ali.se.18

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About me Student with passion to trade mainly commodities.
Joined Germany
Back to business
Markets Allocation
36 % forex 8 % commodities 4 % cryptocurrency 52 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
XAUUSD 52% | 44 EURUSD 9% | 8 NZDUSD 4% | 4 CL1! 4% | 4
ali.se.18 ali.se.18 BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Possible Upwards Movement after sideways stage
439 0 1
BTCUSD, D Long
Possible Upwards Movement after sideways stage

We had some weeks of sideways movements and now we are getting to the corner of the mid-term upwards trend where we have more upwards movements and lots of downwards rejections. This indicates a continuation of the mid-term upwards trend.

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Possible Upwards-trend approaching after correction
502 0 10
BTCUSD, D Long
Possible Upwards-trend approaching after correction

After a medium correction into the lower areas of the longterm-trend we could see new approaches towards the higher areas.

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Rebound and possible next attempt
75 0 0
BTCUSD, D Long
Rebound and possible next attempt

I tried to figure out a very simple and easy way to describe the chart with basic tools. As i learned in my years of experience simplicity is the way to warn success. And here we go. We can see that we have a good recover from the last upwards shoot and trying to stay in the steady upwards area.

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 EURUSD, D, Short ,
EURUSD: ABCD Pattern EUR/USD 7/12/14
481 0 3
EURUSD, D Short
ABCD Pattern EUR/USD 7/12/14

The last AB drop could repeat as a CD leg towards last structure lows at 1.204-1.207. We could see a turn around there because of multiple divergences on the RSI and other indicators. But for now short is the better side on the market.

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 NG1!, D, Short ,
NG1!: Structure Trade Natural Gas 26/10/14
135 1 1
NG1!, D Short
Structure Trade Natural Gas 26/10/14

We saw a structure break with no pullback potential and therefore we can expect next structure retest. Entry: Around 3.62 SL: 3.8 TP: 3.4

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 ZS1!, D, Long ,
ZS1!: Structure experiment SOYBEANS 24/10/2014
158 0 1
ZS1!, D Long
Structure experiment SOYBEANS 24/10/2014

There is a small gap closing possibility on Soybeans after yesterdays close above 975. Long position: TP: 1060 SL: 945

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 XAUUSD, D, Short ,
XAUUSD: MA and Structure Analysis XAU/USD 17/10/2014
605 9 7
XAUUSD, D Short
MA and Structure Analysis XAU/USD 17/10/2014

We saw a nice correction towards 50 MA on the daily chart and it got perfectly rejected at the structure at 1240. Now 3 days we have lower highs and this indicates lower strenght for the bulls. We can expect a retest of previous structure lows at 1183.

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 XAUUSD, 60, Long ,
XAUUSD: Short-term Long Idea XAU/USD 30/9/14
188 1 2
XAUUSD, 60 Long
Short-term Long Idea XAU/USD 30/9/14

MA50 + RSI + Trend Channel are giving a small opportunity to go long here. Target 1: 1215 Target 2: 1224 Longterm: Still downtrend

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 XAUUSD, 240,
XAUUSD: Trend and COT Analysis 23. September XAU/USD
172 0 0
XAUUSD, 240
Trend and COT Analysis 23. September XAU/USD

We are still in a downtrend. In consideration of the current trend and fundamental situations we can see that the market slows down in its falling and tries to find some momentum on the downside. We have to wait for the next COT report to see how the big traders play. A turnaround for a correction could be very near.

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 XAUUSD, D, Short ,
XAUUSD: New COT Analysis XAU/USD 19/09/14
196 0 1
XAUUSD, D Short
New COT Analysis XAU/USD 19/09/14

My previous interpretation of this value was that I looked if the potential went lower or higher than previous week for defining a trend. But after watching a bit back in the past it shows more accuracy if the trend is defined by the point 1. If the potential wents from over 1 to under 1 it becomes an uptrend. If the potential wents from under 1 to over 1 it ...

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD:  COT Analysis 12. September XAU/USD
612 18 8
XAUUSD, D Long
COT Analysis 12. September XAU/USD

We had a lower shorting potential this week but the market did not go up. The COT shorting potential is a very qualitative value for predicting the market direction of the upcoming week. It depends on the relation to the last value. The so called shorting potential is again the second time lower and the commercials are stocking up their long positions. ...

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: 3-Drives Pattern + FIB
473 0 6
XAUUSD, D Long
3-Drives Pattern + FIB

We should consider some long positions around 1230. Very harmonic structure. Possible reversal at fib. 76,4% (1228) Target would be fib 38,2% (1311)

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: COT Analysis 5. September XAU/USD
387 4 8
XAUUSD, D Long
COT Analysis 5. September XAU/USD

I made a calculation system which shows the shorting potential of a trading symbol through the COT report which gets released every friday afternoon. The movement for the next week can be calculated fundamentally for getting a value which just tells you the movement if you know the previous value and in this case the value for the next week is lower than the last ...

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: Fibonacci Harmonics. What now? XAU/USD 22/8/14
514 1 5
XAUUSD, D
Fibonacci Harmonics. What now? XAU/USD 22/8/14

The description in the graph says it all. We are at a significant level, a broken support, but we got a pullback which pretty much supports the Idea for a reversal and a sequel towards older highs at 1345 and 1380. If market manages to come lower than 1260 it might be a signal for more downside pressure towards older lows like 1240 and maybe 1180 at the end.

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 NZDUSD, 60, Long ,
NZDUSD: Bullish Potential NZD/USD 19/8/14
243 0 1
NZDUSD, 60 Long
Bullish Potential NZD/USD 19/8/14

**THE TREND CHANNEL IS NOT SHOWN PROPERLY** As you can see in the structure in the graph there is still bullish conditions showing and it may break the structure level for more upwards pressure. Confirm after 0.851

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 EURUSD, 240, Long ,
EURUSD: Will US economy fail? EUR/USD 14/8/14
421 5 3
EURUSD, 240 Long
Will US economy fail? EUR/USD 14/8/14

Lets look forward for the producer price index. In my opinion the price is oversold and we need a correction.

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 XAUUSD, 240,
XAUUSD: US Data will manage the direction XAU/USD 14/8/14
321 1 5
XAUUSD, 240
US Data will manage the direction XAU/USD 14/8/14

We have a quiet situation again where the further movements are dependent to the upcoming data about the US economy. If the economy has positive results the price will fall and if not then it may break upwards.

ali.se.18 ali.se.18 NZDUSD, 60, Long ,
NZDUSD: DAILY FORECAST NZD/USD 13/8/14
158 5 3
NZDUSD, 60 Long
DAILY FORECAST NZD/USD 13/8/14

*TAKE PROFIT 2 HIT* Potential Profit = 32 Pips The NZD stays steady and USD is not showing its potential from the last weeks anymore. Enter a buy IF market hits 0.8440 Stop Loss: 0.8400 Take Profit 1: 0.8455 Take Profit 2: 0.84725

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