SubTh3ory

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About me I am on my way to becoming a professional trader. I've been studying Forex and Price Action for over 5 years now. It's time to put my knowledge to the real test.
Joined
It's time I started publishing my ideas.
Markets Allocation
100 % forex
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 14% | 3 AUDUSD 14% | 3 GBPUSD 14% | 3 AUDNZD 9% | 2
SubTh3ory SubTh3ory NZDJPY, 240, Short ,
NZDJPY: NZDJPY Bearish Pin Bar from 81.00 to 79.40
30 0 5
NZDJPY, 240 Short
NZDJPY Bearish Pin Bar from 81.00 to 79.40

NZDJPY is in the process of forming a nice rejection Pin Bar candle off of the 81.00 handle. IF the next candle breaks below this Pin Bar, I will enter a SELL trade. My target will be 79.40.

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory EURUSD, W, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD Gets Ready for a 3,500 PIP Move South
529 4 6
EURUSD, W Short
EURUSD Gets Ready for a 3,500 PIP Move South

The EURUSD has been recently trying to retrace after a massive 3,500 PIP drop from May of 2014. During this retracement, a nice Flag/Channel was created and then broken to the down side. Most recently the bottom of the channel has been retested and it looks like the EURUSD is ready for the repeat of history in one of the greatest free-falls in a while. The ...

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory AUDNZD, D, Long ,
AUDNZD: AUDNZD may be supported by 1.0880 to complete Inverse H&S
86 2 6
AUDNZD, D Long
AUDNZD may be supported by 1.0880 to complete Inverse H&S

AUDNZD has been shaping up an Inverse Head and Shoulders patter on the Weekly chart. The pattern is not yet complete but we still have potential LONG opportunity ahead. Price has broken structure resistance of 1.0880 and looks like it may be making an attempt to retest as support. If that happens, this could leave a nice Price Action signal for Buyers.

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory EURUSD, 240,
EURUSD: EURUSD Wedge/Channel potential breakout or continuation.
139 0 2
EURUSD, 240
EURUSD Wedge/Channel potential breakout or continuation.

EURUSD has carved out a nice Wedge pattern for us on the 4-hour. It looks a bit more defined on the Daily as well. Before the weekend, price showed it's hesitance to break further down at the bottom of the Wedge and at structure support - 1.08300 Trade Idea(s): If price breaks below the Wedge and 1.0830 support, I will wait for a retracement before entering a ...

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory AUDNZD, D, Long ,
AUDNZD: AUDNZD breaks 1.0880 Handle - Bullish Bias Confirmed.
46 0 1
AUDNZD, D Long
AUDNZD breaks 1.0880 Handle - Bullish Bias Confirmed.

As we enter the weeks and months ahead we are likely to see price rise to the 1.085 and even 1.1300 handle. On January 27th, we have a strong Bullish break of the 1.0880 handle. This gave me confirmation that price likely tends to climb up a good ways before making it's way elsewhere. Trade Idea: Waiting for a retrace to 1.0880 and a proper show of rejection. ...

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory GBPUSD, 240, Long ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD Bullish Retracement.  Waiting for close above 1.4360
87 0 2
GBPUSD, 240 Long
GBPUSD Bullish Retracement. Waiting for close above 1.4360

Waiting for the 4 hour candle to close in about 15 minutes. If the candle closes above this resistance, I will be keeping my eyes on this for a possible retracement to the 1.4565 low of 2015 where potential Sellers may find their suitable price. Trade idea: waiting for price to break above the structure level, then a retest to confirm price is ready to rally.

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory USDJPY, 60, Short ,
USDJPY: 2618 Trade Strategy Test 1
227 2 4
USDJPY, 60 Short
2618 Trade Strategy Test 1

So this is going to be the beginning of a series of tests for the 2618 Strategy. I am distracted at the moment and cannot finish the details here. I will edit this later.

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory AUDCHF, W,
AUDCHF: AUDCHF Weekly Wedge gearing up for potential break!
28 0 0
AUDCHF, W
AUDCHF Weekly Wedge gearing up for potential break!

AUDCHF has been forming a nice wedge pattern on the Weekly. I know that a break of this wedge may not materialize for a couple weeks, but who knows - if it breaks, however, we will be ready. The measured objective may be off by some pips, so please make your own measurements and take your trades based off of your own strategy. Trade idea - waiting for possible ...

