alexinve

alexinve

FUNDAMENTAL Very good fundamental results. Net debt to EBITDA ratio x0.99, EBITDA +35.6% increase YoY. Even though Canal+ business has Netflix and HBO as biggest competitors, Gameloft investment was a smartmove from Vivendi, as well as Lagardere. Deconsolidation of Telecom Italia damaged shareholders' attributable earnings up to -€1bn. I still need to get...

alexinve

Back in Oct 13, 2022 I made this analysis: Compared to Vonovia, Grand City has a double better debt position than its big competitor. Earnings payout are 23% and cash payout 64%. Vonovia's respective figures are 67% and 61%. Debt quity ratio at 57% is highly different from Vonovia's at 117%. Grand City may experiment higher costs of debt refinancing in 2023 but...

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After posting a more than 14% drop in 2022 operating profit (1.74bn), missing market estimates of 1.84 bn, and even though its operating capital generation (OCG) jumped 8% to 1.71 billion euros last year mainly thanks to higher interest rates and a strong business performance of the Netherlands Life and Insurance Europe segments; the company is shaping the biggest...

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The recent rally of Tesla could be unstoppable. At least, until $316.10 level. A formation of an inverse head and shoulders could be underway should inflation lay low next Tuesday 14th of February CPI reading. However, in the context of high tensions between China and the US and Russia and Europe; other variables may affect the market destroying any prediction...

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Bears in Twitter start to ask themselves whether they were all wrong or they were too early to bet against the market after the Fed was hawkish-but-not-too-hawkish in yesterday's meeting. DAX is a heavily automotive, banks and other cyclic assets weighted European index. Europe has performed better than America, but if ECB decides to implement an even more hawkish...

alexinve

FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FUNDAMENTAL 2022 EPS Q4 better than expected: 0.0503 (exp. 0.0388). Issued premiums revenue 5.895B (exp. 5.83B). Nevertheless, -36.1% YoY Q4 profits. Final dividend of 14.5 cents, payout 69.5%. Conclusion: weak 2022 results overall give the share price a PER of 8.83 at price 1.842. P of PER increases, an overvaluation could...

alexinve

After surpassing Fib 0.5, it looks like the stock is heading towards 0.382 level (21.81). Right now the company is immersed in a share repurchase program since 12/03/2021 and it has already acquired 19.23% of its €125 million valued shares objective. Maybe the company's financial advisers are playing with chart patterns in order to confirm its trend and go beyond...

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O2-Virgin operation in May. Before mid March, important date when competitors will provide information. Technical analysis shows a bullish bat pattern and its prophecy being accomplished today. Fibonacci retracement level 0.236 has been reached and tomorrow TEF may try to conquer 3.80 once again if profit taking doesn't make the stock flat all over the session....

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Sampo earnings results are due on Feb 11. H&S could be underway. Key support at 32.92, where I would say it would be a good moment to buy with the risk of losing 7.81% in the near term.

alexinve

-23% EBITDA YoY -62% Net Profits YoY -1% EBITDA QoQ (not that bad) The company expects €64M net profit in 2023, more than x5 than 2020. Short-term outlook bearish towards first support level at 3.71.

alexinve

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS RSI-14 is almost going under 30-level boundary (change in trend is expected once this happens, what means going from downward to upward trend) In the last week, sell volume has increased, specially on February 18 and 19. Key support at 5.55-5.65 Besides, SBS is closing a triangle which could foster some volatility in its...

alexinve

68.2% of GRIFOLS revenues come from the US and Canada. Covid19 cases there seem to be decreasing. The company is delaying more and more its deadline of results for the phase III of the inmunoglobulina antiCovid-19, now until spring 2021. If GRLS results are positive or better than expected (specially Q4 ones), I expect a jump from 21.61 to 26 in a matter of 2...

alexinve

Quasar is the firm created by Banco Santander in association with Blackstone, who holds 51%, to deal with Banco Popular's toxic assets. In 2019, Quasar suffered losses of €1229 million and covid19 may increase them a lot. If Blackstone decides to bring the Spanish bank to court, SAN could face subpoenas and legal amendments that could bring down SAN's shareprice...

alexinve

FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Palantir's 2021 outlook disappoints investors: Year-over-year revenue growth of greater than 30% (instead of greater than 47% as it's been in 2020) And for Q1 2021, they expect: Year-over-year revenue growth of 45%. Adjusted operating margin of 23%. For the fourth quarter, Palantir reported an adjusted profit of 6 cents per share,...

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Today, the company has passed 0.236 Fib retracement level and now is touching the upper boundary of the bearish channel it's been immersed since Nov 23, 2020. RSI 14 is about to surpass 70 level, which usually means a change of trend and that would be bad news for IAG's investors. Either technical and fundamental perspective looks bearish. Easter holidays are...

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Private placement of 1.736.346 shares at a price of 25.55€ made today to acquire "Résidence des Ardennes" (Attert, Belgium) makes the share price tumble more than 3.35% once trading is opened at 14:30h (closed since 9:00). Fibonacci retracement suggests buying at 24.80€. However, volatility in markets due to lockdowns may drag the price towards 18.80€ again but...

alexinve

FUNDAMENTAL: The company improves EBITDA YoY +9.0% but misses Q4's by -31.3%. Net Sales (YoY) +2.6% but missed Q4 -7.0% Outlook for 2021: Net sales in 2021 slightly lower than in 2020. Operating profit estimated to be lower or clearly lower than in 2020. TECHNICAL: Fibonacci Retracement level suggests Orion's about to break 0.618 level downwards up until 29.60...

alexinve Updated 

What should we do? Wait until it reaches 0.20? Or obey this harmonic pattern that may lead the way in the coming days? Maybe, in the psychological mindset of the investors that put money in this company there exists the thought of a +100% revaluation until January or February. Besides, the company has been recently included in the Ibex Small Cap index.