USD tends to strengthen at the beginning of the year. If the USD does follow the usual to usual yoy trends then for the first 2 months we'll see a bullish move. Then afterwards it will continue the bearish trend southward. If it doesn't strengthen then we will see a continuous ranging trade until it decides to continue the bearish route.
Looks like the $ might strengthen at the beginning of the month, but fall short and weaken as it heads toward the summer. How soon it will go up? not sure, but I'm definitely bearish on the $ and going to long this EU when i see the opportunity.