Dow Jones (DJI) is trading within a very aggressive Channel Up since the October 27 bottom that has seen it rise almost by +17%, making new a All Time High (ATH) in the process. In the meantime it is about to hit the Higher Highs trend-line that has been acting as a Resistance, rejecting similar Channel Up patterns since April 14. What is more alarming than this...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has seen a significant mid-Cycle growth in the past 2 months, approaching the pivotal 50k level. Technically a break above the 48.5k Resistance, constitutes the beginning of the Parabolic Phase of the Bull Cycle. There isn't a better way to illustrate this transition than the use of the Pitchfan tool. Rarely used on BTC analysis and even more so...
This is an update on the GBPAUD pair regarding our November 19 analysis (see chart below) where we called for a sell at the top of the Channel Down: As you see the price action responded with a respectable decline that hasn't yet reached our 1.8300 Target and most likely this is due to the shift of the Channel Down a little upwards. This diverging Channel...
Russell 2000 (RUT) gave us an excellent buy entry on our last call (see chart below), as we achieved the most optimal buy near Support 2 and rallied all the way to our 2000 Target: The Resistance Zone broke and this delivered a new 20-month High on the index, the effect of which is more accurately seen on the 1W time-frame. The question is, how sustainable...
Our last analysis on the AUDNZD pair was on November 16 (see chart below) and so far has hit one of our two targets: At the moment the price is struggling on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) Zone, where it has failed since Dec 13 and on every single candle to close it above the 1D MA50. If it does, expect the continuation of the...
The S&P500 index (SPX) is currently on its 9th straight green week (1W candle) following the October 23 (weekly terms) bottom. That was a Higher Low on the 15-month Channel Up and based on that pattern, the index is approaching its top (Higher Highs trend-line). What adds more weight to the very high levels it is trading at, is that the All Time High is just...
The EURUSD pair easily hit our 1.10500 target, which we set on the previous analysis (see chart below) on December 19: We now shift back again to the 1D time-frame where the 1D RSI is about to hit the 70.00 level and turn overbought, while the price being near the top of the 3-month Channel Up. As you can see, similar Channel Up patterns have existed since...
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has started trading within a Channel Up pattern of Higher Highs initially since the beginning of the year (2023). The price is at the moment almost on its bottom, which will be the 2nd Higher Low since July 14. Since the October 03 top after which has entered the corrective (bearish) leg, the index is within a very tight (hence...
Gold (XAUUSD) hasn't so far diverged from the previous two ATH peak patterns (March 08 2022 and August 07 2020) as following this Cycle's new All Time High, it got heavily sold to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which held and initiated a price rebound. This rebound sequence is now approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is where the Lower Highs...
JP Morgan Chase (JPM) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 12 2022 market bottom. Currently it is on a relentless rally since the October 27 2023 Higher Low, which is technically the Bullish Leg towards the Channel's top and new Higher High. The peak points of the previous two main Bullish Legs of the Channel Up, took place when the 1D...
It has been a little over 2 months since our last analysis on Polygon (MATICUSD), which eventually hit our 0.7000 target (see chart below) and has now broken above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since March 13 2023: As you can see on this 1W time-frame, we are about to get a Bullish Cross between the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1W...
Hang Seng (HSI1!) has been trading within a Channel Down throughout the whole year. As the rice hit its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) on December 11 and the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross, we expect the new Bullish Leg towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend trend-line) and the to (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down. The average rise within this pattern has...
The NZDJPY pair is trading within a Channel Up pattern using the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a pivot point as of late. We can see a diverging (dotted) Channel Up that has priced the recent Higher Highs as well as being supported by the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The 1D RSI has rebounded on the 39.90 Support level, which is where the last two Higher Lows has...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently testing the 1-month Higher Lows trend-line that has been supporting the price action since the November 22 Low. Even though the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) has been acting as a Pivot, the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) has been intact and supporting since October 15 and is right below that Higher Lows trend-line. Technically, the price...
Tesla (TSLA) is extending the rally following the buy signal (see chart below) we gave on November 07 at the bottom of the 1 year Channel Up: The price has had 6 green candles out of a total of 7 and looks to repeat the Bullish Legs of April - July and January - February. What's more important than that, is that Tesla is approaching its 'Do or Die' moment as...
Last time we looked at Nikkei (NI225) for the long-term (May 26 2022), it gave us the most optimal buy entry we could expect (see chart below), as it bounced on the 10 year (since October 2012) Higher Lows trend-line, and from 26000 almost hit 34000: The index has since seen a 4 month correction (from July to October) to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which...
The CADJPY pair has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the March 2020 market bottom. The recent rejection on the 1.5 Fibonacci level back to the 0.5 show it test and hold an important Support, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has only broken once in 3 years (since November 2020) and that was during last year's inflation crisis. As long as it...
We have seen the Magnificent 7 (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvdia, Meta, Tesla) underperform on this rally since the October Low relative to the rest of the Nasdaq index (NDX). The former can be seen on the left chart while the latter on the right. This goes so far against the aggressive nature of the Magnificent 7 (M7), which have outperformed Nasdaq on all...