bageltokki

PRO
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About me trying to learn about the market, open to all kinds of advice and opinions!
Last visit Joined a year ago
Markets Allocation
29 % stocks 10 % forex 62 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 23% | 5 USOIL 19% | 4 AAPL 9% | 2 GDX 4% | 1
bageltokki bageltokki PRO AAPL, 2D, Short , 17 days ago
AAPL: aapl 5 wave over
44 0 3
AAPL, 2D Short
aapl 5 wave over
aapl 5 wave almost over? hit the top of the elliot wave channel (connect wave 2 to 4 and make a channel with top of 3), just need to wait for time to play out, shorting apple soon, but will wait till feb 15th to confirm. aapl has divergence on weekly, daily, 2 day, daily. divergent as heck
bageltokki bageltokki PRO NGAS, D, Short , 18 days ago
NGAS: nat gas reversed?
62 0 3
NGAS, D Short
nat gas reversed?
been shorting nat gas from 3.8s expecting a retracement, but recent developments have me confused. could this possible be a reversal and we just finished a contracting flat wave 2?
bageltokki bageltokki PRO USDCAD, D, Short , 24 days ago
USDCAD: retrace for more shorts
26 0 2
USDCAD, D Short
retrace for more shorts
ties in with DXY post. waiting to see USDCAD retrace up to either of those two zones. prefer to see reversal at 1.337 to 1.347 zone. won't be opening any trades unless DXY is in either of the short zones listed in the other idea.
bageltokki bageltokki PRO DXY, D, Short , 24 days ago
DXY: DXY retrace before more down
35 0 1
DXY, D Short
DXY retrace before more down
Just taking notes and tracking my thoughts. possible move for DXY to retrace up to 102.95 and run those stops on the fractal high, coincides with a bearish order block, but that may take us north of the alligator, another possible move would be to retrace up and run stops at 101.74 fractal before continuing down. ...
bageltokki bageltokki PRO AUDNZD, D, Long , a month ago
AUDNZD: AUDNZD wave 2 of wave c
61 0 7
AUDNZD, D Long
AUDNZD wave 2 of wave c
will be adding longs on AUDNZD, looks like 5 wave down completed in 2016 and currently in corrective ABC. 5 wave satisfies AO count, divergence, and MFI squat. wave 2 of wave c is almost over, looking to identify 5 wave completion on 30 minute TF on wave c of 2 of c
bageltokki bageltokki PRO GDXJ, 15, Short , 3 months ago
GDXJ: GDXJ/Miners - Still in downtrend
54 0 2
GDXJ, 15 Short
GDXJ/Miners - Still in downtrend
Miners finished a nice 5 wave move from 37s to 43s and are currently on a 3 wave pullback. wave a was complete with a 5 wave structure so we should be expecting a 5-3-5 pullback. wave b currently being completed with hopefully a retest of trump election highs and possibly to 42s. Will try to grab a long position ...
bageltokki bageltokki PRO USOIL, D, Long , 4 months ago
USOIL: one more spurt for oil before pullback?
54 0 0
USOIL, D Long
one more spurt for oil before pullback?
trying to see if similar pattern in June will play out currently 4 hr has bull div, daily has bear div building
bageltokki bageltokki PRO VRX, D, Long , 4 months ago
VRX: VRX good buying spot
59 0 1
VRX, D Long
VRX good buying spot
grabbed some VRX 25 calls Monday for Oct 21 for an ER play. cost basis abt 1.20 / contract daily bull divergence and wave count seems to fit, bounced off a fib. targeting for approx 30-ish if this is indeed wave 5 starting
bageltokki bageltokki PRO GDX, D, Long , 4 months ago
GDX: GDX possible long from 22s for wave 2 completion
47 0 1
GDX, D Long
GDX possible long from 22s for wave 2 completion
possible long from 22 GDX. possible wave 2 completion? Theres a A-B-C looking pattern that would give us 100% extension at 22.00 GDX. That lines up with 50% fib from 12s low to 30s high. also weekly ichi cloud support. soo... looks like bull divergence? on AO AC and stoch. prolly not gonna do options with ...
bageltokki bageltokki PRO SPX500, 240, Long , 4 months ago
SPX500: SPX... is wave 4 from brexit really over?
86 0 3
SPX500, 240 Long
SPX... is wave 4 from brexit really over?
