TheShortLife

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About me - I can call out moves with great accuracy, but I have not mastered consistency in profit making yet - Econ grad, passionate about financial markets, don't believe in rational and perfect markets.
Joined Canada
Markets Allocation
75 % stocks 6 % indices 4 % forex 15 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
FB 7% | 4 SPY 5% | 3 UVXY 5% | 3 DXY 3% | 2
TheShortLife TheShortLife AMZN, M,
AMZN: AMZN Analysis - Monthly, Weekly, & Daily
89 0 3
AMZN, M
AMZN Analysis - Monthly, Weekly, & Daily

A look at AMZN from the monthly, weekly, and daily charts with my perspective. Primarily, I see an ascending wedge (on the monthly) within an ascending wedge (on the weekly and is represented by dotted lines). Immediate impression is bearish potential and interestingly enough, it would appear that both ascending wedges finish around the exact same positions ...

TheShortLife TheShortLife EURUSD, M,
EURUSD: EURUSD Pair Structure and Plan
215 0 7
EURUSD, M
EURUSD Pair Structure and Plan

EUR/USD price structure the way I see it right now. Price movements in the next while will have long term impact. Personally, I think that 0.382 fib level from the MAY2014 highs to the most recent JAN2017 low is a key area and will result in weakness. I plan on entering a short position tomorrow to test the waters - see the 15 min chart attached below. The other ...

TheShortLife TheShortLife TSX, M, Short ,
TSX: Bearish on TSX Canada
50 0 4
TSX, M Short
Bearish on TSX Canada

Looks extremely bearish and a good long term risk/reward trade is in the works (via ETF or some other instrument). Central Bank of Canada now between a rock and a hard place. allow CAD to continue appreciating and hurt exporters / dissuade foreign investment FED raises rates --> BoC follows pace in lockstep to protect CAD from falling too low (i.e., 60 cent ...

TheShortLife TheShortLife VIX, W, Short ,
VIX: VIX, no fear here
56 1 8
VIX, W Short
VIX, no fear here

VIX index at historic lows, risk not being priced in / market haphazardly bullish

TheShortLife TheShortLife SPX500, M, Short ,
SPX500: S&P500 fib lines converging on bearish point
123 2 5
SPX500, M Short
S&P500 fib lines converging on bearish point

Fib lines from 1974 drawn to 2000s tech bubble peak converges with fib lines drawn from 2007 peak to 2009 March low, at 1.618 and 2.0 respectively at current S&P500 price point

TheShortLife TheShortLife SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: Bearish Hypothesis for S&P500
177 2 9
SPX, D Short
Bearish Hypothesis for S&P500

Bearish for a couple of reasons, will cover them here and link to ideas that support. bearish ascending wedge coupled with long term upper resistance line attached links showing convergence of fib lines from 1972 to 2000s top and 2007 to 2009 low at current S&P500 price point debt ceiling fiasco in US this summer, could spell trouble like in July 2011 when ...

TheShortLife TheShortLife SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P500 Bearish
58 0 4
SPX, D Short
S&P500 Bearish

bearish pattern ascending wedge fake break out

TheShortLife TheShortLife CADUSD, D, Short ,
CADUSD: Canadian dollar hitting strong declining channel resistance
23 2 4
CADUSD, D Short
Canadian dollar hitting strong declining channel resistance

Looks like a failed breakout attempt of the channel - downside more likely, successful retest possible.

TheShortLife TheShortLife DXY, D, Long ,
DXY: DXY more selling then reversal
33 0 9
DXY, D Long
DXY more selling then reversal

Significant price levels and points, perfect line up. Selling will continue far below the lower BBand, expect a rip to the upside after a heavy flush on DXY

TheShortLife TheShortLife TSLA, D, Long ,
TSLA: TSLA long
54 0 1
TSLA, D Long
TSLA long

High odds reversal up here

TheShortLife TheShortLife SPY, M,
SPY: SPY nearing support
33 1 0
SPY, M
SPY nearing support

Will be surprised if it doesn't bounce off support channel at least once if it does intend to break below the channel.

TheShortLife TheShortLife SPY, M, Long ,
SPY: SPY coming to long term support
33 0 0
SPY, M Long
SPY coming to long term support

I would be surprised if it doesn't make a bounce attempt off the channel if it is destined to go lower.

TheShortLife TheShortLife GDX, D, Short ,
GDX: GDX time to drop
57 0 0
GDX, D Short
GDX time to drop

Chart, outside bollinger bands.

TheShortLife TheShortLife DXY/GC1!, W, Long ,
DXY/GC1!: Dollar index divided by gold
28 0 2
DXY/GC1!, W Long
Dollar index divided by gold

Just some observations. Would imply dollar goes up and gold dies - right in time for a ECB and Japan or China rate cuts / other currency devaluations.

TheShortLife TheShortLife GC1!, W,
GC1!: Gold Price Structure Analysis
57 2 1
GC1!, W
Gold Price Structure Analysis

Studying gold price behaviour, the weekly graph attached is what I see. Price is contained in a channel. On weekly price looks to have headed right into resistance. It could pop over it and continue but I think here it would be a good odds trade for some puts. In any case, there will be a nice gold shorting opportunity once price reaches the upper resistance ...

TheShortLife TheShortLife AMZN, D, Long ,
AMZN: AMZN - Bullish Lotto Play
60 0 0
AMZN, D Long
AMZN - Bullish Lotto Play

560 target before FEB 16 expiry (in 2 days as of today). FEB1 16 560 C at about 0.66 (avg bid/ask). Will be worth 1K on expiry if price closes at 570. YOLO, this is a good trade.

TheShortLife TheShortLife FB, D, Short ,
FB: FB - Overbought by late bulls
83 3 1
FB, D Short
FB - Overbought by late bulls

Greedy bulls who are late to the long FB trade and stubborn bears who powered up this short cover momentum is the perfect opportunity for the smart money masters to harvest both sides. This thing is going down from here - this idea is here just as a record for myself. I am buying puts.

TheShortLife TheShortLife SPX, M, Short ,
SPX: S&P500 - Danger Close to Rupturing
59 5 4
SPX, M Short
S&P500 - Danger Close to Rupturing

Pivotal point today - dangerously close to rupturing that support and flushing us lower. Dotted blue line is key. I somehow don't think they'll let it break down like this during lunch time on July 1st, 2015...

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