SMP99

PRO
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Joined Kentucky smparris99
Markets Allocation
58 % stocks 8 % indices 3 % forex 30 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 42% | 38 USOIL 5% | 5 TLT 4% | 4 HIGN 4% | 4
SMP99 SMP99 PRO GC1!/SI1!, W, Long ,
GC1!/SI1!: Gold Siver Ratio - Watch the trend
121 1 4
GC1!/SI1!, W Long
Gold Siver Ratio - Watch the trend

$GLD $SLV Gold/Siver is trading up around levels that have tended to lead to significant silver outperformance on a relative basis. However, watching the prevailing trend in the gold-silver ratio also provides some clues as to the performance of silver on a absolute basis. On the chart, marked are the three previous cases when the gold-silver ratio has broken ...

SMP99 SMP99 PRO NGAS, D, Long ,
NGAS: $NG_F Nat Gas Target 2.66
239 1 5
NGAS, D Long
$NG_F Nat Gas Target 2.66

Pattern currently looks to target 2.66. Below recent lows of 1.63 would negate.

SMP99 SMP99 PRO XAUUSD, W,
XAUUSD: Gold Weekly
224 0 4
XAUUSD, W
Gold Weekly

Some consolidation in the shaded area may set up a long entry for a move to $1400. Would also allow for 200 day MA to start to turn up while working off some shorter term overbought readings.

SMP99 SMP99 PRO CL1!/NG1!, W, Long ,
CL1!/NG1!: Go with Nat Gas over Oil
139 0 5
CL1!/NG1!, W Long
Go with Nat Gas over Oil

$CL_F $NG_F On a both a relative basis with oil and on an absolute price basis, natural gas is trying to complete a false breakdown. Going forward look for nat gas to significantly outperform oil.

SMP99 SMP99 PRO GDX, D, Short ,
GDX: $GDX Target 17-17.25
148 0 6
GDX, D Short
$GDX Target 17-17.25

Possible bullish crab forming on GDX. Pattern targets 17-17.25 as PRZ. This area also lines up well with previous support/resistance.

SMP99 SMP99 PRO USOIL, 120, Short ,
USOIL: USOil Target $32
380 2 7
USOIL, 120 Short
USOil Target $32

$CL_F It is likely that the bearish cypher pattern on oil has now been completed. As such I am expecting a minimum pull back to the .382 level or around $32. This lines up well with the previous down trend line and is likely the next reasonable buying opportunity.

SMP99 SMP99 PRO USOIL, 240, Long ,
USOIL: usoil $35.5 target
372 3 1
USOIL, 240 Long
usoil $35.5 target

Look likes potential target of $35.5. Would complete bearish cypher pattern if reached. Price target also lines up with some long term downtrend lines.

SMP99 SMP99 PRO SPY, D, Long ,
SPY: Could be a failed breakdown
251 1 7
SPY, D Long
Could be a failed breakdown

SPY has a shot at 195-197 before sustained moved below 180.

SMP99 SMP99 PRO GC1!/CL1!, M,
GC1!/CL1!: One oz of gold gets you 46 barrels of Oil
292 3 6
GC1!/CL1!, M
One oz of gold gets you 46 barrels of Oil

My bias is more for oil up than gold down over the coming months .$CL_F $GC_F $SPY

SMP99 SMP99 PRO USDJPY, D,
USDJPY: Yen SPX Oil Gold
182 2 6
USDJPY, D
Yen SPX Oil Gold

Some levels to watch. Things may be tilting a little too much one way.

SMP99 SMP99 PRO HIGN-LOWN, W, Short ,
HIGN-LOWN: NYSE New highs - New Lows
260 2 5
HIGN-LOWN, W Short
NYSE New highs - New Lows

15 week moving average of New highs minus new lows for NYSE. Readings below zero not been kind for SPY.

SMP99 SMP99 PRO DXY, M, Long ,
DXY: Dollar and oil
210 1 4
DXY, M Long
Dollar and oil

Maybe need a month or two yet for both, but next leg for both dollar and oil looks higher.

SMP99 SMP99 PRO USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: Oil Price Variance to 200 Day Moving Average
299 0 3
USOIL, D Long
Oil Price Variance to 200 Day Moving Average

A look at the variance in price to the 200 day moving average. Around these levels of variance in the past have presented great opportunities to be long.

SMP99 SMP99 PRO SPY, W,
SPY: S&P Sector Review - 17 yr returns
46 0 0
SPY, W
S&P Sector Review - 17 yr returns

Performance of the S&P Sectors since 1999. Some might be surprised to see that despite the recent carnage in energy, the 17 yr return on Energy XLE (185%) is only currently outdone by Consumer Discretionary XLY (198%) and is still ahead of Healthcare XLV (163%) for now. However, looking at the next 5-10 yrs it seem very reasonable to expect XLE to underperform ...

SMP99 SMP99 PRO DOWT, M, Short ,
DOWT: Dow Transports - Monthly Trend
151 2 7
DOWT, M Short
Dow Transports - Monthly Trend

Prior to 2014 there have been 3 instances of the monthly RSI closing above 80 going back to 1988, Each of the three instances have lead to a return to the trend line noted below. In November of 2014, the DOW transports recorded the 4th instance of a monthly RSI close above 80 coming in at 86. Recently the DOWT found support at previous resistance measured ...

SMP99 SMP99 PRO HIGN-LOWN, D, Short ,
HIGN-LOWN: HIGN-LOWN 15 Day Average Turning Lower
16 0 1
HIGN-LOWN, D Short
HIGN-LOWN 15 Day Average Turning Lower

Updated look at a previous chart of the NYSE New High minus New Lows. Displayed on the chart is the 15 day moving average. The 15 day average recently has turned lower at a similar point as in 2011. In 2011 after turning lower, SPY went on to make a new low for that pullback. Whether a 2011 type correction or something much larger is coming, the NH's-NL's ...

SMP99 SMP99 PRO SPY, W,
SPY: SPY weekly
84 7 3
SPY, W
SPY weekly

A look at the weekly SPY chart.

SMP99 SMP99 PRO J61!, W,
J61!: Yen - Long Term Trend
87 6 6
J61!, W
Yen - Long Term Trend

The Yen is sitting near an important trend line going back to late 70's. Could be near an important turning point. A break in the current downtrend similar to 90' and 98' could be the start of an extended rally in the yen. FXY is the corresponding ETF to watch.

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DGS30
30-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate
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IWM
ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 ETF
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SPX500
S&P 500 index of US listed shares
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QQQ
POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST, SERIES 1
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S&P 500 Index
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SPDR S&P 500
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