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TradablePatterns
About me Darren Chu, CFA, ex-IntercontintentalExchange, NYSE Liffe, TMX Group, CMC Markets, now publishes daily technical analysis on futures and spot FX on Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Factset, Interactive Brokers, Barchart.com and through its website
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BTCUSD 10% | 5 ETHUSD 8% | 4 GBPUSD 8% | 4 EURUSD 8% | 4
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Litecoin (LTCUSD) Testing 1.5 YR+ Downtrend Resistance
LTCUSD
, 1WLong
LTCUSD: Litecoin (LTCUSD) Testing 1.5 YR+ Downtrend Resistance

Litecoin is breaking out above a major downtrend resistance connecting the May'21 and Nov'21 highs. The last pre-halving rally began roughly 7 mo before peaking (Jun'19) 2 mo ahead of the Aug'19 halving. If LTCUSD behaves as it did last cycle, w/ the next halving occurring Aug'23, and the pre-halving rally ending ard Jun'23, the 7 mo pre-halving rally has likely...

Ethereum (ETHUSD) Breaks Weekly Chart Downtrend Resistance
ETHUSD
, 1WLong
ETHUSD: Ethereum (ETHUSD) Breaks Weekly Chart Downtrend Resistance

ETHUSD has bullishly broke above a major downtrend resistance (connecting the November 2021 high to the March 2022 high). The recent dip in October refused to slide back to the 2022 low in June, dramatically increasing odds ETHUSD revisits the psychologically key 2k whole figure level before year end.

Ripple (XRPUSD) Weekly MACD Positively Crossing
XRPUSD
, 1WLong
XRPUSD: Ripple (XRPUSD) Weekly MACD Positively Crossing

XRPUSD is nearing a triangle / downtrend resistance line that began April 2021. Odds are high that XRPUSD will break to the triangle's upside, as hinted by the fact that XRPUSD has just reclaimed the 61.8% Fib retrace of the bull market / rally from the Mar 2020 low to the Apr 2021 high. The next key resistance is at the psychologically key 1 whole figure level,...

Soybean (ZS) Testing Downchannel/Descending Wedge Resistance
ZS1!
, W
ZS1!: Soybean (ZS) Testing Downchannel/Descending Wedge Resistance

After a two week rally, soybean (ZS) is now bumping into downchannel/descending wedge resistance on the weekly chart, which coincides roughly with the 1000 psychologically key resistance level. Weekly RSI and Stochastics are in rally mode, while the MACD which a few weeks back appeared ready for a negative crossover has strengthened again and is sloping up now....

Gold (GC) Bounces off Triangle Support on Daily Chart
GC1!
, DLong
GC1!: Gold (GC) Bounces off Triangle Support on Daily Chart

Gold (GC) continues its rally (off of triangle support) in today's Asian session. With the daily MACD histogram becoming less negative and daily RSI and Stochastics bouncing off of oversold levels, odds are favouring gold returning to triangle resistance in the next few weeks. For my multiple timeframe analysis on GC, feel free to visit:...

GBPUSD Breaks Above Descending Wedge Resistance on Weekly Chart
GBPUSD
, WLong
GBPUSD: GBPUSD Breaks Above Descending Wedge Resistance on Weekly Chart

The GBPUSD has made some strong gains off the sub 1.5 level or so several weeks back, and has solidly broken above a descending wedge resistance line on the weekly chart. The weekly RSI, Stochastics and MACD are all fairly bullish, with a positive crossover occurring on the weekly MACD. As shorter timeframe charts reveal a bit of fatigue and consolidation ahead...

EURUSD Breaks Above Descending Wedge Resistance on Weekly Chart
EURUSD
, W
EURUSD: EURUSD Breaks Above Descending Wedge Resistance on Weekly Chart

The EURUSD has made some strong gains off the 1.11 level or so several weeks back, and appears to have broken above a descending wedge resistance line on the weekly chart. Although the weekly RSI, Stochastics and MACD are all appearing fairly bullish, with a positive crossover seemingly not far off on the weekly MACD, shorter timeframe charts reveal a bit of...

AUDUSD Bounces off Downchannel Support on Daily Chart
AUDUSD
, D
AUDUSD: AUDUSD Bounces off Downchannel Support on Daily Chart

The AUDUSD has solidly bounced off of downchannel support on the daily chart, after having formed a Doji Thursday, and traded within an ever tighter range Friday. The Asian session today (Monday) opened with a gap higher, as daily RSI, Stochastics and MACD are now all rallying off of oversold levels. Those going long at current levels should keep in mind that...

