Zkalish

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Why aren't helicopters dropping money to me?
Markets Allocation
58 % stocks 8 % forex 33 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 20% | 5 USOIL 16% | 4 SPX 12% | 3 AAPL 8% | 2
Zkalish Zkalish PRO USDMXN, D, Short
USDMXN: Long Peso Because Technicals and Election
134 3 5
USDMXN, D Short
Long Peso Because Technicals and Election

Preemptive note: This is non partisan analysis. Please do not waste my time (or yours) by saying anything about the polls not being accurate. That's self-indulging conspiracy theories that have no basis in any fact. Now onto the reasonings. 1) Price currently sitting at the .618 fib retrace. You can see this clearly on the chart. This is a level to look for a ...

Zkalish Zkalish PRO USOIL, W, Short
USOIL: Oil At Ascending Support - Watch for Breakdown
418 4 9
USOIL, W Short
Oil At Ascending Support - Watch for Breakdown

Oil is at a steep ascending trend line in a rising wedge. Watch for a breakdown of this level. Supports below include $45.5 with the .236 fib level, $42.00 at the .382 fib, $40.00 because it is a round number, and the 50% retrace at approximately $39.00. Note this is purely technical and the fundamentals of oil do not suggest oil can or will remain below $40 per ...

Zkalish Zkalish PRO USOIL, W, Long
USOIL: Oil IHS: Back to the 70s
238 1 9
USOIL, W Long
Oil IHS: Back to the 70s

Oil is at the bottom of a long down trend .As you can see on the chart, it is near the neckline. If oil does break the neckline, based purely on technicals it should get to 200 sma, around $70, or even to the descending white line that it rejected in 2013 and 2014 before the massive drop that we have seen in the last two years. This puts PT 1 at approximately ...

Zkalish Zkalish PRO XLF, D, Long
XLF: Long Banks: The Fed Has to Raise, Right?
62 0 3
XLF, D Long
Long Banks: The Fed Has to Raise, Right?

In light of the beastly last two NFPs and increasing inflation, I would like the think the Fed will raise rates in September... they probably won't, but that is not the point. XLF has broken out of the nearly year long triangle quite clearly. It is a long. Near term resistance is at 25, however that should be taken out. Tl;dr: Long XLF

Zkalish Zkalish PRO EURJPY, 60, Long
EURJPY: Big EURJPY Bull Divergence in Perfect Channel: LONG
39 0 3
EURJPY, 60 Long
Big EURJPY Bull Divergence in Perfect Channel: LONG

EURJPY is in a lovely channel, and it bounced off the bottom of the channel and formed a bullish divergence in RSI. Long

Zkalish Zkalish PRO SPY, M, Short
SPY: Bye SPY (SHORT)
139 1 5
SPY, M Short
Bye SPY (SHORT)

SPY is about 40 cents from hitting the blue descending resistance it has rejected cleanly four different times. There are about four SPX500 points up to go as well. When SPY hits, and then rejects, said blue resistance, please pour a drink out for SPY, because it's not gonna be bullish for a long time.

Zkalish Zkalish PRO USOIL, 240, Short
USOIL: Short Oil on Break Down
97 0 5
USOIL, 240 Short
Short Oil on Break Down

Rising wedges are bearish. This one breaks on the 8th. I'm expecting a down turn unless there is some absurd fundamental change coming in supply and demand

Zkalish Zkalish PRO SPX500, 30, Short
SPX500: Calling Topsies on SPY
460 7 7
SPX500, 30 Short
Calling Topsies on SPY

Blue line is the neckline. Top. Short

Zkalish Zkalish PRO SPX500, D, Short
SPX500: Short The Inverse hammer
166 0 4
SPX500, D Short
Short The Inverse hammer

The index rejected the cloud top, the .5 fib, and the continued H&S neckline on Friday. The candle that formed was an inverse hammer. Be careful, this may be a bear trap. But, if it is not a trap, then this has to be a short.

