ShirokiHeishi

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About me Just trying to retire so that I may enjoy the finer things in life like growing my own wine grapes, tending a beautiful country garden and the joys of family.
Joined USA
Clear skies or dark clouds?
Markets Allocation
61 % forex 26 % stocks 13 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
AUDUSD 8% | 3 GBPUSD 8% | 3 EURUSD 5% | 2 QQQ 5% | 2
ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi NZDUSD, 130, Long ,
NZDUSD: Smooth consolidation above the Kumo
26 0 2
NZDUSD, 130 Long
Smooth consolidation above the Kumo

It has been awhile. I took the last 6 months or so off for some introspective analysis. Here we go: https://www.tradingview.com/x/z50a0C0E/ There is a lot going on in the chart, of which I tried to note, so please take a moment to read them; The Kiwi has been in a bullish trend above the Kumo for some time now, and it was inevitable that a retracement would be ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: Yen Chikou span bounce
77 0 4
USDJPY, D Long
Yen Chikou span bounce

Its been a long time since I posted a potential trade, so bear with me on this one. Here we have the ingredients for a potential Chikou span/Kumo top bounce. See notes on chart: Note the two white arrows on this chart. One at the Chikou/Kumo boundary, the other on the oversold condition. The green horizontal lines are a boxed area where we see a potential entry ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi AUDUSD, D, Long ,
AUDUSD: Confluence of Bullishness
141 1 9
AUDUSD, D Long
Confluence of Bullishness

Too many things to list. Keep it simple and read notes on chart: 1. Intersection of Gann lines in time. 2. bullish Ichimoku set-up in the zone between Kijun and Senkou span A 3. Positive reversal pattern developing 4. Favorable reward:risk profile 5. Short capital exposure (13-25 bars) in the daily time frame 6. Confluence of Fibonacci lines. 7. This is my idea ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi NZDUSD, 240, Short ,
NZDUSD: Time to sell the Kiwi
80 0 5
NZDUSD, 240 Short
Time to sell the Kiwi

See some notes on chart The Kiwi is sitting on a 61% retracement from its high to low move of .71473-.69633. CMF(26) is heavily bearish WPR(9) is in an overbought condition. The last couple of bars have been indecision bars (tops/dojis whatever). My original thesis was negated due this switch in CMF(26) since I last posted on Sunday. This is however setting up ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi QQQ, D, Long ,
QQQ: Q-bert bounce
67 0 4
QQQ, D Long
Q-bert bounce

Gonna see a bounce higher this week, I think. CMF(26) is very bullish (accumulation during the sideways chop last week) WPR(9) is heading south and if a failure swing develops, I am gonna have to be long from this pullback. At the money short expiration call options only here for me. Pricing models are up to you. Nothing stays flat forever note the kijun and ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi USDOLLAR, W,
USDOLLAR: Just a thought
38 6 2
USDOLLAR, W
Just a thought

The dollar has been losing some steam, but I am concerned about the monetary policies of the US. I am simply noting that there is some technical reasons for a pullback to this zone. If the dollar holds the Senkou then we could see a real thumping of associated pairs, but I don't know what will happen. The lower timeframes are pointing to pullbacks or ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi USDMXN, 240, Short ,
USDMXN: Lets go south of the border
36 0 2
USDMXN, 240 Short
Lets go south of the border

I am not a fan of this pair as much as I am not a fan of USOIL, but I am thinking oil is overdone and as it happens CMF(26) is bearish here along with WPR(9) sniffing around the oversold zone. Not a perfect setup, but if the Tenkan turns south for the border, I may ride that train too. Gonna think about testing the Kijun-sen as a pullback seems to be coming. ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi NZDUSD, 240, Long ,
NZDUSD: Looking to bounce off this retracement
37 0 1
NZDUSD, 240 Long
Looking to bounce off this retracement

The Kiwi is oversold WPR(9) here in the pullback zone. CMF(26) is bullish and supportive of a long position. Chikou span is bullish moderately well positioned. There is nothing but blue skies out front. Kijun is flat and wants to move but wont for some time. Tenkan turns up and I am gonna be in. Looking to test the highs .7147 will wait for the oversold ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi AUDNZD, 240, Short ,
AUDNZD: Yummy kiwi short in the offing
22 0 1
AUDNZD, 240 Short
Yummy kiwi short in the offing

We are in a retracement zone now CMF(26) is bearish, WPR(9) is approaching oversold, price has crossed the Tenkan and is below the Kijun. The kijun is flat for now, and Senkou is bearish along with Chikou span sporting a reasonably bearish configuration. Looking to test the lows around 1.042 on a short entry. Waiting for my signal...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: Katy bar the door
49 0 2
EURUSD, 240 Short
Katy bar the door

