According to FedWatch Tool www.cmegroup.com there will be 2 or even 3 interest rate CUTS in late 2020.
It means the difference between US10-US02Y spread will move up - arrow on the plot. We can already see that values jumped to 1.63 and that will continue!
The vertical dashed lines indicate the official beginning of recessions from fred.stlouisfed.org
Just wanted to give you an update regarding my past 2 plots and upcoming financial crisis. Seems like a "Yield Curve" indicator just crossed 250 days moving average, which means we just entered a financial crisis but all the stats from Q3 and Q4 will have to confirm that... please be ready for 2021 turmoil!! In short-term gold, silver and Bitcoin...
Hello again, I know that some of you are not in favour of Pi Cycle Top Indicator or even RSI but seems like there is too many signals at once indicating intermediate TOP in the price of Bitcoin!
According to MACD etc. this price pullback may be... brutal and will scare many, many early investors! I see price moving down to 40k or even lower so, either you HODL or...
Hello future crypto-millionaires :-)
So far my analysis seems to be quite accurate and the monthly RSI (data not shown) hit an overbought level EXXAAACCTLY as in August/September 2017 (orange line). If the pattern and retracement (-40%) will repeat itself (blue lines in the right top) then we should enter a surprising but short-term correction (6-8 weeks) with...
This is only a theoretical analysis, if cycle will repeat itself then the next BNB RURN will push the price of a Binance Coin to an incredible levels and threaten Ethereum as a project with second highest market cap.
Price of BNB rises way ahead of the BNB burn or weeks after the coin destruction, very similar patter to BTC before and after halving. The moment of...
In my last post I've provided an update regarding Relative Strength Index (RSI) and how two overbought signals on monthly chart can be used for exit strategy in cryptos, especially Bitcoin.
As you can see at the bottom of the new chart, we are quickly approaching the first RSI bubble and value of the RSI is already around 91 points (1st April...
According to some some clever people, Bitcoin bubble's can be accurately recognized by a double peak at the RSI plot twitter.com
I've spend some time and improved this analysis, changed upper band for 90 and lower band for 50 scores. Moreover, other settings were modified: length was changed for 16 days while source is open. The visible orange...
Dow Jones dropped over 1200 points in one day, that's the biggest downward move ever happen.
Interest rates are going down FED Watch Tool shows over 99% that FED will cut at least 25pts.
More cuts will come soon, please check www.cmegroup.com
I follow this website and 3-5 days ago there was only 10% for a single interest rate cut.
Unfortunately, due to the...
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Stock market will initially crash around -46% then move up to ~2700$ and finally down to >450$ per share.
We are entering a Great Depression just now!
In the same time Gold (XAUUSD) will keep moving up to double the price of Dow Jones: www.macrotrends.net it measn DJI will be ~4500/5000$ while Gold will go up...
At the moment we are in R -> S move, according to the analysis visible on the picture, I predict that S&P500 will go down after approaching $3k per share.
Subsequently, the market will enter a strong downward move S -> T
The pattern of the analysis remains the same as I published on Feb 13th 2018, however, the size of peaks has shrunk.
I believe "sell" signal...
Currenlty we are in I - > J upward move.
That will take Nestle share prices to the new price record - around May/June 2019.
After that time, there will be a strong downward move J -> K and price will go down to ~75 per share.
Subsequent moves will follow, I will continue on
Pattern repeat itself 1980s (B) peak is equivalent to 2012 (B).
Bottom of the trend from 1982 (C) was repeated in 2015 (C).
D = D, E = E etc.
In the next few months, we will see sidewards then downturn movement (red lines on the plot).
A bull market for gold will begin around 2020/1.
In 1980 and 2012, the price of gold increased by ~7-8 times when compared to...