blackhorseshoe

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Last visit Joined 10 days ago
Markets Allocation
67 % forex 33 % commodities
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDJPY 66% | 4 CL1! 33% | 2
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe USDJPY, W, 2 days ago
USDJPY: USDJPY - What is the prevailing underlying trend?
80 1 5
USDJPY, W
USDJPY - What is the prevailing underlying trend?
Anyone spotting an uncanny resemblance between this set of waves and 1995/2000's? After a strong bullish cycle between 1995 and 1998 following the Kobe earthquake, UJ corrected in a ABC fashion. B wave was completed in preparation to the 1999 FED tightening cycle. Today? 2012-2015 1-2-3-4-5, A completed amidst poor ...
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe CL1!, 15, 2 days ago
CL1!: WTI move already done?
75 0 5
CL1!, 15
WTI move already done?
OPEC deal is lots of brouhaha, but details do not justify a sustainable move to $60 for three reasons: 1) latest production level for OPEC countries came at 34.19 bpd, cutting 1.2mn bpd as agreed would simply bring production back to August levels, when the price was at or below $50; 2) commitment of non-OPEC ...
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe USDJPY, D, 4 days ago
USDJPY: Bearish, but trendline must be broken
69 0 5
USDJPY, D
Bearish, but trendline must be broken
Still bearish on this pair, idea predicated on daily divergence across many oscillators (from CCI to Stoch), convergence of strong resistances around 114.8/115.5/116, and on long term view that USD multi-year rally has run its course. However, this morning's rebound off the trendline confirms the resilience of the ...
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe USDJPY, D, Short , 9 days ago
USDJPY: USDJPY - Divergence
89 1 1
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY - Divergence
Stoch, Commodity Channel, Momentum and MACD indicators are all showing increasing divergence. I also see strong LT trendlines/resistance here. I am not entering a short position as of yet, but looking for a bullish signal reversed pattern tomorrow. If materialized, pullback might be deep.
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe CL1!, D, Short , 10 days ago
CL1!: Head and Shoulder on WTI
73 0 5
CL1!, D Short
Head and Shoulder on WTI
If no OPEC deal/deal not liked by markets, potential for move through the neckline of the head and shoulder I see forming. Target would be 35/36.
blackhorseshoe blackhorseshoe USDJPY, 15, Short , 10 days ago
USDJPY: USDJPY - Move lower in sight
90 0 4
USDJPY, 15 Short
USDJPY - Move lower in sight
Looks like a bearish gartley pattern is building up, D point is around 113.3/113.4. Also, on the 1D chart I am focusing on an evening star + engulfing pattern started on Friday. 111.36 remains main support, if broken I would place TP1 @110.5 and play an even deeper correction into next week (109 and even 107.5 if ...
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