PrometheusAM

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About me The Prometheus Global Macro Fund CIO; politically minded, freethinker, reader, writer, behavioralist, stoic
Last visit Joined 2 years ago Australia PrometheusAM www.reflexivemacro.com
Behavioural Global Macro Trader and Strategist; politically minded, freethinker, reader, writer, behavioralist, stoic, rugby player & Wallaby fan. www.prometheus-am.com / www.reflexivemacro.com / @prometheusam
Markets Allocation
44 % forex 29 % commodities 6 % stocks 21 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GC1! 11% | 7 USDJPY 8% | 5 HG1! 8% | 5 DXY 6% | 4
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO TLT, D, 4 hours ago
TLT: Equity Vol is CHEAPER than Bond Vol
2 0 1
TLT, D
Equity Vol is CHEAPER than Bond Vol
Surely this is a relative mispricing which should rapidly correct!
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO VIX, D, Long , 5 hours ago
VIX: VIX & VXV Crushed... Only this low twice prior in a decade!
34 0 2
VIX, D Long
VIX & VXV Crushed... Only this low twice prior in a decade!
Vol has a crush on Trump, or at least that's a fair deduction of the current narrative around supply-side economics & fiscal expansion Trump's policy - presumed successful - entails. Trump speaks on the 20th of January, which coincides with the magical month where major currency markets often top or bottom. The ...
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO GC1!, D, a day ago
GC1!: Lightening Gold Shorts
33 0 4
GC1!, D
Lightening Gold Shorts
As the MACD rolls over, it is worth one's while covering shorts or lightening one's sizing.
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO USDJPY, D, 2 days ago
USDJPY: Dollaryen MACD Turns Bearish
67 0 4
USDJPY, D
Dollaryen MACD Turns Bearish
... Provides reasonable basis to tighten stops or trailing stop losses given probabilities have likely shifted.
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO CL1!, D, Long , 7 days ago
CL1!: Crude Breaks Out.
64 0 5
CL1!, D Long
Crude Breaks Out.
... Tbd if it's the real deal, but sometimes the best trades are the hardest to pull the trigger on!
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO DXY, D, Short , 7 days ago
DXY: DXY MACD Turns Bearish
21 0 2
DXY, D Short
DXY MACD Turns Bearish
Rally may be exhausting!?!
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO USDMXN, D, Short , 10 days ago
USDMXN: USDMXN MACD turns Bearish
30 0 5
USDMXN, D Short
USDMXN MACD turns Bearish
MACD crossover underway in USDMXN... Given the magnitude of the move in the Peso after Trump's election, it's reasonable to assume that any reaction to a Fed hike should be lesser vis other EM currencies given there's value here in Peso.
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO NZDUSD, D, Short , 14 days ago
NZDUSD: Neckline on the Kiwi Bro, Eh!?!
29 0 4
NZDUSD, D Short
Neckline on the Kiwi Bro, Eh!?!
Looking rather bearish given this interpretation.
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO BO1!, D, Long , 15 days ago
BO1!: MACD turns Positive
5 0 2
BO1!, D Long
MACD turns Positive
Coinciding with the breakout.
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO BO1!, D, Long , 15 days ago
BO1!: Flick the Bean Oil.
3 0 2
BO1!, D Long
Flick the Bean Oil.
Soybean Oil is breaking out to the upside... Credit to Peter L Brandt & Factor Trading for bringing it to my attention! Trailing stop 3.5x ATR.
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO XAUUSD, D, Short , 15 days ago
XAUUSD: Intermarket Analysis - Gold vs US02Y
38 0 2
XAUUSD, D Short
Intermarket Analysis - Gold vs US02Y
In an unmistakeable correlation, a higher short end of the curve means gold is relatively less attractive to own. This argument has strong claims on both reason and evidence... Hence, with a hikepending, watch for gold lower.
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO EURUSD, 15, 15 days ago
EURUSD: Intermarket Analysis
115 2 4
EURUSD, 15
Intermarket Analysis
Gold, Euro and USDJPY (inverted) all through key levels simultaneously.
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO XAUUSD, 60, Short , 15 days ago
XAUUSD: Losing its Lustre
17 0 1
XAUUSD, 60 Short
Losing its Lustre
Gold might have a resistance to oxidation, but its price is malleable just like the metal. Lower.
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO HG1!, D, 15 days ago
HG1!: Copper's MACD Rolling Over
25 0 1
HG1!, D
Copper's MACD Rolling Over
For anyone long bear in mind, momentum is turning.
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO ZC1!, D, Long , 16 days ago
ZC1!: Long Corn - Is there a Kernel of Truth?
26 0 4
ZC1!, D Long
Long Corn - Is there a Kernel of Truth?
MACD has turned bullish coinciding with a potential break through resistance.
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO VI1!, D, 17 days ago
VI1!: VIX - Something to Commit to Memory
34 0 1
VI1!, D
VIX - Something to Commit to Memory
Using the rule of 16 and the 1/3 trading days time frame, the following translations should be committed to memory: VIX of 16 – 1/3 of the time the SPX will have a daily change of at least 1% VIX of 32 – 1/3 of the time the SPX will have a daily change of at least 2% VIX of 48 – 1/3 of the time the SPX will have a ...
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO PL1!, D, Short , 18 days ago
PL1!: sPLAT!?!
6 0 2
PL1!, D Short
sPLAT!?!
I'm not sure if a Head & Shoulders pattern is the correct interpretation here, albeit, a neckline is fairly visible. Further, the probability of its breach increases with every re-test.
PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO GB10Y, D, 18 days ago
GB10Y: Sterling vs 10Y Gilts
7 0 1
GB10Y, D
Sterling vs 10Y Gilts
What holds the most information value: A falling Sterling post-Brexit, or rising Gilt yields? I expect to see this resolve in the direction of yields...
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