informedtrades

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Joined informedtrades
informedtrades.com
Markets Allocation
81 % forex 9 % commodities 3 % cryptocurrency 7 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
AUDCHF 5% | 7 AUDNZD 5% | 7 GBPCAD 4% | 6 GC1! 4% | 6
informedtrades informedtrades FXCM, D, Long ,
FXCM: Buying FXCM Amidst the Panic
57 0 1
FXCM, D Long
Buying FXCM Amidst the Panic

I should note that I'm a former employee of the company, and thus am influenced by my perception and my knowledge of the executive team. Basically, in spite of the damaged balance sheet and prospects of regulatory constraints that will limit growth opportunities, I still see a crashed market that offers a contrarian opportunity and an executive team that I know ...

informedtrades informedtrades DBO, D, Long ,
DBO: Buying a Tranche of Oil
15 0 0
DBO, D Long
Buying a Tranche of Oil

I think it's time to start buying oil. We are seeing the market start to show some signs of finding support, as price has been fairly rangebound over the past week -- and even managed to include some bullish pin bars. Fundamentally, I think it's a good value buy as well, as I believe current costs are below production costs for many companies, and significant ...

informedtrades informedtrades CL1!, W, Long ,
CL1!: Oil at Trendline Going Back 15 Years
337 0 4
CL1!, W Long
Oil at Trendline Going Back 15 Years

In addition to a trendline going back to 1998, oil is also at a support level on the weekly chart that was established in 2007 and confirmed again in 2009. It might be time to buy a tranche to go long, with capital still saved for a fall to $30. Learn technical analysis: http://www.informedtrades.com

informedtrades informedtrades USDSGD, D, Long ,
USDSGD: USDSGD Falls to Bottom of Channel
114 0 0
USDSGD, D Long
USDSGD Falls to Bottom of Channel

USDSGD falls to the bottom of a price channel, which is also a horizontal support level and the 50% Fibonacci retracement from the swing low to swing high. We are also seeing considerable USD strength across the board. As such, I'm long at 30936, with my stop at 30665 and my target profit at the recent swing high at 32390. This needs a pullback of about 40 pips at ...

informedtrades informedtrades NZDUSD, D, Short ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD Showing Reversal Candlesticks at Resistance & 50 SMA
68 0 0
NZDUSD, D Short
NZDUSD Showing Reversal Candlesticks at Resistance & 50 SMA

NZDUSD is in a clear downtrend, but has now snapped back to a resistance level that coincides with the 50 SMA. At the same time, we're seeing price action stall and reversal candlestick patterns form. I've got my stop just above the recent swing high, and my target profit is the support based on the weekly chart. This gives me a reward/risk of about 3.5. Learn ...

informedtrades informedtrades AUDJPY, W, Long ,
AUDJPY: AUDJPY Pullback Gives Chance to Jump in on Bearish Yen Trade
52 0 0
AUDJPY, W Long
AUDJPY Pullback Gives Chance to Jump in on Bearish Yen Trade

I've been looking for a chance to jump in on the short yen trade, which has been one of the best trades in 2014 -- especially over the past two months. I finally got what could be the pullback I'm looking for, as AUDJPY appears to be bouncing off support at 98.50. As such, I'm long at 98.50, with my stop at 97.05 and my target profit at 105.14 -- a resistance ...

informedtrades informedtrades GBPNZD, D, Short ,
GBPNZD: Reversal Candlestick at Top of Channel on GBPNZD
83 0 3
GBPNZD, D Short
Reversal Candlestick at Top of Channel on GBPNZD

I split this into two orders, since in my experience reversal candlesticks like this one often don't provide the pullback one would hope for. So I'm short at 2.030905 and at 2.05041; my stop for both orders is at 2.05995, with my take profit at 1.96389. The rationale for the trade is simple; we're seeing a downward channel on GBPNZD, and now we have a reversal ...

informedtrades informedtrades NZDCHF, D, Long ,
NZDCHF: Pattern of Higher Lows on NZDCHF, Plus a Pullback.....
18 0 0
NZDCHF, D Long
Pattern of Higher Lows on NZDCHF, Plus a Pullback.....

NZDCHF has pulled back to support, its current price is above its upwardly-sloped 50 SMA, there is a pattern of higher lows, and a hammer candlestick pattern appears to be in place. Moreover, we are seeing signs of strength on other NZD pairs, most notably NZDCAD. In light of these factors, I'm going long at 75514, with my stop at 75061 and my target profit at ...

informedtrades informedtrades GBPCAD, D, Short ,
GBPCAD: GBPCAD Ready to Resume Donwtrend?
22 0 0
GBPCAD, D Short
GBPCAD Ready to Resume Donwtrend?

