TradingCocktail

TradingCocktail Updated 

INSIGHT: -------------------------- - Retest the TC red line - Vwap resistance zone - 10Y yield back to pre U.S. CPI (not good for indeces) - Still the same slowing down data for China, including the CPI

TradingCocktail

Insight: ---------------- - 10Y Yield back to pre CPI release level - Retest the VWAP and TC red line

TradingCocktail Updated 

Insight: - H&S - Below TC red line - Below VWAP - EIA: US Crude Output Reaches 12.2M Bpd, Highest Since March 2020

TradingCocktail Updated 

Insight: ------------------------------------------ - Below TC red line - Below Vwap - Above expectation Norway CPI - Weak EUR into U.S. CPI release

TradingCocktail Updated 

Insight: - Far below consensus china CPI - Global indeces drop toward US CPI - Below TC red line and Vwap

TradingCocktail Updated 

High Probablility 1:1 Setup --------------------------------- - Above TC redline - Above multiple VWAP - Inverse Head and Shoulder - Weak yen & rising yield toward CPI data - Iron ore currently up 2% - Good China export data on the weekend

TradingCocktail Updated 

Insight: --------------- - Trimpped Inflation expectation by RBNZ - New Zealand 2 Year Inflation Expectations Q3: 3.07% (prev 3.29%) - Below TC Red line - Below Vwap - Strong USD due to rising yield and high employment heading toward next CPI data on Wed.

TradingCocktail Updated 

High Probability Short term Setup: ------------------------------------------ - Below red TC line - Below Multiple VWAP - Fundamentally weak risk asset Check on the related idea for the reason why BTC will keep under the water.

TradingCocktail Updated 

Fundamental PoV: ----------------------------------------- - Fade away recession fear for Q3 - Shift to hawkish Fed - 75 bps rate hike is a done deal - Escalation in Taiwan - Possible another supply disruption Overbought while market buying less hawkish the Jay Powell speech and now all the members turn hawkish. The green street U.S. Friday data confirmed that...

TradingCocktail Updated 

1:1 High Probabilty Setup ------------------------------- - Still strong bid on USD - Into the NFP - Hawkish Shift on Fed Members - Next Week green CPI expected

TradingCocktail Updated 

Highly oversold and this commodity currency will drop due to China slowing down and of course the mighty king dolla.

TradingCocktail

Fundamental Insight: - PBOC Easing Mode - Zero covid lockdown and Increasing new strain case - Housing market problems - Forced regulation on big techs - King dolla is king

TradingCocktail Updated 

Inflation will keep continue burning in UK while BoJ keep the rate on rock bottom. Technically speaking, the rectangle break on month chart is confirmed. This will continue hunting for the long term target. Remember, the fundamental carry trade trading mostly works on Risk-on mode. Especially when u dealing with yen.

TradingCocktail

Well, hot job market, inflation peak? not... USD will remain strong till the last quarter of this year. Only will be dismiss if we see strong drop on job market.

TradingCocktail

Just click and good luck, explanation is always the same, it's too expensive.

TradingCocktail

Shanghai Lockdown now. And a good price for short into China PMI release on Thursday

TradingCocktail Updated 

Fundamental insight: After the massive double top and as the US10Y settle above 2% and will likely to continue grinding up, overprice gold amid the war will going into more down trend. The only counter tendency in this is a new escalation on the calm Ukraine crisis.

TradingCocktail Updated 

It's not about war or anything else. It's about the rising over-burning inflation that make all this overvalued asset class sinking.