Japanese central bank is announcing the rate decision and commentary regarding monetary easing in just over 12 hours.
The USD/JPY has rebounded from the 116 lows and looks to continue upwards trend.
There are fundamental reasons we should expect Yen to weaken:
Taro Aso (Japanese Finance Minister) has changed his cautious rhetoric from scepticism regarding...
I am sure many of you have been tracking this channel and trading inside it. The question is when it will break? There are no major news set for today (30/01/2015), the last trading day of the week and month, so I would expect the lower boundary to hold.
1) Buy in the region of 117.35-50 aiming for 118.40-50. Stop loss 117.10 or 116.8 (could...
Today ECB has slightly surprised everyone with their plan to start QE at 60bn vs estimated (leaked) 50bn per month. This would imply 1.08tn until Septemer 2016. This is slightly less than the end of 2016 expected, but it is the size of QE that is currently the focus. Some were disappointed with the start only in March rather than immidiate and this caused some...
A quick thought for a $USDJPY trade. Break below the flat support line would open a short trade possibility towards the intersection of the bottom of the purple channel and the blue support line. Would advise a tight trailing stop as this pair can have quite volatile reversals.
The speed and magnitude of the fall for $GBPUSD has been very protiftable for a lot of traders. However, always take care trading on Friday and today (09-Jan-2014) we might see some take profit trades to take us out of the current formations - channel an ascending triangle.
Aim for 38.2% FIB retracement of the latest fall, coinciding with the highs of the second...
See the graph for some more detail. The idea is valid while the channel holds, however if it breaks down I would be revaluating entry points to go long, unless Abe changes the rhetoric, which is unlikely at the moment.
Look for technicals on short time frame to enter the trade.
3 ways to play this for $USDJPY:
1) Buy now with a tight stop loss around 118.50
2) Wait for the movement up to start before buying
3) Sell in the region 118.6-118.5
In case of 1 & 2 TP is the upper boundary of the channel above 120.50
in case of 3 first TP is around 117 region, however since it's $USDJPY we are shorting take care on being Long Yen, since there...
The declining resistance from he 10th December might provide enough strength to send the price downwards towards 1170 region and below. In that region a major support line can be observed, where the TP should be placed awaiting for further confirmation whether it can be broken. A tight stop loss on this trade can allow for good R/R ratio.
A triangle in $USDJPY seems to have formed with the upwards momentum looking to break to retest the high from early December. A breakout will occur at 120.60, and then confirmation would be sough for around 120.80 (the high of the triangle formation). After 121.80 is the next target.
$DXY shows a break above a resistance level this week, but it has approached a potential resistance at the top of the channel seen on the daily level. We might see some consolidation back below 91. Something to bear in mind for shorting oversold $EURUSD $GBPUSD
As my earlier idea on long $XAUUSD has been rapidly stopped out, the breakthrough the support lines and a retest provided evidence for a reverse direction earlier than I expected. Now a much more comfortable trade in the direction of the downward trend aiming to reach the bottom support line in the 1160 region.
A bold call, but a definite possible for those really long term traders out there. We are likely to see the continuation of the down-trend of $EURUSD as we enter 2015. Further QE in the US is unlikely, and at the same time the situation in Europe worsens and new stimulation measures could potentially be introduced. The closure below the 9 year trend line and...
The old resistance becoming support (S1) crossing together with the more recent support line (S2). In the event Gold does drop, S2 would act as the buy level, while R1 would be the sell level, until the Risk/Reward ratio would get too small.
Would not hope for a break above R1 due to the downtrend of gold and strength of dollar. If it does will be looking for a...
I've been thinking that the breakout below 1.2215 is more likely, as (or just before) the news hit.
There is significant support between 1.2180-1.2215 and it will be difficult without some pro-USD news at 13:30 GMT would determine the last major move before Christmas.
Will place short at 1.2210 and SL @ 1.2245, TP will probably be time dependent before...