bageltokki

PRO
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About me trying to learn about the market, open to all kinds of advice and opinions!
Joined
Markets Allocation
44 % stocks 9 % forex 3 % commodities 44 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 14% | 5 USOIL 11% | 4 NGAS 8% | 3 TWLO 5% | 2
bageltokki bageltokki PRO NTES, W, Short ,
NTES: short NTES
29 0 1
NTES, W Short
short NTES

study time. short NTES for ER. NTES diverging from NASDAQ and indices. also monthly divergences (higher price lower momentum). first target 270s. stop loss 321

bageltokki bageltokki PRO JPYUSD, D, Short ,
JPYUSD: Short JPYUSD
36 0 3
JPYUSD, D Short
Short JPYUSD

Tracking purposes -- can' trade forex personally DXY seems to have found support that is viable for a bounce to 96.5 area JPYUSD on daily has dual divergences, type 2 (yellow lines) and type 1(orange) divergence. also turned around on a fib level and possible bearish order block

bageltokki bageltokki PRO NGAS, D, Long ,
NGAS: long ng
58 0 5
NGAS, D Long
long ng

long ng. double divergence. type 2 on weekly and type 1 on daily. decent support location. would be very nice to see weekly close above 2.84. possible turtle soup patter on weekly. down side -- still another 10% to stop location... opening really small position here

bageltokki bageltokki PRO NGAS, D, Short ,
NGAS: short NG
80 0 3
NGAS, D Short
short NG

shorting NG if we get a bounce high enough to 3.02 to 3.06 levels and i see type 1 bearish divergence (possibly on 4 hr or 1 hr TF) possible type 2 bearish divergence on daily already in place with %R and MACD indicators. Stop at 3.11. targets at 2.816 (R/R of 3) and 2.735 (R/R of 4)

bageltokki bageltokki PRO TWLO, 240, Short ,
TWLO: TWLO Short
30 0 5
TWLO, 240 Short
TWLO Short

Daily has hidden bear divergence 4 hr has already set up normal bear divergence (higher price lower momentum) Price seems to stop around a possible support turned resistance point at 30s area. would like to see TWLO retrace back higher to 31 though. if TWLO drops from here, will wait for a retrace on that drop to grab longer term puts

bageltokki bageltokki PRO MRU, D, Long ,
MRU: MRU Long soon
7 0 6
MRU, D Long
MRU Long soon

Hidden Bullish Divergence on Daily TF Bunch of support levels lined up with fibs. Will be a good and safe buy to grab longs when smaller TF (4hr or 1hr) show a regular bullish divergence (lower price but higher momentum) I would split my buys at 40.8 and 40.07, stop below 38

bageltokki bageltokki PRO XBI, D, Long ,
XBI: long soon
46 2 4
XBI, D Long
long soon

me thinks XBI drops one more time, flush out some longs. and then have a strong reaction bounce followed by consolidation. will buy LABU on the breakout of that consolidation

bageltokki bageltokki PRO NG1!, D, Long ,
NG1!: NG long soon?
168 0 6
NG1!, D Long
NG long soon?

scenario 1: possibly a further drop, then a bounce and a accumulation/wave 2 going on before a breakout. scenario 2: retrace up, further down, making new low before continuing rally optimal safe entry is when NG goes sideways after making new lows

bageltokki bageltokki PRO FDX, D, Short ,
FDX: short fdx!
30 0 4
FDX, D Short
short fdx!

was waiting to do something with FDX, but wanted ER to blow over first. looks like a good short candidate. 2 possible bearish order blocks. first one got touched march 1 and fdx closed below. also touched fib level. 2nd possible order block entered marc 17 20 and 22 (today). also bearish divergence bar forming on daily. see if it closes today and completes the ...

bageltokki bageltokki PRO QQQ, D, Short ,
QQQ: indices diverged
54 0 4
QQQ, D Short
indices diverged

noted march 15th (after FOMC?) that NDX made new highs but SPX and DJIA didn't. shorted QQQ by selling 132.5/133.5 call spreads on march 16. will close when i see divergence again. also shorted MSFT as MSFT was failing to make higher highs while NDX was. my assumption is that SPX/DJI will finish their ABC correction and start a 5 wave impulse. the end of wave ...

bageltokki bageltokki PRO MSFT, D, Short ,
MSFT: short msft - study
57 0 4
MSFT, D Short
short msft - study

shorted MSFT March 16, sold 65/67.5 spread puts. the sudden jump this morning worried me but within a few hours it mostly likely proved to be a stop run (on NFLX & QQQ as well) Saw indices diverge (SPX and DJI made lower highs but NDX made higher highs), identified 2 stocks in nasdaq 100 that were divergent to NDX (BIIB and MSFT) on March 15th after ...

bageltokki bageltokki PRO TWLO, D, Long ,
TWLO: study purposes
53 0 5
TWLO, D Long
study purposes

Just for tracking/study purposes TWLO long? triple bottom?

bageltokki bageltokki PRO AMD, D, Short ,
AMD: Testing out strategy
151 0 5
AMD, D Short
Testing out strategy

lets see if abandoned baby plays out (First time seeing it ever) looks like it may be a simple ABC correction, both highs were divergent bars. popped up monday to enter the bearish order block and open below today.

bageltokki bageltokki PRO AAPL, 2D, Short ,
AAPL: aapl 5 wave over
50 0 3
AAPL, 2D Short
aapl 5 wave over

aapl 5 wave almost over? hit the top of the elliot wave channel (connect wave 2 to 4 and make a channel with top of 3), just need to wait for time to play out, shorting apple soon, but will wait till feb 15th to confirm. aapl has divergence on weekly, daily, 2 day, daily. divergent as heck

bageltokki bageltokki PRO NGAS, D, Short ,
NGAS: nat gas reversed?
76 0 3
NGAS, D Short
nat gas reversed?

been shorting nat gas from 3.8s expecting a retracement, but recent developments have me confused. could this possible be a reversal and we just finished a contracting flat wave 2?

bageltokki bageltokki PRO USDCAD, D, Short ,
USDCAD: retrace for more shorts
27 0 3
USDCAD, D Short
retrace for more shorts

ties in with DXY post. waiting to see USDCAD retrace up to either of those two zones. prefer to see reversal at 1.337 to 1.347 zone. won't be opening any trades unless DXY is in either of the short zones listed in the other idea.

bageltokki bageltokki PRO DXY, D, Short ,
DXY: DXY retrace before more down
37 0 2
DXY, D Short
DXY retrace before more down

Just taking notes and tracking my thoughts. possible move for DXY to retrace up to 102.95 and run those stops on the fractal high, coincides with a bearish order block, but that may take us north of the alligator, another possible move would be to retrace up and run stops at 101.74 fractal before continuing down. i seem to prefer this as that would still keep us ...

bageltokki bageltokki PRO AUDNZD, D, Long ,
AUDNZD: AUDNZD wave 2 of wave c
62 0 7
AUDNZD, D Long
AUDNZD wave 2 of wave c

will be adding longs on AUDNZD, looks like 5 wave down completed in 2016 and currently in corrective ABC. 5 wave satisfies AO count, divergence, and MFI squat. wave 2 of wave c is almost over, looking to identify 5 wave completion on 30 minute TF on wave c of 2 of c

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