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory EURAUD, 240, Short ,
EURAUD: EURAUD looking at possible strong Bearish move.
129 2 2
EURAUD, 240 Short
EURAUD looking at possible strong Bearish move.

On the 4-hour chart for EURAUD, price has recently started to chisel out a nice Head and Shoulders pattern. If price continues this way, a break and close below 1.5340 would confirm this move and would expose the 1.50 handle for a possible target. Trade idea - Wait for a close below 1.5340 and then a confluent confirmation to entire a SELL trade. Watch for ...

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory GBPNZD, D,
GBPNZD: GBPNZD falling wedge to watch
78 0 1
GBPNZD, D
GBPNZD falling wedge to watch

GBPNZD is creating a widely stretched falling wedge pattern here and we also have resistance at 2.2430 which is the 2016 high currently. A close above this area would likely bring the attention of buyers, signaling a rally. I am unsure of how far up the rally would go, but I will be keeping my eye on a possible buy signal above that area. Beyond that, I am ...

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory EURUSD, D, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD retracement to 1.083 possible rejection.
90 0 1
EURUSD, D Short
EURUSD retracement to 1.083 possible rejection.

EURUSD made a sharp drop after breaking the messy wedge pattern to the downside recently. After which price did a whipsaw and turned back up making a large Bullish Pin Bar. The next Daily candlestick broke low again through the 1.083 Support structure, this time officially closing and exposing the 1.072 as our next Support area and placing the 1.083 as ...

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory AUDUSD, W, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD potential future trades
57 0 1
AUDUSD, W Short
AUDUSD potential future trades

The weekly channel that the AUDUSD is in is still holding strong and may hold strong for weeks and months to come. AUDUSD has been climbing upwards recently before ever breaking below or even touching the 0.6800 handle. Because of this, I will be watching for two possible outcomes. 1.) Price reaches the upper edge of the channel and gives a SELL signal - I will ...

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory EURJPY, 240, Short ,
EURJPY: EURJPY break low of Wedge exposes 126.10 Low
66 0 2
EURJPY, 240 Short
EURJPY break low of Wedge exposes 126.10 Low

The EURJPY recently broke the Wedge pattern on the 4-hour exposing a potential target of 126.10. Looking for opportunity to short.

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD UPDATE - Waiting for a break of 1.4225 for potential SELL
48 0 1
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD UPDATE - Waiting for a break of 1.4225 for potential SELL

While I do expect a short rally from this 1.4225 point, I don't expect it to last long. Likely, price will eventually fall below this support and create resistance for SELLERS to come in and continue their journey downward. Right now I am on the sidelines waiting for price to break below this 1.4225 and I will likely be looking for either a retrace to that ...

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD UPDATE - Short position possibility at 0.6910 Resistance
186 1 4
AUDUSD, 240 Short
AUDUSD UPDATE - Short position possibility at 0.6910 Resistance

Price is retracing as expected towards the 0.6910 level. Given a good Pin Bar or Bearish Engulfing on the 4 hour or even the Daily, this would be a great level to go SHORT. The Risk/Reward seems fitting enough to pull the trigger on this trade, granting it materializes the necessary parameters.

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory GBPJPY, W, Short ,
GBPJPY: GBPJPY Head and Shoulders to cause the test of 147.
155 1 3
GBPJPY, W Short
GBPJPY Head and Shoulders to cause the test of 147.

This pair is another one of my favorites with the obvious Head and Shoulders pattern showing us that price is likely to make a multi-month drop to 147. I will be looking for SELL opportunities.

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory USDJPY, W, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY Head and Shoulders Reversal.
273 4 9
USDJPY, W Short
USDJPY Head and Shoulders Reversal.

This pair is one of my favorites right now with it's textbook H&S pattern showing the huge potential for price reversal. USDJPY has been climbing up about 5,000 pips since the low of 2011. A full break below the neckline at 116 could be the beginning of a 1,000 pip move down towards our objective of 106. Looking for opportunity to SELL.

SubTh3ory SubTh3ory NZDUSD, M, Short ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD retest of 0.6240 is in the cards.  Possibly even lower.
38 0 1
NZDUSD, M Short
NZDUSD retest of 0.6240 is in the cards. Possibly even lower.

A weakness has been placed on this NZDUSD pair since mid-2014. As you can see from the chart above, the trend line that extends off of the 2000/2001 lows could come into play later this year if the current trajectory is any indication. Is see this pair likely taking another shot at the trend line from 2000. More immediately we have levels of support that are ...

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