jenninbtc

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Markets Allocation
80 % cryptocurrency 20 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
BTCUSD 70% | 7 XAUUSD 20% | 2 ETHUSD 10% | 1
jenninbtc jenninbtc ETHUSD, D,
ETHUSD: ETH vs BTC
655 0 4
ETHUSD, D
ETH vs BTC

Overlay of the two charts. ETH is all in green, BTC is all in blue. Lines are where they changed direction, with orange lines representing days when they both changed course. They seem to have been uncorrelated earlier in ETH's run but more correlated now.

jenninbtc jenninbtc BTCUSD, 240, Short
BTCUSD: Head and Shoulders on BTC
189 0 1
BTCUSD, 240 Short
Head and Shoulders on BTC

Potential H&S in the making. Too early to really tell.

jenninbtc jenninbtc BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: Bull pennant May-July
1312 0 4
BTCUSD, D
Bull pennant May-July

Could break at any time, and with the next bubble looming (in theory) it's more likely for this to break early. This market loves to take pennants and triangles to their termination points though, so we'll see.

jenninbtc jenninbtc XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: Bitcoin block size halving's effect on price
335 0 1
XAUUSD, D
Bitcoin block size halving's effect on price

If anything, the halving itself is associated with a temporary suppression of the price. The price then continues on the same exponential growth trend from before.

jenninbtc jenninbtc XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: Bitcoin's logarithmic growth curve from July 2011-May 2014
724 0 3
XAUUSD, D
Bitcoin's logarithmic growth curve from July 2011-May 2014

Using munkeefonix's combined MTGox-BitStamp chart I tried to find the most accurate exponential growth curve for bitcoin. The curve used by many people now necessarily uses only Stamp data, but yields a line that moves away from the historic price when placed on the combined data chart. A better fit, which includes several other low points along the price history, ...

jenninbtc jenninbtc BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: One last bear hurrah
65 0 1
BTCUSD, 240
One last bear hurrah

This would touch down somewhere around 424, which is on that long term logarithmic growth line including the last two bubbles. If that line breaks we would be in somewhat new territory.

jenninbtc jenninbtc BTCUSD, 5, Long
BTCUSD: Head and Shoulders
111 0 3
BTCUSD, 5 Long
Head and Shoulders

Head and shoulders at Stamp. See if it holds come morning (PST).

jenninbtc jenninbtc BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: Possible balanced triangle on entire 2013-14 bubble
78 0 2
BTCUSD, 240
Possible balanced triangle on entire 2013-14 bubble

Culminating on April 21, 2014 at around 520 USD. Drawn using the Silk Road and Mt. Gox crash lows, and the bubble top to first bounce top. Likely to break up, weakly.

jenninbtc jenninbtc BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: Simple triangles 2
49 0 1
BTCUSD, 240
Simple triangles 2

Same chart as before, but with 375 as the base. Termination would be one month later, in mid May. I think the 530 base is a better representation of the main market movement thus far, but this chart is arguably more accurate and less biased.

jenninbtc jenninbtc BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: Simple Triangles
67 0 1
BTCUSD, 240
Simple Triangles

The breakout from the smaller, green triangle, does not have much room and will likely be small. It terminates around March 14, while the larger triangle looming from the ATH terminates some time in mid-April. Triangles can break at any time, but without any major news I'm expecting this sideways/slightly down movement to continue until termination of the larger ...

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