blackhorseshoe

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Last visit Joined 2 months ago
Markets Allocation
71 % forex 29 % commodities
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDJPY 71% | 5 CL1! 28% | 2
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe USDJPY, 60, 22 days ago
USDJPY: Medium Term direction is still not clear
41 0 6
USDJPY, 60
Medium Term direction is still not clear
Underlying USD bullishness has never abandoned the market, and a few headlines and good risk mood had many undecided traders jump back on the train. Now, where are we headed? To durably go up, 115.6 must be cleared to confirm double bottom; a downturn from here might still shape up as a continuation H&S. Data is ...
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe USDJPY, W, 2 months ago
USDJPY: USDJPY - What is the prevailing underlying trend?
91 1 7
USDJPY, W
USDJPY - What is the prevailing underlying trend?
Anyone spotting an uncanny resemblance between this set of waves and 1995/2000's? After a strong bullish cycle between 1995 and 1998 following the Kobe earthquake, UJ corrected in a ABC fashion. B wave was completed in preparation to the 1999 FED tightening cycle. Today? 2012-2015 1-2-3-4-5, A completed amidst poor ...
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe CL1!, 15, 2 months ago
CL1!: WTI move already done?
80 0 5
CL1!, 15
WTI move already done?
OPEC deal is lots of brouhaha, but details do not justify a sustainable move to $60 for three reasons: 1) latest production level for OPEC countries came at 34.19 bpd, cutting 1.2mn bpd as agreed would simply bring production back to August levels, when the price was at or below $50; 2) commitment of non-OPEC ...
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe USDJPY, D, 2 months ago
USDJPY: Bearish, but trendline must be broken
71 0 5
USDJPY, D
Bearish, but trendline must be broken
Still bearish on this pair, idea predicated on daily divergence across many oscillators (from CCI to Stoch), convergence of strong resistances around 114.8/115.5/116, and on long term view that USD multi-year rally has run its course. However, this morning's rebound off the trendline confirms the resilience of the ...
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe USDJPY, D, Short , 2 months ago
USDJPY: USDJPY - Divergence
90 1 1
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY - Divergence
Stoch, Commodity Channel, Momentum and MACD indicators are all showing increasing divergence. I also see strong LT trendlines/resistance here. I am not entering a short position as of yet, but looking for a bullish signal reversed pattern tomorrow. If materialized, pullback might be deep.
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe CL1!, D, Short , 2 months ago
CL1!: Head and Shoulder on WTI
75 0 5
CL1!, D Short
Head and Shoulder on WTI
If no OPEC deal/deal not liked by markets, potential for move through the neckline of the head and shoulder I see forming. Target would be 35/36.
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe USDJPY, 15, Short , 2 months ago
USDJPY: USDJPY - Move lower in sight
95 0 4
USDJPY, 15 Short
USDJPY - Move lower in sight
Looks like a bearish gartley pattern is building up, D point is around 113.3/113.4. Also, on the 1D chart I am focusing on an evening star + engulfing pattern started on Friday. 111.36 remains main support, if broken I would place TP1 @110.5 and play an even deeper correction into next week (109 and even 107.5 if ...
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