Took a quick look at SPX again tonight after not trading it for a few weeks... looks like we might be in a wave 2 pullback (triangle) for the wave 3 of wave 5 (brexit wave 5). wave 4 of brexit ending in 2107s. if we break that red channel below then we will prolly see 2090s. but that would also ruin the whole ...
bageltokki bageltokki PRO USOIL, 60, Short , 4 months ago
USOIL: Wave 5 from low of the year starting.  target 50+
174 0 5
USOIL, 60 Short
Wave 5 from low of the year starting. target 50+
looks like we just completed wave 1 of wave 3 of wave 5. expecting a pullback to 50% of 61.8% fib. Bear divergence on hourly & 4 hour. (this chart is hourly but 4 hr shows same divergence) Not shorting, will start preparing to enter longs when AO and stoch RSI indicate an upcurve. prolly start position at 50% ...
bageltokki bageltokki PRO USOIL, D, Long , 5 months ago
USOIL: 2 possible levels to long from..
41 0 0
USOIL, D Long
2 possible levels to long from..
Started long position today at approx 43.65 USOIL. hope this fib holds, but personally feel that it won't (even though I'm already long!) Other possible strong support for a reversal back up I see is 41.7ish area. 1. its a fib retrace from the 40 - 49 upmove 2. It would complete a 3 wave A-B-C correction where ...
bageltokki bageltokki PRO SPX500, 60, Long , 5 months ago
SPX500: SPX BTFD - Long opp soon??!
134 0 1
SPX500, 60 Long
SPX BTFD - Long opp soon??!
Looks like wave 1 of 5 ended at 2186.8 and we have a 3-3-5 structure building now for wave 2 in the form of a flat. 2167 is .618 fib retrace as well as bottom of channel, hoping to see spx drop till there to grab a long, but will start a long position once it seems like the 5 wave down is complete. currently looks ...
bageltokki bageltokki PRO SPX500, 60, Short , 5 months ago
SPX500: SPX/SPY Short when we hit 2190s
56 0 2
SPX500, 60 Short
SPX/SPY Short when we hit 2190s
so wave 4 is more or less over for SPX (wave 4 from brexit lows) when we hit 2156. We should be building wave 1 of wave 5 now (which should be the longest wave and extended), we will see a pullback soon. Safe place to exit my 219 calls would be around SPX 2190s (~219.50 SPY i think?) will probably take my profits ...
bageltokki bageltokki PRO USOIL, 240, Long , 5 months ago
USOIL: USOIL Long
60 0 2
USOIL, 240 Long
USOIL Long
long USOil still from last post at 43s. wave 4 was complete with a A-B-C zig-zag 3-3-5. unfortunately if we do wave 1 = wave 5... we won't go past 47s. will take profit there to be safe. will have to zoom out and look at bigger picture to see where we really are.
bageltokki bageltokki PRO SPX500, 60, Long , 5 months ago
SPX500: SPX Wave 4 almost over
218 0 7
SPX500, 60 Long
SPX Wave 4 almost over
Looks like a Flat and triangle combination for wave 4 (from Brexit), missed that in my earlier chart. Will BTFD when we get back to the red line and make a new low, should not drop below sub-wave 4 of wave 3 though... (2147) This last move up will be huge, at least 120 points. Wave 1 and 3 were similar in length ...
bageltokki bageltokki PRO SPX500, 60, Short , 5 months ago
SPX500: SPX Wave 4 playout
278 2 5
SPX500, 60 Short
SPX Wave 4 playout
SPX currently in wave 4 from brexit lows. 2171~2172 region coincides with 50% fib of latest drop and will provide a fib extenion of 100% to 2148 region. 2148 region coincides with A-B-C down pattern from ATHs as well as a 38% Fib from wave 3 after brexit. Shorting 2171 for 2147 and going long for final wave 5 up ...
bageltokki bageltokki PRO AAPL, D, Long , 5 months ago
AAPL: AAPL - wave 4 from 89?
84 0 3
AAPL, D Long
AAPL - wave 4 from 89?
AAPL looks to be on wave 4 of a 5 wave up from 89s, the last uptrend for aapl stopped right at the 168% fib extension from the wave 1-2 pattern Coincides with SPX's possible wave 4 pullback? currently holding SPY 218 puts for Sept 2nd expiry. Will wait to see how AAPL reacts when it gets close to the fib ...
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