OssianH

OssianH

EUR/CAD is showing significant potential for continued upside, with large speculators holding long positions, according to the latest COT data. This institutional positioning stands in contrast to the prevailing retail sentiment, which remains predominantly bearish, often signaling that retail traders are positioned against the trend. Retail traders, who are...

OssianH

AUD/NZD shows strong potential for continued upside, supported by large speculators who are holding long positions, as indicated by the latest COT data. This aligns with the typical contrarian dynamic, where retail traders remain predominantly bearish, positioning themselves against the trend. When retail sentiment is overwhelmingly negative, it often creates an...

OssianH

AUD/JPY presents a compelling case for downside potential as large speculators increasingly position short, according to COT data. This shift in institutional sentiment contrasts with the prevailing retail bullish bias, with many traders still holding long positions, expecting the pair to continue its upward momentum. However, when retail sentiment becomes too...

OssianH

AUD/CAD faces mounting downside pressure, as both technical and fundamental signals align against bullish sentiment. Large speculators appear increasingly disinterested in driving meaningful upside, as reflected in lackluster price action and shrinking volume—a classic sign of a market primed for a breakdown. Retail traders, however, remain skewed toward long...

OssianH

The USD/JPY currency pair appears poised for a potential decline, as COT reports reveal a clear bias among large speculators favoring short positions. This bearish sentiment from institutional players starkly contrasts with the optimism displayed by retail traders, many of whom remain positioned long, anticipating a reversal. However, retail sentiment often...

OssianH

The USD/JPY currency pair appears poised for a potential decline, as COT reports reveal a clear bias among large speculators favoring short positions. This bearish sentiment from institutional players starkly contrasts with the optimism displayed by retail traders, many of whom remain positioned long, anticipating a reversal. However, retail sentiment often...

OssianH

The Commitment of Traders (COT) report currently indicates exceptionally light open interest among large speculators, while retail traders are beginning to shift towards selling. I find it particularly insightful to monitor the COT report when there is a notable sentiment shift among retail participants. Looking forward to analyzing Monday's data.

OssianH Updated 

Institutional money-taking profits contributed to the move up to a key area. Now, we need shorts to step in and drive the price through the trend established over the last few days. Read the chart for more info.

OssianH

The COT reports show that smart money is steadily decreasing its long positions. With this shift in positioning, I’m anticipating potential short momentum either this week or next.

OssianH

This is a trade where I’m staying patient, and the COT numbers are particularly interesting. Speculators' behavior has driven prices bearish, and while the sentiment remains predominantly short, we could see a relief rally from those heavy shorts in the coming weeks, or potentially sooner. It will be very telling to see what the COT report shows by Friday. If we...

OssianH

OT Report Insights: Preparing for a Short The upcoming COT report will be pivotal. If large speculators show signs of taking profits, I’m planning a short entry next week. Here’s why: Positioning at Extremes: Despite speculators adding longs for 10+ consecutive weeks, we’re now hovering around the 52-week high in contracts. Such extreme levels often signal...

OssianH

Large speculators are aggressively taking profits, which raises an important question: How will the price react? There are two likely scenarios: The short sentiment remains dominant, but profit-taking could trigger a short-term bullish run as positions are closed and the market reacts. Speculators could shift their stance, but will they go fully long? At this...

OssianH Updated 

The Volume and COT reports suggest a promising potential for a swing trade this week, even amid the recent market volatility driven by political uncertainty

OssianH Updated 

The Volume and COT reports look promising, highlighting a potential swing trade opportunity for the week despite recent market turbulence from political uncertainty. I’ll attempt a long here but will proceed cautiously, considering the RBNZ Press Conference is just a few minutes away. I might hold off and scale in afterward, depending on how the market reacts.

OssianH Updated 

The current outlook for crude oil appears mixed but leans slightly bullish due to the following factors: Inventory Trends: While there was a smaller-than-expected build in crude oil inventories (+500,000 barrels), it contrasts with larger builds from previous weeks. Additionally, gasoline inventories rose, but middle distillate inventories only slightly declined,...

OssianH Updated 

After analyzing the forex market's COT report released last Friday, I have aligned my bias with the macroeconomic reports scheduled for this week. There are fewer key events compared to last week, but I am confident that the ones we do have are worth paying attention to. Now, let me explain why I consider USD/JPY to be a good long trade. First of all, the COT...

OssianH

Gold's potential to push higher today can be attributed to a few converging factors despite recent volatility. The metal saw significant downside pressure yesterday, likely due to profit-taking after recent highs, yet it remains supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for safe-haven assets. Notably, tensions in the Middle East continue to...

OssianH

Current Position: Average entry price stands at 5741, ATM. Trading Plan: Targeting a push toward 5800, with plans to exit prior to the U.S. market open. Although seller momentum appears depleted, I remain cautious about the likelihood of a sustained rally. Intraday Strategy: Hold a bullish outlook until the market open. Anticipate a retracement toward...