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OliverSloup_BlueLine
About me Vice President of Blue Line Futures
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MORE PRESSURE TO COME?
ZSX2023
, 1DShort
ZSX2023: MORE PRESSURE TO COME?

Soybeans News • U.S. National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) data on Friday showed U.S. soybean crush fell to an 11-month low in August, below almost all trade estimates. Weak crushing demand comes as U.S. exports struggle to compete with record Brazilian shipments. • Last week’s USDA report showed a national average soybean yield of 50.1 bushels per...

Are Wheat Futures Nearing a Bottom?
ZWZ2023
, 1DLong
ZWZ2023: Are Wheat Futures Nearing a Bottom?

Wheat futures are higher in today's trade but have been under an enormous amount of pressure since marking a double top back on July 25th. In those following 25 trading sessions wheat fell as much as $1.78 with very few attempts at a relief rally in-between. Despite the persistent selling pressure, the RSI (relative strength index) never dipped below 30 on the...

Are Soybeans Headed for New Highs?
ZSX2023
, 1DLong
ZSX2023: Are Soybeans Headed for New Highs?

Soybeans gapped higher Sunday night following Friday afternoon's release of the Pro Farmer Crop Tour findings. Wait...what the heck is the Pro Farmer Crop Tour? It's pretty much what it sounds like, but probably on a bigger scale than what you're thinking. Over the course of 4 days crop scouts (including myself) pulled a Pro Farmer record 1,800 samples of...

A Counter Trend Trade Opportunity
ZCZ2023
, 1DLong
ZCZ2023: A Counter Trend Trade Opportunity

Fundamental News Lack of demand has been a widely reported story which has acted as a major headwind for prices over the last month. This morning’s weekly export sales report showed net sales of 233,500 MT (9,192,486 bushels) for 2022/2023 were up 55 percent from the previous week and 16 percent from the prior 4-week average. Net sales of 704,700 MT (27,742,805...

Soybeans test SIGNIFICANT support. Will it hold?
ZSX2023
, 1D
ZSX2023: Soybeans test SIGNIFICANT support. Will it hold?

November soybean prices (ZSX2023) have been hit hard after failing to get out above significant resistance in the last week of July. We’ve previously outlined that resistance pocket in our daily reports as 1427 ¾-1435, which has been a brick wall for the market dating back to the spring of 2022. Since the recent technical failure, prices have retreated nearly...

Soybean Prices Continue to Climb
ZSX2023
, 1D
ZSX2023: Soybean Prices Continue to Climb

Soybean futures prices are continuing to grind higher in the early morning trade, taking prices back towards the upper end of the recent range with more significant resistance coming in near the psychologically significant $14.00 level. We continue to believe the Bulls have the technical advantage so long as the Bulls continue to defend 1315-1320. A break and...

Corn Futures Continue to Consolidate
ZC1!
, 1D
ZC1!: Corn Futures Continue to Consolidate

Fundamental Spotlight: Weekly Export Inspections Corn: 661,658 metric tons; in line with analysts' estimates Soybeans: 575,220 metric tons; in line with analysts' estimates Wheat: 667,577 metric tons; above analysts' estimates. Crop Progress Corn: 20% harvested, this was within the range of estimates, 7% behind last year's pace Soybeans: 22% harvested; this is a...

USDA Report Day!
ZC1!
, 1D
ZC1!: USDA Report Day!

Fundamental Spotlight USDA Report out at 11am CT Ukraine Advances It's being reported that the Ukranian military has recaptured roughly 3,000 square kilometers of territory that was being occupied by Russia. That is roughly 740,000 acres. US Dollar & Data The US Dollar has retreated to trendline support (see chart below). There is a lot of inflation related data...

Live Cattle are on the MOOOOVE
LE1!
, 1D
LE1!: Live Cattle are on the MOOOOVE

Watch us on RFD-TV, today at 9:45 AM CT! Cattle Summary Daily Cutout Values Choice: 257.26, Down .75 from the previous day. Select: 234.73, Down 1.31 from the previous day. Choice/Select Spread: 22.53 5 Area Average Cattle Price Live Steer: 142.17 Live Heifer: 141.54 Dressed Steer: 226.63 Dressed Heifer: 227.19 Daily Slaughter Estimated at 127,000. 4,000 more...

