asferruzzi

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About me
Joined Adelaide, Australia
Financial Adviser by day, trader by night
Markets Allocation
93 % forex 7 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
AUDUSD 10% | 7 AUDJPY 8% | 6 NZDUSD 7% | 5 EURAUD 7% | 5
asferruzzi asferruzzi GBPNZD, 720, Long ,
GBPNZD: GBPNZD reversal idea
70 0 2
GBPNZD, 720 Long
GBPNZD reversal idea

Fundaments of UK are looking good, with forecast inflation and interest rates both expected to rise over the next 12 months. These factors do influence a currency. New Zealand fundamentals are forecast to remain fairly stagnate over the next 12 months. Obviously this could change. Fundamentals will apply a upward pressure on this pair. RSI has also formed a ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi EURAUD, 1D, Long ,
EURAUD: EURAUD reversal idea
27 0 0
EURAUD, 1D Long
EURAUD reversal idea

Recent inflation forecasts suggest Euro inflation is decreasing whilst Australia is increasing, this would suggest upward pressure on this pair. RSI has made a recent bullish divergence signal, indicating selling of the Euro is weakening. RIS has made a new technical uptrend whilst the price has made a technical downtrend, making this signal strong. This event ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi EURCAD, 1D, Long ,
EURCAD: EURCAD reversal idea
43 0 3
EURCAD, 1D Long
EURCAD reversal idea

I have been watching the CAD pairs recently because of recent news about the balance of trade deficit making a record high. This is bad news for the CAD, looking at the balance of trade historically, it is trending into more deficit. The reason this is bad news is because it means Canada needs to sell more CAD dollars and buy mostly US and Euros to cover the ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi USDMXN, 1D, Short ,
USDMXN: USDMXN trend reversal idea
90 0 1
USDMXN, 1D Short
USDMXN trend reversal idea

RSI has made a bearish divergence on this pair indicating momentum of the recent uptrend is weakening. RSI has made a new technical downtrend. Recent inflation forecast show Mexico's inflation to almost halve over the next 12 months which is generally good for the currency. Also, the interest rate differentials are massively in favour of the Peso. The US is ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi NZDUSD, 720, Long ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD potential reversal opportunity
85 0 5
NZDUSD, 720 Long
NZDUSD potential reversal opportunity

RSI is showing a bullish divergence and has made a technical uptrend. The RSI divergence is telling us the US dollar is weakening on this pair and the Kiwi is strengthening. Could this be institutions rebalancing their portfolios in anticipation of a new Kiwi uptrend? I would wait for a pullback to a fib level in order to get a good price then enter long. Exit ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi CADCHF, 720, Short ,
CADCHF: CADCHF trend reversal
56 0 1
CADCHF, 720 Short
CADCHF trend reversal

RSI bearish divergence has presented on the 12 hour time frame. RSI has made a technical downtrend whilst price has continued to make a technical uptrend, making the divergence signal strong. Most other Swiss currencies are appreciating which provides bearish support for a new downtrend on this pair. Some depreciating pressure is also on other CAD pairs, ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi AUDUSD, 1D, Long ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD trend reversal daily
83 0 2
AUDUSD, 1D Long
AUDUSD trend reversal daily

RSI showing bullish divergence at a major support zone. Most other AUD currencies are beginning to appreciate. Most other USD currencies are losing upward momentum, including the dollar index. Momentum is behind an appreciation of this pair. I am bullish. Wait for pullback to enter long. Exit when AUD appears to losing upward momentum. Potential risk/reward ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi TRYJPY, 1D, Long ,
TRYJPY: TRYJPY buy on new uptrend
31 0 1
TRYJPY, 1D Long
TRYJPY buy on new uptrend

RSI bullish divergence has occurred on this daily chart, and a new RSI uptrend confirmed. Divergence is in an indication that supply/demand is shifting. Lira is potentially shifting from distribution to accumulation. Other Lira's currencies are also appreciating and other Yen currencies depreciating. Target placed at next major level of support. Stop placed ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi EURTRY, 1D, Short ,
EURTRY: EURTRY potential reversal to downside
90 0 2
EURTRY, 1D Short
EURTRY potential reversal to downside