Candlesticks are stalling after pulling back to resistance in a downtrend, so I thought I would go for it. If we target the recent lows and put our stop above the 50 SMA and 200 EMA, we can get a reward/risk of around 3.5. Learn technical analysis: http://www.informedtrades.com

informedtrades informedtrades EURAUD, D, Short ,
EURAUD: EURAUD Stalling at Resistance
24 0 0
EURAUD, D Short
EURAUD Stalling at Resistance

EUR is showing weakness across the board, and the setup I like the most is that on EURAUD. Here we see EURAUD at resistance, and showing reversal candlestick as well. As such, I'm short at 46789, with my stop at 48010 and my target profit at 42385. Learn technical analysis: http://www.informedtrades.com

informedtrades informedtrades GBPCHF, D, Short ,
GBPCHF: Reversal Candlestick Forming Off Resistance
19 0 0
GBPCHF, D Short
Reversal Candlestick Forming Off Resistance

In addition to the downward channel we're seeing, which I interpret as the key sign confirming price is in a downtrend, we're seeing what looks like a reversal candlestick on the daily chart (still in formation, at the time of this writing) appearing after a pullback to resistance. I'm short at 51955, with my stop at 52528 and my target profit at 49773. This gives ...

informedtrades informedtrades COPPER, D,
COPPER: Is Copper Going Back to $1.50?
11 0 0
COPPER, D
Is Copper Going Back to $1.50?

Copper has been in a huge downtrend, and this week -- a holiday week in the US marked by lower trading volume -- saw an even bigger move down. The daily chart here illustrates. The big move down on this past Friday is vital, as it set the market decidedly below support at 2.90. So where is the next support level? If we zoom out to the monthly chart, we see a ...

informedtrades informedtrades CL1!, M,
CL1!: Support at Oil at 55.69
40 1 1
CL1!, M
Support at Oil at 55.69

Since we broke the trendline highlighted in the chart, oil has been plummeting. Are we going to find support at 55.69? That seems like the next possible level to me. Where we see bottoming formations develop in oil, I'll be interested in buying, as I think the fundamentals are going to send oil much higher in the long run. View the full discussion and analysis: ...

informedtrades informedtrades GC1!/SI1!, D,
GC1!/SI1!: Where is Support on the Gold/Silver Ratio?
254 0 0
GC1!/SI1!, D
Where is Support on the Gold/Silver Ratio?

Based on the daily chart below, I think a case can be made that support on the gold/silver ratio is at around 71. If the ratio reaches that level in early next year, it may run into the trendline shown on the chart as well, which may reinforce the market's view of that point as a support level. Of course, if the bottom is in for both gold and silver, trading the ...

informedtrades informedtrades AUDNZD, D, Long ,
AUDNZD: 10 to 1 Reward/Risk Setup on AUDNZD
42 0 1
AUDNZD, D Long
10 to 1 Reward/Risk Setup on AUDNZD

High reward/risk setups like this one generally haven't been working out for me over the past year, but I still find the technical setup too good to resist. AUDNZD has fallen back to a well-established support level in an uptrend, and has a well-established resistance level near 1.1290. Learn more about trading: http://www.informedtrades.com

informedtrades informedtrades DE1!, D, Long ,
DE1!: Everything is rallying because of central bank stimulus
18 0 0
DE1!, D Long
Everything is rallying because of central bank stimulus

The chart below plots a wide variety of assets across classes and geographies since the end of October. Since then, virtually every asset class has rallied, with the exception of the Euro, the Yen, and oil. It's worth noting since the end of October, we've seen the following: The Bank of Japan's major stimulus announcement Stimulus talk from the ECB The onset ...

informedtrades informedtrades USDCHF, D, Long ,
USDCHF: Going Long USDCHF as EURCHF Approaches Key 1.20 Barrier
99 0 0
USDCHF, D Long
Going Long USDCHF as EURCHF Approaches Key 1.20 Barrier

The SNB is on record as saying that it will not allow the EURCHF exchange rate to fall below 1.20. Since this grand proclamation in 2011, the SNB has lived up to its word, defending the 1.20 level each time the EURCHF exchange rate goes there. We are currently very close to that level after a marked decline, and technically, we see signs of consolidation that ...

informedtrades informedtrades EURGBP, D, Short ,
EURGBP: Stopped Out on EURGBP, But Pattern Remains
20 0 0
EURGBP, D Short
Stopped Out on EURGBP, But Pattern Remains

I tried this trade a few days ago, but got stopped out. :( The pattern remains valid, in that we are at resistance in a downtrend with reversal candlestlcks appearing. The reward/risk setup on this one isn't as nice as it was on my last trade, but I think the opportunity is still worth trying here. Learn more about trading: http://www.informedtrades.com

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