If the Euro breaks below the 1.121 area there are no more bulls in the room, for now there seems to be a pullback in the offing for us to consider a short trade in the selling zones (see chart notes) when(if) that happens I will update the post. For now we are decidedly bearish and waiting for a break of the Senkou Span B (white line). CMF(26) is bearish, kijun ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi AUDUSD, 60, Short ,
AUDUSD: Selling with both hands
55 1 3
AUDUSD, 60 Short
Selling with both hands

I am of a mind to short this, not wanting to go against the higher time frames. Sell one unit at current price. Sell second unit on cross below tenkan-sen. Stop loss at .7245 first unit reduce at .72014 will reassess and if still in Second unit take profit at .71884. See notes on chart Happy trading and good luck, Shiroki

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi USDJPY, D, Short ,
USDJPY: Rinse and Repeat part two: Watching closely
128 0 8
USDJPY, D Short
Rinse and Repeat part two: Watching closely

What is interesting is the fact that this corrective rally terminated at the low/open zone of 4/22/16 at 109.261-109.451. 109.463 was the 61.8% retracement of the last sharp move down. Chikou span is facing possible resistance @ this level. Obviously without prices breaking below 105.549 or above 111.882 Kijun-sen is going to flat-line for at least the next 16 ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi GBPUSD, D, Long ,
GBPUSD: Seems like an orderly retracement
109 1 8
GBPUSD, D Long
Seems like an orderly retracement

Since the Cable is relatively expensive to trade, and the stop-loss is wide, I am only using a half position here. This has been an orderly retracement to the Kijun-sen and looks like it could be poised to breakout again. Future kumo is bullish and the 3/10 oscillator is below zero. Wait for a Tenkan-sen turn-up hopefully at the same time the 3/10 breaks above ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi LULU, D, Long ,
LULU: Pennant consolidation pattern develops
72 0 6
LULU, D Long
Pennant consolidation pattern develops

See notes on chart. Price/volume action confirms the current pattern analysis. We had a massive volume spike to the upside in the flagpole validating the start of the pattern and when the pennant breaks to the upside on heavy volume, the trade can be made to the upside target noted. Which is about a 10% move. As always wait for the confirmation signal. Using ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi USDJPY, D, Short ,
USDJPY: Looking to test the Kijun-sen as profit taking ensues
99 3 7
USDJPY, D Short
Looking to test the Kijun-sen as profit taking ensues

Notes on chart, these are just my thoughts as I do not as a rule trade the Yen real often.

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi QQQ, D, Short ,
QQQ: Headwinds and the clouds
97 3 4
QQQ, D Short
Headwinds and the clouds

See notes on chart: Flat Kijun-sen tends to act as resistance both to price and Chikou-span. Closed three days ago @105.83, hanging man Closed two days ago @ 105.63, hanging man, hammer Closed Friday @105.67, doji, spinning top. High of day touched and rejected by the Senkou-Span B a flat top attraction of Kumo trading. Last three closes failed to break ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi XAGUSD, W, Short ,
XAGUSD: Commercials are at it again Low risk/high reward potential
143 2 4
XAGUSD, W Short
Commercials are at it again Low risk/high reward potential

Commercial producers of silver are rarely wrong, in fact, of the last 19 times their net short position rose to their highest point in 21 periods, 18 times resulted in a pullback for an average of an 11% decline. They are not always right, but going back to 2010, they've called the direction of silver 18 times. This should get you noticing that they have once ...

ShirokiHeishi ShirokiHeishi USOIL, W, Short ,
USOIL: Oil has more room to go
112 0 3
USOIL, W Short
Oil has more room to go

Waiting for the snow to hit I am reminded of a longer term view of the oil market and what it means for the other seemingly unrelated markets such as the bonds, gold miners. The money has to go somewhere. Right? Without judging the implications of a hotter planet and all that entails, we are going to continue to use fossil fuels be it here (America) or ...

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USDJPY
U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen
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GBPUSD
British Pound/U.S. Dollar
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USDCHF
U.S. Dollar/Swiss Franc
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EURUSD
Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar
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SIL
GLOBAL X SILVER MINERS ETF
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QQQ
INVESCO QQQ TRUST, SERIES 1
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XAGUSD
Silver/U.S. Dollar
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EURAUD
Euro Fx/Australian Dollar
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USDCAD
U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar
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AUDUSD
Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar
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NZDUSD
New Zealand Dollar/U.S. Dollar
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SLV
ISHARES SILVER TRUST
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GDX
VANECK VECTORS GOLD MINERS ETF
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