adam234

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About me 5 years experience with background in classical technical analysis
Joined
Markets Allocation
88 % forex 12 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 52% | 13 USDJPY 16% | 4 NAS 4% | 1 EURTRY 4% | 1
adam234 adam234 EURUSD, D, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD short (trend line retest + 61,8% Fibo level)
39 0 4
EURUSD, D Short
EURUSD short (trend line retest + 61,8% Fibo level)

EURUSD has moved up to the previous trend line. The current level is the 61,8% and the retest of the previous trend line. Entering short using former important tops as stop level.

adam234 adam234 AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: Sell AUDUSD with excellent risk reward
113 0 5
AUDUSD, 240 Short
Sell AUDUSD with excellent risk reward

AUDUSD has broken previous uptrend after the brexit and the price tries to test the broken trend line now, which will probably serve as good resistance. 200 days EMA will also help to push the price down, so will the long upper shadow of previous 4h candle. Sell AUDUSD now at 0,74 with a stop loss of 0,7455

adam234 adam234 EURJPY, D, Short ,
EURJPY: EURJPY short entry
104 0 4
EURJPY, D Short
EURJPY short entry

EUR has recovered a lot thanks Draghi's comments last week. However the big picture hasn't changed at all. I was looking to a pair to short the EUR with an adequate stop loss. EURJPY offers an excellent opportunity, as the price jumped back temporarily to the previous breakdown level, posted a doji candle just below the 200 days EMA. When to try a short, if not ...

adam234 adam234 EURAUD, D, Long ,
EURAUD: EURAUD long entry
45 1 3
EURAUD, D Long
EURAUD long entry

EURAUD went up from 1.37 above 1.62 without any meaningful correction from April until early October. There is a correction unfolding now, and the 61.8% retracement seems to hold as the price posted a doji like formation yesterday. DXY index is approaching key level at 100, which was a hard one last time this year. I think USD appreciation is justified however ...

adam234 adam234 XAGUSD, D, Long ,
XAGUSD: XAGUSD long entry / downward momentum seems to disappear
41 0 2
XAGUSD, D Long
XAGUSD long entry / downward momentum seems to disappear

I am following this clear trend for a while, which is mainly driven by rate hike expectation and USD strength. As the market prices the expectations before measures materialize, I think XAGUSD has suffered enough, and EURUSD went down as much as it could without further trigger. I have rarely seen more than 10 falling candles after each other on any time frame, ...

adam234 adam234 USDJPY, 240, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY short entry after valid trend like break
1054 11 13
USDJPY, 240 Short
USDJPY short entry after valid trend like break

USDJPY was unalbe to break higher in November and retreated from the 123,50 level as BOJ doesn't increase its bond buying program. There is a clear trend line break on the 4h chart, natural stop loss level is close for a good risk -reward short trade. Previous high and moving average give my target for the trade, moreover the real driver of the pair EURUSD seems ...

adam234 adam234 EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD LONG / excellent stop at 1,0695
93 0 1
EURUSD, 240 Short
EURUSD LONG / excellent stop at 1,0695

USD appreciation seems to be too quick, positioning is one-sided. Everyone expects parity in the pair, which might be the case, however prices will go and cause the utmost pain first. The downtrend has stopped at 1.05 and counter trend price action has started to unfold until the 1.10+ level. The price has retraced 50% of that move, and possible double top ...

adam234 adam234 USDJPY, 60, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY short with good stop level
33 0 2
USDJPY, 60 Short
USDJPY short with good stop level

The current rally of USD against other major currencies has lost its momentum, except compared with EUR. However the current positioning shows extreme EUR short exposure (and USD long), it was very similar in June 2012. Currently investors are short in EUR in an extent of around 200K contracts, which indicate that further USD appreciation might be limited from the ...

adam234 adam234 NAS100, 60, Short ,
NAS100: NAS100 short / sell the retest of previous good support now res.
21 0 1
NAS100, 60 Short
NAS100 short / sell the retest of previous good support now res.

European indices are down heavily today, NAS100 broke down previous support 4063, the zone is under retest from the bottom side as price tries to climb again. Hourly chart suggest ideal short entry with stop levels above the previous support now resistance.

adam234 adam234 EURUSD, 60, Long ,
EURUSD: Trade idea: EURUSD market buy, stop at 1,3238
40 1 1
EURUSD, 60 Long
Trade idea: EURUSD market buy, stop at 1,3238

EURUSD trades downward for a long time, positioning according to commitment reports have completely changed at institutional players from eur long to severe usd long. There is a nice stop level below the low after FOMC speech from this week to play the bounce with good risk reward. The pair might fall further, but there is no bounce on the daily chart since 1.37, ...

adam234 adam234 AUDCAD, D, Long ,
AUDCAD: AUDCAD long entry with reasonable stop loss level
96 2 3
AUDCAD, D Long
AUDCAD long entry with reasonable stop loss level

I strongly believe, that the AUD is on the verge of over performing the Canadian dollar again, and the short term counter move is about to end soon. At 25th of October 2013 the round number 1 worked as an excellent resistance zone for the currency pair however since the 10th of March 2014 as the important level was breached, 1 works as a good natural support ...

adam234 adam234 EURTRY, 60, Short ,
EURTRY: entering EURTRY short
34 1 1
EURTRY, 60 Short
entering EURTRY short

carry trade players might push the price lower as previous necklace had been broken, the current short term move upward might mean ideal selling point.

adam234 adam234 USDJPY, 60, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY long, trend following
59 1 1
USDJPY, 60 Long
USDJPY long, trend following

I enter my USDJPY long based on the solid trend upward, taking advantage on the current low risk trade setup. Moving averages, trend lines and regression analysis support my bet and relative close stop can be applied. My target is slightly below 103.

adam234 adam234 EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: entering EURUSD short
62 0 3
EURUSD, 60 Short
entering EURUSD short

Trend line, moving average, RSI support the trade idea Previous, local high is my stop level

adam234 adam234 USDJPY, 60, Long ,
USDJPY: Profit from USD strengthening through JPY
92 5 2
USDJPY, 60 Long
Profit from USD strengthening through JPY

I see good profit potential in USDJPY cross by buying the USD at the market with a nice stop loss point. FIB time ex. experience says that larger move can be expected.

adam234 adam234 EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD short trade with good risk / rew ratio
114 3 2
EURUSD, 60 Short
EURUSD short trade with good risk / rew ratio

H&S like formation on hourly chart, furthermore European-USA interest rate spread might also drive the EUR lower

adam234 adam234 EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD short entered
112 4 4
EURUSD, 60 Short
EURUSD short entered

After the strong upwing in the EURUSD cross, the momentum seems to fade, a possible top has formed Tight stop loss with a lot bigger potential profit.

adam234 adam234 EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD short
73 2 1
EURUSD, 60 Short
EURUSD short

The momentum might fade, after the dollar rally yesterday. RSI divergence is worth to try a small short with tight stop.

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