bageltokki

PRO
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About me trying to learn about the market, open to all kinds of advice and opinions!
Joined
Markets Allocation
34 % stocks 9 % forex 7 % commodities 50 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USOIL 13% | 6 SPX 11% | 5 NGAS 9% | 4 TWLO 4% | 2
bageltokki bageltokki PRO USOIL, 240, Short ,
USOIL: impulse wave complete,
175 0 4
USOIL, 240 Short
impulse wave complete,

CL seems to have finished a 5 wave move up into weekly bearish order block. shorted at weekly OB but exited shorts early. CL will most likely bounce from here or a little lower after running 49.17 stops, bounce back up to run stops at 51.2 or 51.7+ levels. will enter shorts at red boxed area, with target for blue box (to run stops at 47-ish) after we reach ...

bageltokki bageltokki PRO COPPER, W, Short ,
COPPER: short pops?
53 0 3
COPPER, W Short
short pops?

short pops, target 2.6?

bageltokki bageltokki PRO GOLD, 240, Short ,
GOLD: stairstep down to 1210s?
121 0 4
GOLD, 240 Short
stairstep down to 1210s?

cant possibly happen this way can it? =\ will short the pops if i get some

bageltokki bageltokki PRO LE1!, W, Short ,
LE1!: short live cattle after retrace
8 0 3
LE1!, W Short
short live cattle after retrace

got a good trade shorting live cattle 1.43% through COW Puts, exited when green line "stops" got ran. now waiting for possible retrace up to grey boxed area to sell some cow calls. cow is etf split between LE and HE. chose COW as it has options and higher weighting towards LE . may grab a small call spread if LE retraces down into 105-110 levels

bageltokki bageltokki PRO KC1!, W, Long ,
KC1!: long coffee
55 2 4
KC1!, W Long
long coffee

looks like coffee has been getting buys in monthly OBs. weekly MACD had divergence. decline from november to june looks like a corrective wave. should be in early stages of impulsive wave now, looking for stop run of 125 levels into yellow box. will sell $JO put spreads if KC1 gets there

bageltokki bageltokki PRO GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: possible DXY reversal - short GBPUSD
38 1 1
GBPUSD, D Short
possible DXY reversal - short GBPUSD

GBPUSD has divergence with DXY, EURUSD and USDJPY. while DXY made lower lows, EURUSD made higher highs and UJ made lower lows (coincides with dollar move) GBPUSD failed to make higher highs (shows possible distribution by larger funds). also this failure occured at a potential bearish order block. stop loss is at indicated (30 pips above recent prior high).

bageltokki bageltokki PRO WHEATUSD, D, Long ,
WHEATUSD: long wheat! buy the dip!?
27 0 0
WHEATUSD, D Long
long wheat! buy the dip!?

longed wheat at green line area (looked like weekly support) looks like a nice dip into bullish orderblock + prior support right now (testing consolidation breakout support?) would add more Wheat longs here ideally wheat should not move down past the grey boxed area.

bageltokki bageltokki PRO SUGUSD, D, Long ,
SUGUSD: lonnngg sugaaaa
37 0 1
SUGUSD, D Long
lonnngg sugaaaa

order block (purple area) held as support. sugar had strong rally off it and looks to be currently consolidating with a bull flag. seasonal cycle also shows sugar bullish trend. EMAs show bullish trend. bearish market structure broke in July and currently showing bullish structure.

bageltokki bageltokki PRO NGAS, D, Long ,
NGAS: holding on longs
69 7 4
NGAS, D Long
holding on longs

buy the dip? seeing if grey area is a valid order block, green line should hold... had some good consolidations past few weeks. targetting at least 3.12 area. break of that would also break bearish market structure on weekly and possibly indicate "bottom" is in also have seasonal cycle support

bageltokki bageltokki PRO USOIL, D,
USOIL: range bound
158 0 2
USOIL, D
range bound

looks like a 5-3-5 setting up. the recent downtrend was a pretty obvious 5 wave down (i think). will wait for oil to finish consolidating and look for buys at 44-45.5 range (order block + fib level). should also see macd or RSI divergence when we make a lower low could possibly trade a wave down if we do complete a 3 wave up (AB = CD, divergence on lower ...

bageltokki bageltokki PRO NTES, W, Short ,
NTES: short NTES
64 2 1
NTES, W Short
short NTES

study time. short NTES for ER. NTES diverging from NASDAQ and indices. also monthly divergences (higher price lower momentum). first target 270s. stop loss 321

bageltokki bageltokki PRO JPYUSD, D, Short ,
JPYUSD: Short JPYUSD
60 0 3
JPYUSD, D Short
Short JPYUSD

Tracking purposes -- can' trade forex personally DXY seems to have found support that is viable for a bounce to 96.5 area JPYUSD on daily has dual divergences, type 2 (yellow lines) and type 1(orange) divergence. also turned around on a fib level and possible bearish order block

bageltokki bageltokki PRO NGAS, D, Long ,
NGAS: long ng
66 0 4
NGAS, D Long
long ng

long ng. double divergence. type 2 on weekly and type 1 on daily. decent support location. would be very nice to see weekly close above 2.84. possible turtle soup patter on weekly. down side -- still another 10% to stop location... opening really small position here

bageltokki bageltokki PRO NGAS, D, Short ,
NGAS: short NG
87 0 2
NGAS, D Short
short NG

shorting NG if we get a bounce high enough to 3.02 to 3.06 levels and i see type 1 bearish divergence (possibly on 4 hr or 1 hr TF) possible type 2 bearish divergence on daily already in place with %R and MACD indicators. Stop at 3.11. targets at 2.816 (R/R of 3) and 2.735 (R/R of 4)

bageltokki bageltokki PRO TWLO, 240, Short ,
TWLO: TWLO Short
31 0 4
TWLO, 240 Short
TWLO Short

Daily has hidden bear divergence 4 hr has already set up normal bear divergence (higher price lower momentum) Price seems to stop around a possible support turned resistance point at 30s area. would like to see TWLO retrace back higher to 31 though. if TWLO drops from here, will wait for a retrace on that drop to grab longer term puts

bageltokki bageltokki PRO MRU, D, Long ,
MRU: MRU Long soon
11 0 5
MRU, D Long
MRU Long soon

Hidden Bullish Divergence on Daily TF Bunch of support levels lined up with fibs. Will be a good and safe buy to grab longs when smaller TF (4hr or 1hr) show a regular bullish divergence (lower price but higher momentum) I would split my buys at 40.8 and 40.07, stop below 38

bageltokki bageltokki PRO XBI, D, Long ,
XBI: long soon
49 2 4
XBI, D Long
long soon

me thinks XBI drops one more time, flush out some longs. and then have a strong reaction bounce followed by consolidation. will buy LABU on the breakout of that consolidation

bageltokki bageltokki PRO NG1!, D, Long ,
NG1!: NG long soon?
172 0 6
NG1!, D Long
NG long soon?

scenario 1: possibly a further drop, then a bounce and a accumulation/wave 2 going on before a breakout. scenario 2: retrace up, further down, making new low before continuing rally optimal safe entry is when NG goes sideways after making new lows

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