The S&P500 index (SPX) has extended its rise since our buy call 21 days ago: The price is at the moment on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 28. The Higher Lows trend-line below offers an additional Support level, with the last resort being the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) below, in case the 4H RSI breaks towards the Green Zone....
EURUSD rebounded on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since our March 24 analysis, but hasn't reached the 1.10300 Target yet: What emerged since then is a Channel Up and the current break below the 4H MA50 is significant enough to push it as low as Support 1 (1.07870) and the bottom of the Channel Up. The RSI hit its Lower Lows trend-line though and based on the...
Gold (XAUUSD) is pulling back as we suggested with our last week's analysis based on the US10Y: The pattern that emerged is a Channel Up since the March 20 High and the price is right now on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as it holds the Higher Lows trend-line (bottom) of the Channel Up, it is a buy signal, targeting 2050 (a Higher High). If it...
With the high degree of correlation among financial assets, it is not a coincidence that Bitcoin (BTCUUSD), Nasdaq (NDX) and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) all are on Huge Pivot Zone, the behavior of which is more likely going to determine the trend for the next several months. Bitcoin's Pivot Zone has been in effect since January 2021 and is just above the 0.382...
The GBPJPY pair did give a good rebound and pull-back following our February 03 idea but hasn't yet touched the Symmetrical Support level: However it did manage to form a solid Channel Up, closing above the old Higher Lows trend-line and rebounding on the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). As long as those hold, buy and target 168.000 right below the Symmetrical...
ENJIN (ENJUSD) is having a major bullish break-out today as not only did it break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than a month but also hit the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in a year (since April 02 2022). The chart on the right displays ENJ during its 2018/2019 Cycle and even though we need strong fundamentals to...
The US02Y has been trading on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past 4 weeks, closing above it on all occasions. This is a key time for (primarily) the stock market as the last time the US02Y broke and closed below its 1W MA50 (week of December 31 2018), a massive rally on stocks (which on this chart are portrayed by the S&P500 and the black trend-line) was...
We haven't looked into the ETHBTC pair in a while but there is no better time than now, in the build up of what the market calls an 'alt season'. As you see the pair hit its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) this week after a strong rebound on the RSI from below the 30.00 oversold barrier. Last time that happened was on June 13 2022. The Fibonacci levels help at...
According to the BTC Market Cap Dominance (BTC.D), a huge alt season may be upon us if the Rectangle that has been ranging in since May 2021, breaks to the downside. The pattern is quite similar to April 2014 - June 2016. That was when Bitcoin (orange trend-line) was in a Bear Cycle and on September 2015 it was coming off of it. It appears that we might be where...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) isn't backing down, withstanding to perfection so far any noise in the stock market, a development that establishes that its new Bull Cycle is well underway. Having broken above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and what will most likely be the 4th straight weekly closing above it, we can see that it is testing (and so far struggling to break) the key...
The GBPUSD pair eventually rebounded and hit the Double Top Resistance, which was our Target as presented on our February 28 analysis: At the moment the price is above that level (1.2450) and as long as it closes above it, we will be targeting 1.2650 on the May 27 2022 High Resistance. A closing below 1.2450 could set this rise back to the 1D MA50 (blue...
The USDJPY pair hit the sell target we set on our February 28 analysis as it got rejected on the 138.210 Resistance and dropped back to the (dashed) Higher Lows trend-line: As long as this trend-line holds, it is more likely to see one more rebound first to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for short-term traders and then to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for...
Dow Jones is currently on the 3rd straight green 1W (weekly) candle above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), testing the top of the 4-month Channel Down. We have previously seen almost the same pattern during the 2015-2016 correction (E.U./ China/ Oil crisis). A fake-out below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) initiated a rebound above the correction's Lower Highs...
Ethereum (ETHUSD) is on the 3rd straight week after the break-out from the Bear Cycle's Lower Highs trend-line. When that took place during the previous Cycle, the break-out rally reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. This time the 0.5 Fib is only $150 higher from the current price levels. This may be an indication that the rally that has just started may...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of a critical breakthrough on the 1W time-frame. The former Support of the first half of the Bear Cycle is around 30k and is currently being tested. History has shown that when this level gets tested as a Resistance and breaks during the start of a new Bull Cycle, it never gets retested (cannot count the irregularity of a once in 100...
Gold (XAUUSD) reached (even broke marginally) the top of its long-term Channel Up. At the same time, the US10Y (black trend-line) is almost on a Double Bottom similar to February 02. That was a medium-term peak for Gold and a one month correction followed as low as the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). Gold's peak was made after its 4H RSI broke above its Lower Highs...
Nasdaq has gone a long way since we called for a rebound on the 1D MA200: The current rally within this Channel Up pattern that started in December is on its second Bullish Wave, supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and is targeting at least the 13730 Resistance of the August 16 High. The best level to buy during this run is on the Higher Lows...
The EURUSD pair has recovered after the drop below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and is almost at the top of its short-term Channel Up. With the 4H RSI reaching its Lower Highs trend-line, we expect pull-back to the bottom of the Channel Up and the 4H MA50 before a rebound that will test Resistance 2 and our 1.10300 long-term...