haug01

PRO
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Markets Allocation
29 % forex 29 % stocks 7 % indices 36 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
JPYUSD 21% | 3 VIX 14% | 2 NAS 7% | 1 VXZ 7% | 1
haug01 haug01 PRO DXY, D, Short ,
DXY: The relative currency contribution to the DXY surge after Trump
47 0 3
DXY, D Short
The relative currency contribution to the DXY surge after Trump

A temper tantrum is an emotional outburst, usually associated with children or those in emotional distress, that is typically characterized by stubbornness, crying, screaming, defiance, anger ranting, a resistance to attempts at pacification and, in some cases, hitting (source wikipedia). The Trumper Tantrum is a combination of fears about US trade wars and ...

haug01 haug01 PRO VXX, 60, Long ,
VXX: VXX should open up
98 0 3
VXX, 60 Long
VXX should open up

The VIX futures had a strong move up after the market closed. the VIX rtfs/etns should open higher. The high volumes also correlate with improving RSI. It is not clear whether the SPX500 will keep falling with increasing volatility going forward. tntsunrise shows a possible rise in the SPX500 to a shorting zone, then a further fall. VXX may be traded in the ...

haug01 haug01 PRO JPYUSD, 60, Long ,
JPYUSD: JPYUSD is in a bullish ascending triangle
23 0 2
JPYUSD, 60 Long
JPYUSD is in a bullish ascending triangle

There has been massive resistance at 0.0099. Watch for a possible breakout up.

haug01 haug01 PRO VIXM, D, Long ,
VIXM: VIXM long when RSI approaching 50
90 0 3
VIXM, D Long
VIXM long when RSI approaching 50

In my prior VIX ideas, I analyzed VIX value trends. I noted that the mid-term VIX etfs/etns (VIXM and VXZ) tended to trend downwards over time and also lagged behind VIX value movements. After then analyzing VIXM, I noted these observations can be seen quantitatively in the RSI. Note that the VIXM is usually declining with a negative RSI. Successful VIXM long ...

haug01 haug01 PRO VIX, D, Long ,
VIX: VIX Bull Market Behavior
242 0 5
VIX, D Long
VIX Bull Market Behavior

The VIX is now at a 52 week low. This may be a one day event or a several week event. The following data are meant to help guide the decision as to when to buy/go long on the short term and midterm VIX related etfs/etfs. The VIX daily minimum and closing prices were downloaded from the CBOE website. The % of days with daily minimums and daily closing prices ...

haug01 haug01 PRO USOIL, 240, Long ,
USOIL: USOIL has broken its downtrend line
34 0 3
USOIL, 240 Long
USOIL has broken its downtrend line

After a sustained drop, USOIL is now favorable on technical analysis.

haug01 haug01 PRO JPYUSD, D, Long ,
JPYUSD: JPYUSD is retesting critical  multiyear resistance at  0.0099.
33 2 3
JPYUSD, D Long
JPYUSD is retesting critical multiyear resistance at 0.0099.

There is a lot of Yen volatility right now which can precede a crash.I am long in Yen, Gold, GDX. I am mostly in cash.

haug01 haug01 PRO VIX, D, Long ,
VIX: VIX Long:  Quantitative analysis
192 0 4
VIX, D Long
VIX Long: Quantitative analysis

The following data is meant to help guide the decision as to when to buy/go long on the short term and midterm VIX related etfs/etfs. The VIX daily minimum and closing prices were downloaded from the CBOE website. The % of days with daily minimums and daily closing prices were then calculated in three over 3 time periods ((the last 12 1/2 years, the last 9 ...

haug01 haug01 PRO JPYUSD, D, Long ,
JPYUSD: JPY outperforms SPX500, may gain another 5% soon.
45 0 5
JPYUSD, D Long
JPY outperforms SPX500, may gain another 5% soon.

JPYUSD is following an upward channel. FOMC and BOPJ did not intervene.JPYUSD has been much higher in the past and may do so now. Note tntsunrise and others gave a buy signal on this last turn up.

haug01 haug01 PRO VXZ, D, Long ,
VXZ: Long in VXZ
142 3 2
VXZ, D Long
Long in VXZ

The VIX (red line) is near 52 its week lows. I went long on VIXM on 7/21/2016. After further research I found that VXZ has higher volumes (more liquidity). VXZ and VIXM do not decay as fast as the leveraged ETFs/ETNs. They also react more slowly, peak more slowly, and fall more slowly then the VIX and the short term ETFs/ETNs. Looking further back in time, ...

haug01 haug01 PRO JPN225, D, Short ,
JPN225: The Nikkei 225 is hitting  the long-term downtrend line.
156 2 3
JPN225, D Short
The Nikkei 225 is hitting the long-term downtrend line.

After an impressive 8.3% rally, the Nikkei 225 is hitting the daily long-term downtrend line.Watch price action here. Be ready to short JPN 225 and USDJPY. I have not opened any positions yet.

haug01 haug01 PRO PBR, 240, Short ,
PBR: PBR is in an ascending wedge while  USOIL prices are falling.
96 1 2
PBR, 240 Short
PBR is in an ascending wedge while USOIL prices are falling.

PBR is in an ascending wedge while USOIL prices are falling. PBR is testing resistance at $7.50 for the third time. USOIL tested support at $46 for the third time and broke down through that support. It now appears to be in a downward channel. Being new to this, I opened a short position on PBR two days ago and added to it yesterday. Ideally, I should have ...

haug01 haug01 PRO USDJPY, M, Short ,
USDJPY: Yen surging at the possible start of the 2016 debt crash
51 0 2
USDJPY, M Short
Yen surging at the possible start of the 2016 debt crash

Charting the USDJPY along with the JPYUSD shows hoe this currency pair fluctuates in multiyear trends around a mean value. The flight to the Yen as a safe haven (Japan is not a debtor nation unlike the USA) proceeded the 2008 crash and started when the US stocks were overvalued and the housing bubble was being recognized. The concern now is for a global debt ...

haug01 haug01 PRO NAS100, D, Short ,
NAS100: Opened short positions against the Nasdaq
89 0 2
NAS100, D Short
Opened short positions against the Nasdaq

I bought SQQQ 9/16 $21 call options in my margin account and SQQQ in my retirement account near the end of the trading day yesterday. Nasdaq had broken it's uptrend line and the mid-day rally had failed (I shorted Nasdaq first because it is weaker than SPX and the Dow). A 1.25% drop with no late day rally seemed to support having an open bearish position over the ...

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