SMP99

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Joined Kentucky smparris99
Markets Allocation
58 % stocks 8 % indices 3 % forex 30 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 42% | 38 USOIL 5% | 5 SPX 4% | 4 TLT 4% | 4
SMP99 SMP99 GC1!/SI1!, W, Long ,
133 1 4
GC1!/SI1!, W Long
Gold Siver Ratio - Watch the trend

$GLD $SLV Gold/Siver is trading up around levels that have tended to lead to significant silver outperformance on a relative basis. However, watching the prevailing trend in the gold-silver ratio also provides some clues as to the performance of silver on a absolute basis. On the chart, marked are the three previous cases when the gold-silver ratio has broken ...

SMP99 SMP99 NGAS, D, Long ,
242 1 5
NGAS, D Long
$NG_F Nat Gas Target 2.66

Pattern currently looks to target 2.66. Below recent lows of 1.63 would negate.

225 0 4
XAUUSD, W
Gold Weekly

Some consolidation in the shaded area may set up a long entry for a move to $1400. Would also allow for 200 day MA to start to turn up while working off some shorter term overbought readings.

SMP99 SMP99 CL1!/NG1!, W, Long ,
140 0 5
CL1!/NG1!, W Long
Go with Nat Gas over Oil

$CL_F $NG_F On a both a relative basis with oil and on an absolute price basis, natural gas is trying to complete a false breakdown. Going forward look for nat gas to significantly outperform oil.

SMP99 SMP99 GDX, D, Short ,
148 0 6
GDX, D Short
$GDX Target 17-17.25

Possible bullish crab forming on GDX. Pattern targets 17-17.25 as PRZ. This area also lines up well with previous support/resistance.

SMP99 SMP99 USOIL, 120, Short ,
384 2 7
USOIL, 120 Short
USOil Target $32

$CL_F It is likely that the bearish cypher pattern on oil has now been completed. As such I am expecting a minimum pull back to the .382 level or around $32. This lines up well with the previous down trend line and is likely the next reasonable buying opportunity.

SMP99 SMP99 USOIL, 240, Long ,
372 3 1
USOIL, 240 Long
usoil $35.5 target

Look likes potential target of $35.5. Would complete bearish cypher pattern if reached. Price target also lines up with some long term downtrend lines.

SMP99 SMP99 SPY, D, Long ,
252 1 7
SPY, D Long
Could be a failed breakdown

SPY has a shot at 195-197 before sustained moved below 180.

292 3 6
GC1!/CL1!, M
One oz of gold gets you 46 barrels of Oil

My bias is more for oil up than gold down over the coming months .$CL_F $GC_F $SPY

182 2 6
USDJPY, D
Yen SPX Oil Gold

Some levels to watch. Things may be tilting a little too much one way.

SMP99 SMP99 HIGN-LOWN, W, Short ,
439 2 5
HIGN-LOWN, W Short
NYSE New highs - New Lows

15 week moving average of New highs minus new lows for NYSE. Readings below zero not been kind for SPY.

SMP99 SMP99 DXY, M, Long ,
210 1 4
DXY, M Long
Dollar and oil

Maybe need a month or two yet for both, but next leg for both dollar and oil looks higher.

SMP99 SMP99 USOIL, D, Long ,
311 0 3
USOIL, D Long
Oil Price Variance to 200 Day Moving Average

A look at the variance in price to the 200 day moving average. Around these levels of variance in the past have presented great opportunities to be long.

46 0 0
SPY, W
S&P Sector Review - 17 yr returns

Performance of the S&P Sectors since 1999. Some might be surprised to see that despite the recent carnage in energy, the 17 yr return on Energy XLE (185%) is only currently outdone by Consumer Discretionary XLY (198%) and is still ahead of Healthcare XLV (163%) for now. However, looking at the next 5-10 yrs it seem very reasonable to expect XLE to underperform ...

SMP99 SMP99 DJT, M, Short ,
153 2 7
DJT, M Short
Dow Transports - Monthly Trend

Prior to 2014 there have been 3 instances of the monthly RSI closing above 80 going back to 1988, Each of the three instances have lead to a return to the trend line noted below. In November of 2014, the DOW transports recorded the 4th instance of a monthly RSI close above 80 coming in at 86. Recently the DOWT found support at previous resistance measured ...

SMP99 SMP99 HIGN-LOWN, D, Short ,
17 0 1
HIGN-LOWN, D Short
HIGN-LOWN 15 Day Average Turning Lower

Updated look at a previous chart of the NYSE New High minus New Lows. Displayed on the chart is the 15 day moving average. The 15 day average recently has turned lower at a similar point as in 2011. In 2011 after turning lower, SPY went on to make a new low for that pullback. Whether a 2011 type correction or something much larger is coming, the NH's-NL's ...

84 7 3
SPY, W
SPY weekly

A look at the weekly SPY chart.

87 6 6
J61!, W
Yen - Long Term Trend

The Yen is sitting near an important trend line going back to late 70's. Could be near an important turning point. A break in the current downtrend similar to 90' and 98' could be the start of an extended rally in the yen. FXY is the corresponding ETF to watch.

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DGS30
30-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate
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IWM
ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 ETF
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SPX500
S&P 500 index of US listed shares
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INVESCO QQQ TRUST, SERIES 1
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