, bull move. On the chart fractals can be very...

Nicotavee

Risk reward ratio is getting worse for sellers every time we dump. SeP 500 is close to support. Factals have been a caos in the last weeks, market needs an organic absorbtion. We are close to a 1W logarithmic regression line and to a macro POC. Be fear now is stupid. Overleverage is stupid. Buying according to fix your avarage price is smart.

Nicotavee

Just spended the day on fractals, this is what i came out with. I personally think is needed a move like this to shake out all the new trades that approcced crypto. The main reason i don't think we will end the bull run with a blow off top is due to the non-parabolic accumulation we had before the 2021 rally. My guess is that we are in a huge accumulation phase...

Nicotavee

This fractal is not super congruent but i think the shape has been keeped well.

Nicotavee

This what the price should do to keep the shape of the fractals of april. Breaking HH might be a invalidation.

Nicotavee

I'm using this chart in correlation to another please watch both.