ReallyMe

ReallyMe

Today we look at how the global economy (MSCI World Index in EUR) has performed in the past and try to derive a forecast for the future. The medium and long-term trend is shown by the red and green dotted lines. Since the future has not yet happened, all possible outcomes are still conceivable, but what is likely from today's perspective? As far as I can see, that...

ReallyMe

Up, down or sideways in the next weeks and months? You hear all kinds of opinions from self-appointed experts about how the stock market will develop and where we are right now. Some just make guesses and cleverly wrap it up in empty TA-worthy phrases, while others try to illuminate the market with fundamental data and key figures to gauge future price...

ReallyMe Updated 

My current view on Bitcoin to check later: still in limbo for a while? As it looks, it could continue to trade range-bound between the very long-term red and green trendlines for a while. It may end up sliding down along the dashed blue medium-term resistance line.

ReallyMe Updated 

Gold is ponderous. It takes its time, keeps a low profile, plays with its cards close to its chest and basically does what it wants. What can be said with certainty, though, is that the long-term trend is upwards, but the channel is so wide that there is enough room for surprises and disappointments of all kinds. It is not a game for the impatient. Will it touch...

ReallyMe

This is a long-term view since 1921 for myself to check later and for all my followers who are interested. You see periods where it was more beneficial to hold Gold and you see periods where it was more beneficial to hold Equities. The question is, are we on the verge of a breakout to the upside, so that the tide will soon turn in favour of Gold, and how long will...

ReallyMe Updated 

When can you be profitable with Bitcoin again? I'll tell you what, without many words, just look at the chart. It gives simple signals when to act. 2-3 trades per year, that's all you need. Calm sleep, nice life. When will the next time come when you should buy Bitcoin again? The answer is up there on the chart. This simple but mega-powerful idea was presented...

ReallyMe

Imagine you set out to write a script that analyses the fall of raindrops to predict the impact location of the next drop. Will it hit to the left or right of the set line? A difficult but solvable task, it seems, isn't it? Or you write a script that tries to predict next Saturday's draw results as accurately as possible using historical data from lottery draws...

ReallyMe Updated 

Did we get a signal on May 18, 2021? We will see it with certainty a little later, if the blue moving average line should change sides and cross the yellow circle, but for now it almost looks like it. History of signals (yellow circles) generated so far: 26-Aug-2011 sell Bitcoin, buy Gold 19-Feb-2012 sell Gold, buy Bitcoin 16-Mar-2014 sell Bitcoin, buy...

ReallyMe Updated 

Big Bitcoin Setback Incoming - We're Talking 27k...

ReallyMe

... on Ukraine you should consider whether he is still in his right mind. I used to love Russians because I had many Russian friends myself. I can't talk to them anymore. It's over. I feel only hatred, no forgiveness, nobody can tell me they can't help it and the "normal" people are not to blame, it's just an evil Putin. It was the "normal" Russians who have...

ReallyMe

I'll be brief: if $34,300 breaks, all Hell really breaks loose. That's all. Take care & stay safe!

ReallyMe Updated 

Gold's waiting out ... as always. It will tell you its decision soon enough. And one thing is for sure: Janet Yellen is not Jerome Powell.

ReallyMe

Got some change? Do you have a Bitcoin? Be ready to gain $4.500 in just 2 hours, or else, just some 12 hours later, to lose $6.100 in just 4 hours. It's getting absolutely insane. Compared to that, casino in Las Vegas is nothing.

ReallyMe Updated 

Note to self: Trajectory of Greed, fascinating... when do you think it will tip over?

ReallyMe

One more move down... and one more very last move down... and one more... But then, at some point, there's just BOOM!!... and the upward slingshot movement starts! Or am I looking at this the wrong way? (Note: we are looking at the Weekly chart)

ReallyMe Updated 

... the Gold/Bitcoin ratio. Far oversold on all scales. This means that compared to Bitcoin, Gold either becomes completely useless or is just very cheap. What do you think it is? It is worthwhile to follow the development for example on 1h. Right now it seems to be reversing. Stay tuned, it is going to be exciting. To explain it simply, if the blue curve keeps...

ReallyMe Updated 

...that's what the price normally does, before every big move. To scare you, to quickly change the doubters' minds. That's the goal. Will it make it this time? Stick around and we will see...

ReallyMe

if you throw the uncertainty of today's world into the balance, such as the election results and the development of the corona death toll, you can expect some hectic and unsmooth reactions of the market.