Silver (SI) Testing Triangle Resistance on Daily Chart
SI1!
, DLong
SI1!: Silver (SI) Testing Triangle Resistance on Daily Chart

Silver (SI) rallied nicely Friday, positioning it right at triangle resistance. With daily MACD about to positively crossover, and the weekly chart looking increasingly bullish, odds are favouring silver breaking above triangle resistance in the next few days following the current consolidation (seen with the daily RSI and Stochastics). For my multiple timeframe...

USDJPY Fails on Triangle Resistance Breakout on Daily Chart
USDJPY
, DShort
USDJPY: USDJPY Fails on Triangle Resistance Breakout on Daily Chart

The USDJPY broke above triangle resistance last Wednesday, only to reverse all of the day's gains Thursday, closing lower than the prior day's low. Friday, the USDJPY exhibited a very tight range, but gapped lower to start today (Monday) in the Asian session. With daily RSI, Stochastics and MACD all sloping down, odds are favouring the USDJPY breaking beneath...

Natural Gas (NG) Breaking Above Descending Wedge Resistance
NG1!
, WLong
NG1!: Natural Gas (NG) Breaking Above Descending Wedge Resistance

Natural Gas is breaking above a descending triangle resistance line on the weekly chart, and together with the bottoming RSI, Stochastics and MACD, appears to have a decent chance at targeting downchannel resistance around 3.5 in the next few months. The 2.5 level reached last week is not only a round psychologically important key figure but also acted as a pivot...

Cotton (CT) Exhibits Positive Divergence on Weekly RSI, MACD
CT1!
, WLong
CT1!: Cotton (CT) Exhibits Positive Divergence on Weekly RSI, MACD

Cotton has been making an admirable bottoming attempt in the last few weeks, having seen a surge in volume unmatched in the prior rally attempts over the last several months. Positive divergence between weekly RSI/MACD and price continues providing bulls reason to push cotton towards its current downchannel resistance. With weekly RSI, Stochastics and MACD all...

VIX (VX) Close to Completing Tradable Bottom on Daily Chart
VI2!
, WLong
VI2!: VIX (VX) Close to Completing Tradable Bottom on Daily Chart

The VX experienced a bit of profittaking Friday, but has rebounded somewhat in today's session so far. The uptrend support line connecting the lows from July, August and last week appears to be holding. The daily RSI and Stochastics are now turning up, and should be followed by a daily MACD positive crossover shortly. Weekly RSI and Stochastics are trying to...

Arabica Coffee (KC) Breaks Downtrend Since Mid October
KC1!
, DLong
KC1!: Arabica Coffee (KC) Breaks Downtrend Since Mid October

KC put in its strongest weekly performance in about a month, reinforcing the line in the sand at the 180 horizontal support zone as seen in the attached chart. The 180 level also coincides with the uptrend support line connecting the low earlier in the week with the January 2014 low. Based on the renewed upward momentum these last few days, and the apparent...

Cotton (CT) Bottoming on Daily/Weekly Chart
CT1!
, DLong
CT1!: Cotton (CT) Bottoming on Daily/Weekly Chart

In the first few hours following NFP on Friday, CT showed some hesitation before finally seeing an upside spike right in the closing hour, breaking it above downchannel resistance on the 4hr chart. In the daily chart, the symmetrical triangle CT finds itself in is edging closer towards resolution. Given that CT's RSI, Stochastics and MACD on the daily and 4hr...

AUDUSD FORMING TRADABLE BOTTOM POST-NFP, China CPI
AUDUSD
, DLong
AUDUSD: AUDUSD FORMING TRADABLE BOTTOM POST-NFP, China CPI

Now that the dust has settled post NFP, China CPI, the AUDUSD is ready to bounce after heavy selling over the last week. Daily RSI and Stochastics are both sloping up now, with Stochastics rising from an oversold level. The daily MACD blue line is trying to bottom, with the MACD histogram becoming less negative. AUDUSD is now just sitting in a minor resistance...

GBPUSD FORMING TRADABLE BOTTOM POST-BOE/NFP
GBPUSD
, DLong
GBPUSD: GBPUSD FORMING TRADABLE BOTTOM POST-BOE/NFP

Now that the dust has settled post BOE/NFP, the GBPUSD is ready to bounce after heavy selling over the last few weeks. Daily RSI and Stochastics are both sloping up now, with Stochastics rising from an oversold level. The daily MACD blue line is trying to bottom, with the MACD histogram becoming less negative. The next key target will be just short of 1.6 where...

EURUSD Forming Tradable Bottom Post-ECB/NFP
EURUSD
, DLong
EURUSD: EURUSD Forming Tradable Bottom Post-ECB/NFP

Now that the dust has settled post ECB/NFP, the EURUSD is ready to bounce after heavy selling over the last few weeks. Daily RSI and Stochastics are both sloping up now, with Stochastics rising from an oversold level. The daily MACD blue line is trying to bottom, with the MACD histogram becoming less negative. The next key target will be just short of 1.26...

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