I have entered a buy stop on USDCAD at 1.3015 with a stop loss at 1.2845 due to the daily pin bar and rejection off of the two lowest red bars, two strong levels of support that price has rejected. If the 1.2845 level is reached before our buy stop has been triggered then this trade becomes invalid and I will cancel the order.
Cable is, in my opinion, a difficult pair to trade based on Fundamentals at the minute. One of two scenarios I'll be trading. If we get a break of this medium-term bullish channel, then I'm eyeing 1.52 area as a short target. If we get a bounce that, at the time of writing, is looking more likely, then I'll be long looking at a target of 1.615 area, confluence ...
One of my ideas for the week is to short the Euro against the Japanese Yen ahead of German GDP figures due to be released on Wednesday. This is forecast to come in worse than previously, and I believe we will still have a lot of risk flows to the Japanese Yen after the UK election, as well as problems in the Euro with Greece and an uncertain U.S. Dollar future.
I'm looking to short Cable at around the 1.4690 level. Reasons: we have some strong US data expected on Tuesday which should create some positive sentiment around the Dollar, and we also have CPI coming from the UK which is expected to be flat. This coupled with the UK elections creates uncertainty in Sterling, and should give some negative sentiment.