Thus far it looks like BTC follows curves setup by the four yearly halvings (arrows). Presumably at each halving the
price is in a new 'paradigm' - more expensive than the last. The price adjusts coming into it and then starts rising under the new conditions.
The last few ohlc candles have higher lows and highs which looks to undo a potential MACD downcross - which infers a re-start of an upward run! I've placed a sample ohlc candle in for next week to demo potential move forward.