An often overlooked index, the EURSTOXX has been on a rising 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) since late January. This is a major Bull rally continuation signal as it matches the pattern of four prior uptrends of the past 10 years. The 1W RSI has turned neutral and during Bull Cycles, this is always a strong signal to enter. We are expecting a peak on this rally close to...
The decline on the EURUSD pair since the February High is having many lose sight of the long-term trend. As we called back in September, the pair was at or near a Cyclical Bottom. This chart on the 1M (monthly) time-frame helps at better understanding its long-term Cycles in the span of a decade. The blue trend-line is the 1M RSI and the orange is the 1M MA200....
As everyone is aware, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made an incredible rebound on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) 5 days ago shortly after forming a Bullish Cross with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). As many analysts have been comparing the current Cycle Bottom to that of 2015, it is perhaps time to call it a day on expectations for a 15.5k Double Bottom as it happened on...
The U.S. Government Bonds 2 YR Yield (US02Y) is testing its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 31 2021. The 1W RSI is on the very same Lower Highs trend-line rejection that it was during the December 17 2018 1W MA50 test! Needless to say this shows that the price is on a critical point as when it broke in Dec 2018, a downtrend followed that...
We have showed you this multi-year Channel Up on the S&P500 index (SPX) before. We have shown you the Lower Lows Support of the 2M RSI that has caught all major bottoms since 2016. What this chart shows is that the index has bottomed on the Channel's Higher Lows (a 13 year trend-line) and is basically on an accumulation phase before the new rally begins. The...
This is a chart we've looked into in the recent past for Dow Jones (DJI) but amidst the recent uncertainty, we think it is necessary to refresh in order to keep things into a longer term perspective. The time-frame is the 1W (weekly) where Dow is seen forming an Arc pattern on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which since the 2009 housing crisis bottom, has formed...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rebounded on the 1D MA200 much more easily and much faster than anticipated as per our Inverse Head and Shoulders buy signal 4 days ago: The long-term target of 41300 is intact but as the price broke above the 25250 August 15 High with force, we are taking our perspective on the more short-term again, on the 4H time-frame. As you see, if we...
The EURUSD pair rebounded exactly on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as outlined on our analysis a week ago, having already hit our first short-term target of 1.06800: A comparison with the last long-term rally of similar structure, from April 2020 to January 2021, shows that we just completed the 1D MA100 pull-back. If the price breaks above the 1D MA50...
Gold (XAUUSD) reached our Inverse Head and Shoulders target (1913) we set last week and fulfilled the buy signal we gave 2 weeks ago right when the former Falling Wedge broke upwards: As the 4H RSI has gone overbought beyond limits, the 1D RSI is on a controlled bullish trend, with a Higher Lows trend-line as its Support. Every contact with it is a buy. As...
This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame against the Gold/DXY ratio. As you see, since 2016 the Gold/DXY ratio has been a leading indicator to BTC's trend on the long-term, filtering out what's needed. In the last two Cycles, the ratio bottomed out first before BTC, broke above its Bear Cycle Support and posted a Bull Flag before BTC and topped before BTC....
The EURUSD pair reached the first target of our long-term trading plan within this multi-month Channel Up: Going back to the 4H time-frame in order to formulate some short-term planning, we see the price now testing Resistance 1 (1.06990) that has already multiple rejections since February 20. The 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) is right ahead of it and makes...
Gold (XAUUSD) followed our last analysis very efficiently and reached the 1860 Target today: Right now the price is attempting contact with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in a month (since Feb 09). At the same time it makes contact with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level of the February 02 Top. With the 4H RSI overbought musch like on...
This Dow Jones (DJI) from the start of the 2022 Bear Cycle until today with the 2007 - 2009 (Housing Crisis) Bear Cycle fractal plotted on it. As you see up until the mid October bottom, the two sequences practically traded in an identical way. Since then however, Dow has completely diverged from the 07/09 fractal and despite the late weakness, it is hard to claim...
The S&P500 is on a medium-term correction following the February 02 rejection just below the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). The long-term pattern is a Cup formation and the price is approaching its buy Zone. Right now though it sits on the Higher Lows trend-line that has formed the medium-term Channel Up and is an ideal buy for the long-term, with limited downside....
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since January 13, which was half-way through the first rally of the new Bull Cycle. The long-term pattern since the November 21 2022 bottom can be seen as a big Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) that has started to form the Right Shoulder. The short-term Resistance is the 1D MA50 (blue...
The U.S. Dollar Index got rejected on its January 06 High Resistance and even though it is on a short-term Channel Up, the Resistance rejection as well as mostly the September 29 Lower Highs trend-line, will soon start to weigh sell pressure on the price action. With the 1D RSI printing a Head and Shoulders formation similar to September - October 2022, we remain...
WTI Oil (USOIL) is on a short-term bearish wave after getting rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line of January 23. As the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) is about to form a Golden Cross with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), we are opening a new short-term sell targeting 74.50, right above the Higher Lows trend-line. As you see every 4H Golden Cross has been a...
It is more than a week ago that we called the exact bottom buy on the S&P500 (SPX) index: Our first target (4050) has been hit and the 'Powell pull-back' is giving us a new opportunity to enter. As you seethe 1D RSI rebounded exceptionally on the Support provided by the December 19 Low and what's left now is only for the 1D MACD to make a Bullish Cross and...