Price action shows the buyers are loosing commitment to push price above the indicated resistance level for the past few weeks. The RSI is also showing divergence to the downside which means the previous buying momentum that was driving the uptrend is weakening, indicating in advance that a reversal may be looming. The other factor weighing in that will ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi NZDUSD, 60, Long ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD double bottom reversal
33 0 2
NZDUSD, 60 Long
NZDUSD double bottom reversal

Daily time frame shows price within previous support zone. Hourly time frame shows price rejected support twice and potentially third. RSI indicator showing momentum to the upside. Based on the double bottom pattern, support area and RSI I am biased to the upside.

asferruzzi asferruzzi AUDUSD, D, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD reversal to the downside
97 0 9
AUDUSD, D Short
AUDUSD reversal to the downside

Strong uptrend over the previous 4 trading days. Volume recently stagnating indicating buyers may be losing momentum. Price is at a previous significant resistance area. A double top chart pattern has formed on the 2 hour chart time frame indicating the buyers may be losing momentum. I am biased towards a down move.

asferruzzi asferruzzi AUDUSD, 60,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD may breakout
32 0 4
AUDUSD, 60
AUDUSD may breakout

An inside bar has recently formed on the one hour time frame indicating price is pausing. Volume is also declining adding further confluence that the recent uptrend is pausing and may either continue upwards or reverse. I am biased towards both directions so have placed long and short orders. if price moves in one direction but then reverses quickly, the first ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi XAUUSD, 60,
XAUUSD: Gold stalling, potential breakout
141 0 5
XAUUSD, 60
Gold stalling, potential breakout

An inside bar has formed on the one hour time frame indicating a pause in the recent downtrend. Volume is also decreasing further adding confluence that the price has paused. Both these factors can indicate price will move quickly as either a reversal or continuation of the downtrend. I am biased to both directions therefore placing trades in both directions. ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi USOIL, 60,
USOIL: Oil price may breakout
79 0 6
USOIL, 60
Oil price may breakout

Price seems to be stalling on the one time frame with the formation of a recent inside bar from the recent uptrend. Volume is decreasing which also confirms price is stalling. History shows when an inside bar forms in the middle of a trend and declining volume, price may breakout in either direction. I have placed a long and short trade because I am not sure ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi XAUUSD, D, Short ,
XAUUSD: Buyers running out of steam
57 0 6
XAUUSD, D Short
Buyers running out of steam

Price has rejected this indicated area three time in the past month with a bearish pin bar forming yesterday. This is indicating that buyers do not have the commitment to push price above $1,260. Volume is also decreasing which can indicate the buyers are losing steam, therefore I have a bearish outlook for the short term.

asferruzzi asferruzzi USDCHF, D, Short ,
USDCHF: Sellers taking back control
34 0 5
USDCHF, D Short
Sellers taking back control

Recent price action indicates sellers have rejected the buyers attempt to take back control with two recent bearish pin bars. Price has also retraced to important levels, previous support and resistance plus the 61 Fibonacci level. Volume is also declining which is an indication that the retrace might be running out of steam. I have a bearish outlook for the ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi USOIL, D, Short ,
USOIL: Oil - Sellers taking back control
87 0 2
USOIL, D Short
Oil - Sellers taking back control

Recent price action and volume may indicate the recent pullback may be ending and continuation of the downtrend may continue. Price has pulled back to a previous support area back in early December 2016 and a pin bar has formed indicating sellers have taken control of recent price. To add weight towards downward move, volume has also clearly decreased and ...

asferruzzi asferruzzi USDCHF, 60, Short ,
USDCHF: USDCHF sellers taking control
17 0 4
USDCHF, 60 Short
USDCHF sellers taking control

bearish pin bar has formed indicating sellers have taken control over the past hour. Price penetrated previous support and also an important support area. Price has also retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level. My overall bias is down trend.

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