fxgraffiti

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Markets Allocation
87 % forex 3 % commodities 1 % indices 9 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GBPUSD 12% | 12 AUDUSD 10% | 10 EURUSD 7% | 7 CHFJPY 6% | 6
fxgraffiti fxgraffiti XAUUSD, W,
XAUUSD: Gold near top of short term rally
95 0 9
XAUUSD, W
Gold near top of short term rally

The USD is looking quite strong in the last little while, which I think will make it difficult for gold to continue its rally too much higher, although it could go as high as $1280. Gold could fall as far as $1150 but I think it will start finding support around $1170 if not earlier. Note that gold failed to close above the 200MA.

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti HG1!, W,
HG1!: HG1! Weekly EW
15 0 1
HG1!, W
HG1! Weekly EW

A possible EW count showing the end of .

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti CADJPY, D, Short ,
CADJPY: CADJPY ML
12 0 0
CADJPY, D Short
CADJPY ML

SL 100.964 Entry 99.565 96.766

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD Cypher
84 0 1
AUDUSD, 240 Short
AUDUSD Cypher

I just thought I'd republish this cypher that I published on April 28. Any opinions on how far it might go?

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti AUDUSD, D,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD Cypher
29 2 0
AUDUSD, D
AUDUSD Cypher

A possible cypher to keep an eye on.

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti EURAUD, D,
EURAUD: EURAUD Measured Move
13 0 1
EURAUD, D
EURAUD Measured Move

RSI is showing divergence but is still negative. There is nothing preventing another swing down in the RSI to a low, lower than that of the last swing, that would still show divergence from the oversold lows (this should be clear when you look at the RSI). I've drawn a measured move of the TL break that shows a target higher than that of the butterfly PRZ in my ...

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti EURAUD, D,
EURAUD: EURAUD Butterfly
65 0 4
EURAUD, D
EURAUD Butterfly

I like the look of this scenario. Good luck.

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti AUDJPY, 240, Short ,
AUDJPY: AUDJPY 240m Gartley
57 1 1
AUDJPY, 240 Short
AUDJPY 240m Gartley

93.7 would probably be a good area to try a short if it can manage to get there. I'm not sure whether the Wolfe wave that I've labelled is legit or not... but given the likelihood of a decline in the AUD at some point in the not too distant future, it suggests a possible moving target.

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti AUDCAD, W,
AUDCAD: AUDCAD Weekly EW
41 0 0
AUDCAD, W
AUDCAD Weekly EW

The idea here is that B of Y is being formed as part of an ongoing correction. I see the possibility of a triangle here as making some sense given the overall price structure. A running flat or zigzag is also possible. I have trouble imagining either a regular flat or zigzag here, but I suppose anything is possible. Good luck!

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti NZDCAD, D,
NZDCAD: NZDCAD Alt. Bat
18 0 0
NZDCAD, D
NZDCAD Alt. Bat

I've drawn three slopes. There is a horizontal range 0.87-0.96, a shaded channel and a steeper ML. There isn't enough momentum to go to the median line but I think the trend will likely continue above the strong resistance at 0.96. The CAD is likely to weaken as oil's possible anticipated bounce to $55-60 fails to materialize but rather we see a decline to ...

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti NZDUSD, 240,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD
45 0 0
NZDUSD, 240
NZDUSD

The medium term trend in the NZDUSD is up. There's rejection of the ML at the 0.236 fib-retracement. I think price is headed up to test the declining red TL where there is a PRZ formed by two harmonic patterns: a blue Gartley, and a reddish purple Butterfly.

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti NZDJPY, D,
NZDJPY: NZDJPY Butterflies
17 0 0
NZDJPY, D
NZDJPY Butterflies

Price is coiling up between the 50 and 200 period MAs and it's unclear whether the continuation will be to the upside or downside. I've drawn two butterflies one bullish the other bearish. The reddish triangle is a scenario where C of the bullish butterfly is already in place implying a resolution downwards from present price action. Good luck!

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti NZDCAD, 240,
NZDCAD: NZDCAD
24 0 1
NZDCAD, 240
NZDCAD

Looking to short NZDCAD. A retest of the dashed line/descending channel top would be ideal.

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti USDJPY, 180,
USDJPY: USDJPY 180m Triangle
102 0 0
USDJPY, 180
USDJPY 180m Triangle

There is a shooting star candle on the three hour chart that suggests a reversal to the downside is possible, completing the e-leg of the triangle. The ichimoku cloud and the sliding parallel show resistance that needs to be overcome for the pattern to fail. A possible target is the d-point of the Gartley. The fib levels are taken off of c-d of the triangle, of ...

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti AUDUSD, 60,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD EW triangle and Gartley
28 0 1
AUDUSD, 60
AUDUSD EW triangle and Gartley

The B-leg of a possible ABC appears to be forming as a triangle. I've overlaid a possible Gartley.

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti GBPJPY, D,
GBPJPY: GBPJPY EW
28 0 1
GBPJPY, D
GBPJPY EW

It looks like we have a perfectly formed impulse wave underway, that appears to have completed wave three, and a possible triangle is being formed as wave four. Wave three appears to have been extended, suggesting that waves one and five should be roughly equal. I've also drawn a bat whose midpoint was just a touch shy of 38.2, which may invalidate it for some of ...

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti USDCAD, 15,
USDCAD: USDCAD Shark
26 0 0
USDCAD, 15
USDCAD Shark

A simple chart showing that price has closed above the Hagopian line (descending thin reddish TL) suggesting that the rally here will continue (of course sometimes price likes to just follow along the Hagopian line without making any substantial break). The Shark suggests a point where there could be some real resistance reinforced by the 1.28 level, visual ...

fxgraffiti fxgraffiti GBPUSD, 30,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD EW
35 0 0
GBPUSD, 30
GBPUSD EW

Sterling is in a horizontal channel where the price action looks corrective. It's possible that the ABC of was really the end of this correction, but the higher low at suggests an upwards continuation. I've drawn a potential Butterfly. The entry is speculative at this point, it may or may not happen, and given how bearish things have been it could easily get ...

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