Padms

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Joined
Keep it simple
Markets Allocation
42 % forex 17 % commodities 42 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
XAUUSD 25% | 3 USDJPY 25% | 3 CL1! 16% | 2 EURUSD 8% | 1
Padms Padms DXY, W, Long ,
DXY: USD index long?
147 0 5
DXY, W Long
USD index long?

An old trendline plus the weekly 100SMA could make an interesting point to buy now, if fundamentals come with it. Good luck everyone!

Padms Padms USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY "let's test this mess"
213 0 8
USDJPY, D Long
USDJPY "let's test this mess"

Dollar has been too strong lately and maybe it needs a bearish correction. Also, EURUSD is testing a bullish channel which might work or not. Gold seems to be making a bearish correction (maybe around 1235 but I'm not sure. Also remember USDJPY and SPX and DJIA are directily correlated, so if the setup works we might see a higher stock market too. Everything will ...

Padms Padms CL1!, D, Long ,
CL1!: Oil trendline + resistance?
216 0 6
CL1!, D Long
Oil trendline + resistance?

The bullish wave seems intuitively incomplete to me, but anything can happen, time for another 54-55 retest?

Padms Padms US10, W, Long ,
US10: US10Y Weekly buy?
179 0 4
US10, W Long
US10Y Weekly buy?

We find different trendlines and an important support at this point. If the stock market keeps rising we might have a lower price, also because commodities and bonds trend inversely (1) we could have a small change in the trend, because both oil and gold have fallen. 1. Murphy, J. J. (2015). Trading with Intermarket Analysis: A Visual Approach to Beating the ...

Padms Padms CL1!, D, Long ,
CL1!: Oil weekly/daily, short term buy, long term sell (in comments)
223 2 5
CL1!, D Long
Oil weekly/daily, short term buy, long term sell (in comments)

After US positive data, China possibly lowering demand and inventories with an Oil flood, the 50-55 range was broken, though these prices under 50 do not really benefit shale producers or OPEC (and therefore could not be 100% sustainable if demand doesn't decrease further), we could have a longer dip to $46 (watch weekly chart I will share) and then maybe a ...

Padms Padms XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold possible long in the daily
149 0 6
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold possible long in the daily

Combination of 100 SMA and fibo 50% at around 1210-1212, let's see if it holds :)

Padms Padms USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY daily possible buy
91 0 5
USDJPY, D Long
USDJPY daily possible buy

So, all else being equal, and based on past behaviour, we could have a buy next week for USDJPY. Remember the US stock market correlation with USDJPY and that we'll have some important data (Japan GDP, nonfarm payrolls etc...). Good luck!

Padms Padms XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: XAUUSD very long Gartley
188 0 3
XAUUSD, D Long
XAUUSD very long Gartley

So this is not meant to be very serious but I've seen recently some values do fit and due to the importante of these fib retracements it could happen. I actually see the C rather in the 0.382 but I tried to make it fit with an old trendline. It is bullish to me anyway but where it will stop is the real question :)

Padms Padms USDJPY, M, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY Monthly: "Keep it simple"
78 0 0
USDJPY, M Short
USDJPY Monthly: "Keep it simple"

Interesting to short now. Due to the yen being supposed to be a safe haven currency and a simultaneously strengthening dollar, direction might not be perfectly clear, but the overall trend seems bullish to me. This will probably depend on #BoJ and #Fed incoming action. Good Luck!

Padms Padms GBPUSD, 60,
GBPUSD: Speculations on a GBPUSD trendline (more in comments)
157 0 7
GBPUSD, 60
Speculations on a GBPUSD trendline (more in comments)

Today I will stay neutral; everything will depend on the elections. The trendline doesn't seem solid to me but it could act a bit on the price. Let's see how it develops!

Padms Padms EURUSD, D, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD Daily correction scenarios (details in comments)
198 0 2
EURUSD, D Short
EURUSD Daily correction scenarios (details in comments)

So there's a reasonable expectation for the EURUSD to correct after the huge rise seen these days. There are several old zones (suports and resistances) that could work, yet the H4 could prove evidence otherwise. Fundamental factors do in fact point to EURUSD not getting back to the pre-draghi levels in my opinion, but it rather depends on the NFP data tomorrow ...

Padms Padms XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: XAUUSD hits old trendline, wedge with bearish bias
178 3 4
XAUUSD, D
XAUUSD hits old trendline, wedge with bearish bias

Hi fellow traders, just sharing my first idea with you. Watching this daily chart of XAUUSD makes me think of an inmediate bearish bias while confronting certain moving averages in H4, though the main trend should be bullish due to US elections and Brexit debates intensifying. The fibonacci lines come way back to 1999 and seem to work more or less fine in the ...

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DXY
US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX
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XAUUSD
Gold/U.S. Dollar
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EURUSD
Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar
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US10
US GOVERNMENT BONDS 10 YR
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CL1!
LIGHT CRUDE OIL FUTURES
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GBPUSD
British Pound/U.S. Dollar
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