TanayUK

PRO
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About me I trade foreign exchange, indices, stocks and oil on the medium term, based on fundamental analysis and key technical levels. I'm also passionate about close-up magic, e-commerce, web design and medicine.
Last visit Joined a year ago United Kingdom tweetingtanay www.tanayk.co.uk
Life is short, but I trade long term.
Markets Allocation
60 % forex 40 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
DXY 15% | 3 USDCAD 15% | 3 GBPUSD 15% | 3 NZDUSD 15% | 3
TanayUK TanayUK PRO AUDUSD, 240, Short , 2 days ago
AUDUSD: AUDUSD SHORT: Fundamental and Technical
35 0 4
AUDUSD, 240 Short
AUDUSD SHORT: Fundamental and Technical
Fundamentally: growing monetary policy divergence between the Fed and RBA. Technically: AUDUSD has broken the 2016 uptrend line. A 38.2% correction from recent lows was to be expected, given the sheer pace of dollar strength. The next leg is down to 0.70. Perhaps the best trade going into 2017.
TanayUK TanayUK PRO USDCAD, 240, Long , 2 days ago
USDCAD: USDCAD Long: Technical
14 0 2
USDCAD, 240 Long
USDCAD Long: Technical
Uptrend from late 2016 should support the greenback against the Loonie. Fair value around 1.40.
TanayUK TanayUK PRO NZDUSD, 240, Short , 2 days ago
NZDUSD: NZDUSD SHORT: Fundamental and Technical
32 0 2
NZDUSD, 240 Short
NZDUSD SHORT: Fundamental and Technical
Fundamentally: increasing monetary policy divergence between the Fed and RBNZ. Technically: the Kiwi has broken its 2016 uptrend, and is retesting the underside of the 2016 trendline. Fair value is around 0.65 given the current economic outlook for NZ and USA.
TanayUK TanayUK PRO USDCAD, 240, Long , 3 days ago
USDCAD: USDCAD LONG: Back at pre-election levels
41 1 4
USDCAD, 240 Long
USDCAD LONG: Back at pre-election levels
USDCAD is at pre-election lows. USD has appreciated against most other major currencies - except CAD. This needs to be corrected. There is much uncertainty regarding trade agreements between Canada and USA post-Trump. There is an increasing yield differential between US and Canadian rates. USDCAD is an ...
TanayUK TanayUK PRO USOIL, D, Short , 4 days ago
USOIL: LONG TERM OIL SHORT & USDCAD LONG: Dollar Strength
50 0 2
USOIL, D Short
LONG TERM OIL SHORT & USDCAD LONG: Dollar Strength
Dollar strength is here to stay. Fiscal stimulus, rate hikes, $10 trillion off-shore dollar debt, rising US yields, DXY breaking out of a multi-year consolidation zone. The attached chart shows a strong INVERSE correlation between DXY and oil. As the dollar strengthens, the oil price soon follows. At present, ...
TanayUK TanayUK PRO EURUSD, 240, Long , 19 days ago
EURUSD: EURUSD LONG: Divergence, BB, Gap close
59 0 1
EURUSD, 240 Long
EURUSD LONG: Divergence, BB, Gap close
EURUSD is oversold and needs a correction to the upside. Divergence on 4H chart, outside 800-period BB. The weekend gap still hasn't been closed. Fair value around 1.09 (lower BB).
TanayUK TanayUK PRO DXY, 240, Short , 19 days ago
DXY: MEDIUM TERM DOLLAR SHORT
31 0 2
DXY, 240 Short
MEDIUM TERM DOLLAR SHORT
The dollar has gone up too fast, too quickly. Technically: 1) Outside 800-period BB on the 4H chart. 2) Divergence at the 100.2 level. 3) The 100-100.5 region is strong resistance on the daily chart - we were there in December 2015 after which there was a major correction to the downside. 4) Missed pivot point ...
TanayUK TanayUK PRO NZDUSD, 240, Short , a month ago
NZDUSD: NZDUSD SHORT: Overvalued Fundamentally and Technically
19 0 1
NZDUSD, 240 Short
NZDUSD SHORT: Overvalued Fundamentally and Technically
RBNZ has not changed its dovish stance. Fed remains hawkish. NZDUSD showing divergence to 0.7322. Strong resistance on 4H chart. Many major banks forecast NZDUSD below 0.70 in medium term. This currency pair is a sell at spot.
TanayUK TanayUK PRO EURGBP, D, Short , a month ago
EURGBP: EURGBP LONG TERM SHORT: Fundamental and Technical
16 0 0
EURGBP, D Short
EURGBP LONG TERM SHORT: Fundamental and Technical
Technically EURGBP is overvalued, trading outside 800 period BB on the daily chart. Long term bearish divergence is seen towards 0.90 and 0.92. Targets = 0.86 (missed monthly pivot) and 0.81 (missed monthly pivot) with profit being taken every 100 pips along the way to these targets. Fundamentally the Euro ...
