USD/JPY remains well bid in early US session as investors focus on the uptick in the core PCE and employment cost index. The daily RSI has breached the descending trend line. Looks like the currency pair would take out the 50-DMA level of 111.75 and move higher to 112.60 (Jan low).
Multiple fake breakdowns/bear traps below 230 followed by a convincing break above 237 (Apr 24 high) coupled with the bullish daily RSI suggests the prices are set to retest 250 (March high). On the downside, only two consecutive daily close below 220 would revive bearish view.
Daily close below the rising trend line would add credence to the rounding top on the price and the daily RSI and open doors for 6812 (Feb 15 low).
Brent’s rejection at the rising trend line coming from Jan 2016 low and Nov 2016 low despite the surprise drawdown in the US inventories reported by the EIA in the North American session yesterday has opened doors for a sell-off to $49.75 (Mar 20 low). A weekly close below $49.75 would add credence to the falling top formation, the breach of the rising trend...
Wednesday’s bearish inverted hammer candle at record highs if followed by a close below 2381 today would open doors for a sell-off to 50-DMA level of 2362 levels. The 50-DMA is now inching closer to being topped out. On the higher side, a daily close above 2400 would add credence to the upward sloping RSI and open doors for 2450 levels over the near term.
Pair’s daily close back below the descending trend line in the wake of a death cross – bearish 50-MA and 200-MA crossover would open doors for a re-test of 0.8297 (Apr 18 low). Only a daily close above 0.8590 would revive bullish view.
Failure at 1.0950 for two consecutive days in the wake of overbought RSI on the 4-hour chart suggests a pull back to 1.0940 (200-DMA) is more likely, although the dips below 200-DMA could see fresh demand for EUR, courtesy of the upward sloping 5-DMA and 10-DMA. Only two consecutive daily close below 10-DMA would signal the erratic rally from the low of 1.0569 has ended.
There is no stopping the Nifty bull, the index has closed at record highs for the second day. The previous rising trend line serves as a resistance today. Look at the daily RSI… the rounding top has failed in a way; however, the Trix shows a bearish divergence. It is to be noted that bearish divergence does not work well in a strong bull momentum like the one we...
The daily chat shows a big rounding bottom formation coupled with rising bottom on the TRIX index, which is fast approaching the levels last seen in May 2015. The RSI is near the overbought territory, we also see a head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hr RSI. So a pull back to 1.27-1.26 cannot be ruled out, however, dips are likely to be short lived. The rounding...
Bullish symmetrical triangle breakout looks like a done deal. What needs to happen now is a daily close above 1.3576 (50% fib retracement of 1.46903-1.2461). That would add credence to the bullish triangle breakout and open doors for 1.38-1.3839 (61.8% fib) levels. The 50-DMA has nicely bottomed out as well and is now sloping upwards. The bearish oil price...
oil bulls failed to capitalize on the multiple closes above the rising trend line coming from 1998 low and 2009 low and a bullish break on the daily RSI... Prices are back below the rising trend line support, suggesting a sell-off is in the offing ahead. Also take note of the monthly 50-MA and 200-MA heading towards a bearish crossover. A drop to $46.85 (support...
Watch out for a failure at the neckline resistance of 2.31% followed by a break below 2.263%. Such a move would signal the corrective rally has ended and the yield is heading towards 2.00%. Failure at the neckline would also signal a top in the Dollar-Yen and a potential sell-off in the equities.
64.18, which is the 261.8% fib expansion level acted as a strong support earlier this month. The daily RSI shows higher bottom formation. With that in mind, one should watch out for a rebound from 64.18 levels, although only a subsequent break above 64.80 (Apr 20 high) would signal the bear trend has bottomed out there and could yield test of supply around 65.21...
A close above the trend line hurdle seen around 110.45 would signal the a short-term low has been made at 108.13 and would open doors for a sustained rise to 111.60-112.00 levels. On the contrary, rejection at trend line hurdle followed by a break below today's low of 109.59 would open doors for re-test of 108.13.
The resistance offered by the falling trend line drawn from Sept 2000 high and June 2007 high was breached last month. This month's candle shows a sharp rebound from the sub-trend line support level followed by a rise to 5295.5 (highest level since Jan 2008 high). The chart also shows a nice rebound from the rising trend line in mid 2016. Overall, the technical...
A close above the falling trend line would add credence to the upward sloping 50-DMA, 100-DMA & 200-DMA positioned one below the other and open doors for fresh record highs above 21170 levels.
Rising trend line has been breached, we also see - Head and Shoulders (H&S) Bear Flag H&S neckline and Bear flag floor coincide... offer support at 448.00 levels. The bearish breakdown was confirmed on Friday. Today's up move is nothing more than a bull trap... Prices likely to test 400.00 levels over the next week or so. The bearish view goes will with...
Failure at the falling trend line hurdle last week followed by Friday’s close below the rising trend line (coming from Feb 2016 low and Nov 2016 low) signals the rally from the Feb 2016 low has ended and prices could test and possibly breach $49.75 (Mar 2017 low), in which case doors would be opened for $46.43 (38.2% of Feb 2016 low – 2017 high). Only a weekly...