Live Cattle Drift Lower
LE1!
, 1D
LE1!: Live Cattle Drift Lower

Cattle Summary Daily Cutout Values Choice: 258.34, Down 1.45 from the previous day. Select: 237.74, Down 1.94 from the previous day. Choice/Select Spread: 20.60 5 Area Average Cattle Price Live Steer: 144.85 Live Heifer:145.00 Dressed Steer: 229.85 Dressed Heifer: 229.80 Daily Slaughter Estimated at 125,000 head, 1,000 more than last week and 6,000more than the...

Daily Lean Hog Market Commentary
HE1!
, 1D
HE1!: Daily Lean Hog Market Commentary

Hogs Summary Daily Direct Hogs Plant Delivered (as of 1:30 PM CT) Carcass Base Price Range: 96.00-112.00 Weighted Average: 104.81 Change from Prior Day: -2.02 Head Count:8,165 CME Lean Hog Index 8/29/22: 109.36 8/26/22: 111.26 Daily Hog Slaughter 475,000. Down 5,000 from last week but unchanged from the same day last year. Technical Snapshot Lean Hogs October...

Corn Futures Continue to Slide Lower
ZC1!
, 1D
ZC1!: Corn Futures Continue to Slide Lower

Fundamental Spotlight Flash Sale Alert Private exporters reported sales of 167,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to China during the 2022/2023 marketing year. (More) Lower Yield Estimates Commodity Consultant, Dr. Michael Cordonnier released his yield estimate for the U.S. corn crop. He dropped his estimate 3 bushels per acre, to 170 bpa. As mentioned,...

Soybeans Retreat
ZS1!
, 1D
ZS1!: Soybeans Retreat

Fundamental Spotlight Flash Sale Alert Private exporters reported sales of 167,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to China during the 2022/2023 marketing year. (More) Lower Yield Estimates Commodity Consultant, Dr. Michael Cordonnier released his yield estimate for the U.S. corn crop. He dropped his estimate 3 bushels per acre, to 170 bpa. As mentioned,...

Live Cattle Shrug Off Outside Market Weakness
LE1!
, 1D
LE1!: Live Cattle Shrug Off Outside Market Weakness

Cattle Summary Daily Cutout Values Choice: 259.79, Down 3.25 from the previous day. Select: 239.68, Down 3.07 from the previous day. Choice/Select Spread: 20.11 5 Area Average Cattle Price Live Steer: 144.00 Live Heifer: N/A Dressed Steer: N/A Dressed Heifer: N/A Daily Slaughter Estimated at 126,000. Unchanged from last week and 6,000 more than the same week...

The Bullish Seasonal for Lean Hogs is Off to a Great Start
HE1!
, 1D
HE1!: The Bullish Seasonal for Lean Hogs is Off to a Great Start

Hogs Summary Daily Direct Hogs Plant Delivered (as of 1:30 PM CT) Carcass Base Price Range: 100.00-120.00 Weighted Average: 106.83 Change from Prior Day: -2.52 Head Count: 7,286 Daily Hog Slaughter 4800,000. Unchanged from last week and 3,000 less than the same week last year. Technical Snapshot Lean Hogs Lean hogs have had a solid performance over the last two...

Lean Hogs Claw Back Early Losses
HE1!
, 1D
HE1!: Lean Hogs Claw Back Early Losses

Hogs Summary Daily Direct Hogs Plant Delivered Carcass Base Price Range: 114.50-126.00 Weighted Average: 115.61 Change from Prior Day: -8.08 Head Count: 3,203 Daily Hog Slaughter 428,000. Down 30,000 from last week and 47,000 from last year. Technical Snapshot Lean Hogs October lean hogs opened lower on concerns of slowing Chinese growth, but managed to claw...

Cattle Futures Finished Lower Yesterday. More of the Same Today
LE1!
, 1D
LE1!: Cattle Futures Finished Lower Yesterday. More of the Same Today

Cattle Summary Daily Cutout Values Choice: 264.46, Up 1.09 from the previous day. Select: 239.72, Up .13 from the previous day. Choice/Select Spread: 24.74 5 Area Average Cattle Price Live Steer: 144.39 Live Heifer: 143.70 Dressed Steer: 229.93 Dressed Heifer: 229.86 Daily Slaughter Estimated at 124,000. 5,000 more than last week and 6,000 more than the same...

Chinese Data Sends Grain Markets Lower
ZC1!
, 1D
ZC1!: Chinese Data Sends Grain Markets Lower

Fundamental Snapshot China Weaker than expected growth in China was reported overnight, with real estate leading the way to the downside. The weaker than expected data prompted their Central Bank to announce a surprise interest rate cut. We are seeing the slower growth data have ripple effects in commodities this morning with oil down over 5% and soybeans down...

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