TanayUK TanayUK PRO DXY, 15, Long , a month ago
DXY: DOLLAR LONG AHEAD OF FOMC
17 0 0
DXY, 15 Long
DOLLAR LONG AHEAD OF FOMC
Strong divergence on 15M and 1H charts. Price outside 800 period BB. FOMC expected to signal potential rate hike in December. Risk = election, Trump win, political uncertainty ahead of election.
TanayUK TanayUK PRO USDCAD, 240, Short , a month ago
USDCAD: USDCAD SHORT: Technical
74 0 2
USDCAD, 240 Short
USDCAD SHORT: Technical
USDCAD is overstretched to the upside. On the 4H chart, it is outside 800 period Bollinger Bands. Furthermore, there is divergence towards the 1.34 level, suggesting momentum of the upward move is slowing. I expect a pullback on this pair, especially as oil appreciates back to the $50 level, to 1.32. Below ...
TanayUK TanayUK PRO US30, M, Short , 2 months ago
US30: DOW JONES SHORT: Monthly Divergence, Fed Hike
83 0 2
US30, M Short
DOW JONES SHORT: Monthly Divergence, Fed Hike
The Dow reached as low as 17905 earlier in the day, but has since recovered somewhat to 18150. Technically: The Dow is due for a large correction to the downside. There is strong divergence on the monthly chart towards 18500. The target would be the missed monthly pivot at 16300. Fundamentally: US stocks are due ...
TanayUK TanayUK PRO GBPUSD, 60, Short , 2 months ago
GBPUSD: CABLE SHORT TO 1.30: Fundamental and Technical
44 0 0
GBPUSD, 60 Short
CABLE SHORT TO 1.30: Fundamental and Technical
GBPUSD is trading above 1.33 today, despite the broad risk-off sentiment which has seen JPY up on the day. Fundamentally: Fed members are hawkish, and at least 1 rate hike is on the table this year. September is a close call - and if we believe the hawkish rhetoric of the FOMC recently - the market is underpricing ...
TanayUK TanayUK PRO GBPUSD, 15, Short , 3 months ago
GBPUSD: CABLE SHORT TO 1.30: Fundamental and Technical
144 2 6
GBPUSD, 15 Short
CABLE SHORT TO 1.30: Fundamental and Technical
GBPUSD reached 1.326 today off the back of a strong manufacturing PMI (53.3 vs 49.0 consensus). Fundamentally: Sterling should remain pressured, as manufacturing has a limited contribution to UK GDP, and the uncertainty of Brexit still looms. As long as this uncertainty remains, BoE should still look to cut rates ...
TanayUK TanayUK PRO NZDUSD, 240, Short , 3 months ago
NZDUSD: NZDUSD SHORT: Fundamental and Technical
87 0 7
NZDUSD, 240 Short
NZDUSD SHORT: Fundamental and Technical
NZDUSD touched a 14-month high yesterday at 0.7344. However, I believe it is overpriced, because: Fundamentally: the RBNZ are in a easing cycle, and cut rates at their last meeting. However, RBNZ struggled to devalue the NZD with their rate cut. Thus, I believe they will take a different approach in the coming ...
TanayUK TanayUK PRO DXY, 240, Long , 3 months ago
DXY: DXY / DOLLAR LONG: Divergence and Trendline
47 0 2
DXY, 240 Long
DXY / DOLLAR LONG: Divergence and Trendline
The Dollar Index, DXY, dipped to 94.3 today. However, on the 4H chart, there is strong divergence at this point. Furthermore, since late April, DXY has trended upwards on the 4H chart. If the trendline indicated holds, and DXY stays above 94.00, I expect the dollar to recover. Fundamentally, I feel that a ...
TanayUK TanayUK PRO UK100, 240, Short , 3 months ago
UK100: FTSE 100 Medium Term Short: Divergence, BB, Missed Pivots
40 2 1
UK100, 240 Short
FTSE 100 Medium Term Short: Divergence, BB, Missed Pivots
The FTSE 100 is trading near 6950, up more than 1200 points from the post-Brexit low of 5727. Fundamentally, this is because of the sharp fall in Sterling. However, technically, the FTSE 100 may be due for a correction. It has relentlessly traded upwards, however: 1) There is strong resistance to be expected at ...
TanayUK TanayUK PRO SPX500, M, Short , 3 months ago
SPX500: S&P 500 Short: Fundamental and Technical
316 4 7
SPX500, M Short
S&P 500 Short: Fundamental and Technical
The S&P 500 index is breaking all time highs every week. However, it looks set for a fall. Fundamental: The US economy is strong. NFP was healthy, and whilst GDP missed on expectations, the FOMC's last statement was hawkish. In the medium term, the Federal Reserve should raise interest rates, which should put ...
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USDCAD
U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar
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