see chart North Korea is real concern for steady eddie, calm money too now.
See chart. Currency manipulation. Hey Trump, ask China how they do it, wait, he already knows.
See chart. So Trump is going to tell China to stop manipulating their currency, right? When was the last time we were at these levels, hovering, oh yeh, 2008. Trying to establish a base, but it it breaches, look out below. Dollar soars, and too much strength is really not good, oil tanks, etc. etc. This is just one thing to watch, of a very many things that can...
See chart. RSI is preceeding price this time big time. Breached top of trading range. Breached trend line of strength. Heading for its 200 day MA, and then its bye bye aluminum. Why? Aluminum is in almost everything. Auto sales down (aluminum trick beds i.e. Ford) , auto loans in question, retail suffering, big plans are stalled, grid lock has locked up...
If you follow me, you know I am a 90% bear, and play sharp downward moves, and the vxx. I just don't have the schedule to day trade like most if not all of you. But I watch, and as the bear sleeps, I keep one eye open on these markets. Did not play this run up, did not believe, although I hope the Dems leave the Reps alone so they can fix this, I fear the dems...
RSI v Price divergence. The bulls are frolicking, playing, feeling real good about themselves, talking a good game.... but the bears are yawning, waking up, stretching and ready for a little run.
see weekly chart. Fear and greed meter is skewed. Talk is cheap. Sooo many put buyers, well, if we don't drop hard, the spike up could be historic. What to do, what to do, what to risk.
These volumes speak volumes. Break the October low, and how low can we go ! Will correct markets this week possibly, with tension before the inaguration.
The Trump effect has taken this a 180, since election day. The S&P is in fantasy land. The thing about reality is, it does become itself eventually. Fantasies end. The Pound is effecting Dollar strength, as are others. How long can the dollar bear the weight of all the world's currencies. When US tarrifs hit, they will hit hard.
safe to say dollar and S&P are tied at the hip these days. Dollar keeps heading down from this action zone, stocks to follow like a little puppy.
Looking for a repair shop, but they are all closed. This Trump thing has broken all the predictors. Throw them away, like the past, like what we are used to, like history itself. Everything has changed and is changing, and is completely unpredictable, talk about unintended consequences, they will be HUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUGE! Or not, and it is all just a lot of hope...
Afraid if momentum continues up side, and breaks and survives this trend channel top TL, the HS and other scenarios posted would not work. However, the next few hours will tell, could reverse back down, and has a ways to go then.
Possible HS forming, with a symmetrical shape. Purple support TL broken. Head base broken. Moon phases is right on, for a dip to full moon jan 11th. Then? Always watching for that china currency controlling outflows factor. Could change everything, or confirm.
Last few double impulses up have resulted in a double wave pull back, the 1st pull back to approx the 50% retracement level, and then the 2nd to complete. The moon phase timing is worth mentioning. MACD ribbon has turned red. Only question is for how long. My theory may prove out here if that red stays red a little longer, and buyers give in to this pull back. ...
see chart, moon phases lining up again with pin action.