QuantitativeExhaustion

QuantitativeExhaustion

RSI 7, 14, 50 MA Ribbon In chart, representing RSI 7 (fast) RSI 14 Normal default and RSI 50 (slow) as a single indicator. With each RSI there is a set of Moving Averages creating a ribbon. Colors for RSI Ribbon It uses only four standard colors Maroon : Trend is down Green : Trend reversal warning Lime : Trend is up Red: Trend reversal...

QuantitativeExhaustion

Triple Top Pattern FB is displaying a triple top pattern. We can see three highs within a 10.5% range. Resistance is set at $82.00 and support at $73.35. I have also included a horizontal channel to display the midpoint, where we can also see a support/resistance held within the triple top pattern. I added a clone underneath, because this is where we could...

QuantitativeExhaustion

SKEW/VIX Indicator - OIL Volatility OVX SKEW/VIX Index compare, is a new indicator that I built here on TradingView (you can read details how it was constructed in the related link below). When combining SKEW with VIX, we can see significant market tops/bottoms and displacement/divergence. As you can see in the chart, S&P has been in a tight upward channel...

QuantitativeExhaustion

In the beginning of 2014 we saw a big shift with investing. Investors bought both US stocks and US bonds. This trend lasted up until September of 2014, about same time oil started to break down and stocks became very volatile. Also during September we saw a big shift to US bonds. As the market gyrated with oil volatility - OVX - US bonds grew even stronger....

QuantitativeExhaustion

In this chart I used US 30 Year Treasuries weekly chart to explain how price and indicator analysis work. I cover the basis of divergences, pullbacks, throwbacks, and exhaustion spikes. Pullbacks (red) are seen when price and indicators such as RSI have diverged for a great length (wide divergence) or when you have weak divergence top comparing price and RSI....

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When looking at the Industrial production Index (one of the best forecasters of future recessions) you noticed every top over 50 years, has been marked by a significant angle divergent. @nmike a long time ago introduced me to RSI (50) and how to properly use the indicator. He just recently revisited this topic and I started looking through economic data. What I...

QuantitativeExhaustion

If you have been short EUR/USD or buying FXE puts, for this last move its time to scale out and take profits. Tomorrow morning we will have a volatile whip lash as the ECB is likely going to announce QE. There have already been reports of leaking news concerning the size and scope of the QE. Bloomberg has even mentioned a delayed start date, March 1st. From...

QuantitativeExhaustion

US Dollar does not always have the strongest impact on Gold. For the most part, US Dollar and Gold do trade inversely. If you take a look below I replicated some of Dennis Gartman charts he's been publishing, Gold x US Dollar vs short Yen and Gold x US Dollar vs Short Euro, both spread multiple trades have worked out very well. Taking a further look with Gold x US...

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Chart above shows Head and Shoulder pattern with a descending neckline. Target price for XOM is 71.39. Keeping the dividend at current level might keep the Bulls happy for now, but the weight of falling oil will eventually take XOM lower. After Earnings Feb. 02 you could buy 70 April Puts.

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Oil, Copper, Coal, Gold and Silver. Everything that is dug up is going down in price. Looking at the chart for silver its obvious to see that support has given way and price has fallen back to the prior bear trend since 2011. Right now with concerns of Greece politics there is news that gold/silver might again be a safe haven, this might hold true if the ECB...

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VGK - Europe ETF (most traded in US markets) Chart - Volume Profile Left Volume Profile shows Volume-By-Price since 2011 bottom Right Volume Profile shows Volume-By-Price since 2009 bottom. Recent volume (left) profile shows us where significant value support (48 to 50) and resistance (58 to 60) stands. Volume (right) profile shows where significant value...

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Intermarket Study for 2014 Utilities - XLU - and Health Care - XLV - Outperformed in 2014, and these two sectors saw the biggest % gains later in the year. Health Care and Utilities are considered economically insensitive sectors, and tend to outperform when the market is at risk of a pullback or a sideways markets. Historically, economically-sensitive sectors...

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Organovo is the first company to succesfully print human tissue, and now offer a real product: exVive 3D Human Liver Tissue. With results in less than 1 month companies can send protential blockbuster drugs to be tested by Organovo for only $175,000. Bypassing the old procedure of human trials and FDA approvals, Organovo products can eliminate years and...

QuantitativeExhaustion

For those of you not paying attention to the Financial News, we've got an important case that could alter the market next Spring. Why next Spring? This is when a decision will be made as to who will pay or not pay Hank Greenberg and others up to $40 billion dollars. Not only that, if the US Government is on the hook for some or all of the award, it could allow...

QuantitativeExhaustion

Similar to VIX, the price of S&P 500 tail risk is calculated from the prices of S&P 500 out-of-the-money options. SKEW typically ranges from 100 to 150. A SKEW value of 100 means that the perceived distribution of S&P 500 log-returns is normal, and the probability of outlier returns is therefore negligible. As SKEW rises above 100, the left tail of the S&P 500...

QuantitativeExhaustion

Adding hash rate to your Bitcoin Chart is easy. Go to Quandl website www.quandl.com , either search bitcoin hash rate or go here www.quandl.com . Next use the compare menu and add symbol Quandl:BCHAIN/HRATE Other Fundamental Data to add to your Bitcoin Chart Bitcoin Market Cap - Quandl:BCHAIN/MKTCP Bitcoin Number of Transactions - Quandl:BCHAIN/NTRAN...

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Sometimes waiting is the hardest part of investing. For most poker players, sitting and waiting is part of the game. The best players wait out those premium hands for perfect opportunities. For you non poker players, premium hands are those two cards your dealt (A-A. A-Ks, K-K, A-Qs, Q-Q, A-Js, J-J, 10-10 A-10s), which offer a high probability of winning...

QuantitativeExhaustion

Here I give my impression of what could happen over the course of the next few days. I added fibs from the larger dome pattern and throwback peak. When connected the .618 fib lands near 194.50. Also added clones to find where a possible target could land, and once again 194.50 is our target. In near term I do think we get a bull trap that could test the mid...