Zkalish Zkalish PRO EEM, D, Short
EEM: Short EEM after H&S Neckline Reject
66 1 3
EEM, D Short
Short EEM after H&S Neckline Reject

EEM is about to retest the neckline of the head and shoulders that it broke down from at approximately $31 a share. If you look at the mix of countries that make up this ETF, rising oil prices generally will not cause a price increase. The only worry is if the USD rolls over, as EEM and USDollar are inversely correlated. Anyways, short here (or at 31 if you're ...

Zkalish Zkalish PRO SPX500, D,
SPX500: SPX500 Currently Resembling 2008 Chart: Will it Crash this Year?
540 4 6
SPX500, D
SPX500 Currently Resembling 2008 Chart: Will it Crash this Year?

I first want to note that this is a speculative idea, I may be seeing what I want to see instead of what is actually on the chart. But, with that said, there appears to similarities between the 2008 chart and the current chart. Additionally, if you hover over the blue ovals - for lack of a better word - on the chart, they should provide some context. Both periods ...

Zkalish Zkalish PRO AAPL, 30,
AAPL: AAPL Wedge Within a Wedge Wait for Move Either Way
110 0 4
AAPL, 30
AAPL Wedge Within a Wedge Wait for Move Either Way

Apple is in a falling wedge (trust me, the lines aren't random and work on multiple time frames), but for the last two days there's been a rising wedge. While there may be a decent rise in the future if/when AAPL breaks up out of the falling wedge, it may reject the wedge and bounce down to 105 in the next two days. It will be important to wait and see if AAPL is ...

Zkalish Zkalish PRO SPY, D, Long
SPY: Long SPY if channel bottom holds
370 4 9
SPY, D Long
Long SPY if channel bottom holds

Despite the huge drop last week, SPY looks poised for a bounce, barring any Fed shenanigans. While there is considerable downside if the current white channel support doesn't hold, I expect a bounce up to fill the gap from Friday, and potentially up to the white downtrend channel median in the beginning of the upcoming week.

Zkalish Zkalish PRO SPY, M, Short
SPY: Short SPY of the Blue Trend line if Monthly Doji Materializes
285 2 8
SPY, M Short
Short SPY of the Blue Trend line if Monthly Doji Materializes

We've seen SPY reject the blue line three prior times on the monthly chart. Though the reject already happened on the weekly chart in early November. But, now, if S{Y closes below 208.50 on Monday, then the monthly candle is a doji. I'm more than willing to short it to hell (also known as 199 if 206 breaks). Note I'm not telling you what to do, but I intend to ...

Zkalish Zkalish PRO SPY, 240, Short
SPY: SPY Short to 199 On Impending rejection
152 0 3
SPY, 240 Short
SPY Short to 199 On Impending rejection

SPY has been in a steep downtrend since it's November 3rd top. This downtrend is within a similarly step uptrend, that is within a slight downtrend originating in late May. While SPY has a gap to fill at 207.63, It has to get above the 200 day moving average, which will be at approximately 206.5 on November 17th. If SPY rejects these levels, it will also be ...

Zkalish Zkalish PRO SPY, D, Short
SPY: SPY Short to 200 MA
176 1 5
SPY, D Short
SPY Short to 200 MA

SPY may be overbought right now, but that is not the purpose of this chart. The bold light blue line was drawn back in early August, and I have not touched it since. Each time the price rejected this line a moderate fall happened immediately. On November 3rd SPY rejected this line again, so it should fall. My targets are the 200 day MA, and potentially filling ...

Zkalish Zkalish PRO SGYP, 60, Short
SGYP: SGYP Bearish Divergence & Channel Top Rejection
22 0 3
SGYP, 60 Short
SGYP Bearish Divergence & Channel Top Rejection

SGYP has been in a downwards channel for nearly three months. The price made a potential move to break out, but rejected off the 200 hour MA. On this MA rejection and failure to breakout of the bearish channel a bearish divergence formed on both MACD and RSI. Price targets are listed on the chart. Waiting for a resistance confirmation to enter the short position.

Zkalish Zkalish PRO USOIL, 30, Short
USOIL: OIL Short
46 0 4
USOIL, 30 Short
OIL Short

Oil viciously rejected its 200 day moving average last Friday. The currently slight upwards trend is at the angle of a theoretical bear flag. If oil breaks downside as I expect, it should find support around $44 a barrel at the old trend line.

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