a lot of reports related to both coming out this week, likely to confirm global slow down fears
iv decently low post earnings, but likely to expand as price falls. downside calendar targeting $90. im sitting in one 2 weeks out for .1 x5
bulls loosing faith in trade deal as selling pressure mounts
both speakers will have a push and pull between the bund vs 10 year. this push and pull in my opinion will cause a lot of uncertainty in the 10 yr note/"the move" likely equities are to go lower when the move moves. move move move move. be sure to hedge and have fun
as one of the main by-products of copper and platinum mining. copper miners out of chille have begun to reduce mining operations due to lack of demand from china, which could indicate weakness in their housing market possibly. since palladium's rise is due to the auto sector. id use this opportunity to look at weaker auto candidates and countries with unusual auto...
Gold cot remains bullish however silver cot indicated a massive short covering is on the way.traditionally gold to silver stays around 40-50 oz silver per 1 oz of gold. Being in the ratio was at a generational (27 year high) the reversion to the mean makes silver likely to outperform gold. That being said silver will move faster than gold to the upside and slower...
this is it. theres a list of problems with this one. looks ready to crack.
fed funds vs ioer vs 10 year. year theyre gonna have to print not because they want to because they have to longer term to regain control over the dollar...
gold to oil unreasonable. oil vix likely to contract but will more than likely reflect the reality of global growth slowing
dip due to a short term spike in DXY. but with fed cuts coming will help usd sell off. will it be a .25 or a .50 bps? to be continued
you cant sugar coat these earnings. but man o man. if youre worried about trump enacting tarriffs on eurozone. this is a great hedge. they have good exposure to auto sector (main target) within france, germany and uk. this quarters earnings pointed out the eurozone slowdown related to eurozones reliance on chinese supply chain demand. i think theres a 3-4x...
hogs are one of my indicators on trade front. a lot of optimism and hope. i think its about to drastically pull back which is unique. hogs have a few factors working in its favor, it just shows how bad things really may be
woooo pretty crap situation but likely to continue contracting as ATR shrinks. not bad place to do a double diag or double cal around the suggested end. I LOOK AT 3 THINGS. the trend and volatility expansion or contraction. when it contracts like this i like to play both sides and let the market do the lords work