cjprange

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Markets Allocation
15 % commodities 10 % stocks 75 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GOLD 40% | 8 NGAS 15% | 3 GDX 10% | 2 CL1! 10% | 2
cjprange cjprange GOLD, 120, Long ,
GOLD: last chance bulls -- swing to 1320ish
159 1 3
GOLD, 120 Long
last chance bulls -- swing to 1320ish

Just a trade, dont stay in because longer term this does go lower, first we have to shake off some bears, and there's a lot kicking around lately

cjprange cjprange GDX, 15, Long ,
GDX: Text book long entry
200 3 8
GDX, 15 Long
Text book long entry

standard 50% retracement after 5 waves up. This should be a big winner.

cjprange cjprange GOLD, 60,
GOLD: gold may be topping in a diagonal
62 0 6
GOLD, 60
gold may be topping in a diagonal

look for a healthy correction after this possible wedge plays (towards the previous wave iv or 50-61.8% or so) for a generous long entry and a 3rd wave

cjprange cjprange GDX, 15,
GDX: bit lower before the big rally
81 0 8
GDX, 15
bit lower before the big rally

should drop towards the .618 retracement for a second wave long entry for a lucrative 3rd wave. not too hard at all to see the zig-zag combination with an X wave triangle correction :)

cjprange cjprange USOIL, 15, Short ,
USOIL: chop and down
64 1 3
USOIL, 15 Short
chop and down

as the pic says, should give an up down up before large move down

cjprange cjprange NGAS, 30, Short ,
NGAS: short term aggressive short
273 3 7
NGAS, 30 Short
short term aggressive short

This is for the trader with balls made of steel. The recent rally has been...unattractive and hard to get a good read on. Regardless, here we are. The rally appears to be fatiguing into an ending diagonal for the 5th and final wave up (for now). The most conservative trader will wait for a pull back towards C on the chart and then BUY this bull market up with two ...

cjprange cjprange USOIL, 120, Short ,
USOIL: Not a bargain for longs yet
91 0 3
USOIL, 120 Short
Not a bargain for longs yet

If oil stays under 46 we have much more downside to come.

cjprange cjprange GOLD, 240,
GOLD: two paths to eventual up
60 0 1
GOLD, 240
two paths to eventual up

Path one in black, we finish at Y=W (or the .618 below around 1170-1180) before moving to new highs. In this scenario we should first get a bounce to 1260-1280 before dropping to Y=W. If this bounce keeps going without heading back down towards y=w then we are likely on the second path in blue which is a triangle pattern. Entering long at Y=W is sensible being ...

cjprange cjprange GOLD, 60, Long ,
GOLD: Time to think long
68 0 1
GOLD, 60 Long
Time to think long

We have a 5 wave to complete a measured move. It does make sense to end the decline here but it is possible to get some form of extension toward 1880. This should be a fantastic opportunity to go long and ride gold back up towards 1400. Its too soon to pick an exact upside target however.

cjprange cjprange GOLD, D,
GOLD: The jury is out
109 1 3
GOLD, D
The jury is out

Recent price action can't be ignored and is not at all ideal for bulls. Two scenarios are possible and more and more the bearish case is looking more likely. Be prepared for both. A STRONG move under 1270 we have to cancel my previous long idea and go consider shorting to 1241, if that breaks then we will most likely reach the 1180-1220 area.

cjprange cjprange GOLD, 120, Long ,
GOLD: Bias still on the bull side for gold
38 0 1
GOLD, 120 Long
Bias still on the bull side for gold

this triangle pattern is a normal wave 4 formation in a 5 wave impulse, there is no reason yet to doubt that we are going higher

cjprange cjprange NGZ2016, 240, Long ,
NGZ2016: Natty may have bottomed
41 0 1
NGZ2016, 240 Long
Natty may have bottomed

The decline was so violent that if you blinked you missed it, it happened so fast I couldnt even get short at X. But it appears that the entire decline may be over and we are ready to resume the bull market. This idea is wrong under 2.75 and right above 2.85 on the December contract

cjprange cjprange GOLD, 60, Long ,
GOLD: Leading diagonal in Gold?
42 2 1
GOLD, 60 Long
Leading diagonal in Gold?

a failed breakout above 1280ish could mean the first wave is forming as a leading diagonal and may result in a great buying opportunity 1255-1260 as wave 2

cjprange cjprange GOLD, 240, Long ,
GOLD: Bull case for gold
25 0 1
GOLD, 240 Long
Bull case for gold

If we test 1250 one more time soon in a simple 3 wave pattern and bounce above 1280, the bulls are back for gold but beware another test of the bulls patience will likely soon follow such a move and provide the best buying opportunity likely around the 1260-70 range

cjprange cjprange NGAS, 240, Short ,
NGAS: Natty is done, short the bounce
72 0 2
NGAS, 240 Short
Natty is done, short the bounce

shorting the B wave is smart, i wouldn't try to play a long from A to B (unless you're a quick trader)

cjprange cjprange USOIL, 240, Short ,
USOIL: Oil due for a correction
67 0 0
USOIL, 240 Short
Oil due for a correction

We are due for a significant wave 4 correction after an amazing run since mid september. Wave 3 appears to be ending in a smaller order wave 5 diagonal which would result in a significant drop 47.5 - 44.5 approximately. It is possible that there is no diagonal formation and instead we have a completed wave 5 of the third wave however this would result in a very ...

cjprange cjprange NGAS, 240,
NGAS: Nat Gas approaching a top?
98 1 4
NGAS, 240
Nat Gas approaching a top?

For everyone trying to short this beast the past few weeks, i think the top is around 3.600. Then we can expect at least a significant ABC correction. The time frames and actual arrow placements are rough estimates only -- i won't try to trade them. Consider this a general road map and trade with caution. Nat gas is a b+tch!

cjprange cjprange XAUUSD, 60, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold in a motive wave
45 1 0
XAUUSD, 60 Long
Gold in a motive wave

The wave counts just don't make sense as a correction wave, so it appears we may be near the end of a bear market motive wave for Gold. If my wave count is right, it would make sense to have an ABC correction upwards or flat here leading into the fed meeting next Wednesday to determine the direction of the next motive wave. Given that this current bear market ...

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CL1!
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