kaotic363

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Markets Allocation
27 % cryptocurrency 7 % stocks 67 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
FX:XAUUSD 53% | 8 BTCUSD 13% | 2 OANDA:XAUUSD 6% | 1 GLD 6% | 1
kaotic363 kaotic363 BTCUSD, 1D,
BTCUSD: Further digestion of the correction...then LIFTOFF
216 4 2
BTCUSD, 1D
Further digestion of the correction...then LIFTOFF

Bear cycle is coming to an end but painful corrections take time to heal. Likely some further consolidation and chopping around before a meaningful move happens. Don't make any mistakes about it though, BTC is in a major long term BULL and adding on any deep pullbacks is my personal strategy.

kaotic363 kaotic363 BTCUSD, 480, Long ,
BTCUSD: BTC Consolidation Box
471 3 8
BTCUSD, 480 Long
BTC Consolidation Box

BTCUSD going through same consolidation period as the one from July (Worries over hard fork). Pattern now is reflected on correction from China ICO/Exchange Ban and JP Morgan "Fraud" statements. All of this allowing big banks and funds to establish positions from lower prices . All of this of course is MEGA-BULLISH for BTCUSD. Once the breakout from the box occurs ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 LTCUSD, 360, Long ,
LTCUSD: Litecoin looks ready to resolve higher..
298 0 6
LTCUSD, 360 Long
Litecoin looks ready to resolve higher..

LTCUSD looks ready to break out over major resistance of $55 soon. Could fall back into the triangle but confidence is high of a major swing break higher. $100 LTCUSD before the end of the year wouldn't surprise me. Adding to LTCUSD holdings on the current breakout. Also adding on subsequent pullbacks..

kaotic363 kaotic363 BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: BTCUSD - Table Top Breakout
145 0 3
BTCUSD, D Long
BTCUSD - Table Top Breakout

Chart explains itself clearly. Mega Bullish from mid-June consolidation period. Adding to existing long-term, non-traded BTCUSD holdings on the breakout pattern tonight.

kaotic363 kaotic363 XAUUSD, W, Short ,
XAUUSD: GOLD: Clear Breakdown; $1125 next target
109 0 9
XAUUSD, W Short
GOLD: Clear Breakdown; $1125 next target

A few interesting bear cases developing as of the close of this week: 1.) Breakdown confirmed below triangle 2.) Weekly PMO is now on confirmed SELL signal 3.) Breakdown below early May 2017 support gone now Seems like a retest of the December 2016 lows ($1122) is in sight. Expect a rally back to $1175-$1200 in late-July / early-August before a major downdraft ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 XAUUSD, 720, Long ,
XAUUSD: May 2016 = 2017 Gold Long Setup
66 1 10
XAUUSD, 720 Long
May 2016 = 2017 Gold Long Setup

Taking a long entry here as XAUUSD setup looks very similar to last year. May weakness followed by extreme strength through June/July timeframe. Target is $1325 up to the current bull high of $1375. May hit $1380 to trigger buy stops before correcting again for the Summertime. Exciting times...

kaotic363 kaotic363 XPTUSD, M, Long ,
XPTUSD: New Bull Starting in Platinum?
121 11 6
XPTUSD, M Long
New Bull Starting in Platinum?

A few interesting points about XPTUSD and why it might be time to look at long positions: 1. 7-Year cycle in XPTUSD is bottoming out right now. 2. We are seeing a backtest of the initial breakout similar to what happened in 2000-2001 3. XPTUSD production is going to see major cutbacks moving forward from South Africa 4. Above ground stocks are winding down which ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 XAUUSD, M,
XAUUSD: Gold - Long Term Perspective
122 2 5
XAUUSD, M
Gold - Long Term Perspective

The symmetry between gold's movements today and from the mid-1970's through the mid-1980's can't be ignored. At the current juncture, with gold heading down from its early-July highs, we could very well see gold embarking on its Point 6 terminal down to $1000. Thereafter, gold could meander and consolidate between $1000 and $1350 for another 10 years.

kaotic363 kaotic363 XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold - Keeping it Simple..
68 0 4
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold - Keeping it Simple..

Once gold broke its topside resistance in early February of this year, the 400 EMA (on a daily basis) has provided very strong support. In June, prices tagged this level and price began to rally in earnest. We have again tagged this level last Friday and the $1250 area is now showing very strong support and physical buying interest. For time being, we have to ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold should tag its 200MA and move higher..
112 0 1
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold should tag its 200MA and move higher..

Daily MACD is turning down and we are right in the grasp of the usual seasonal correction time period. It would be very healthy and constructive for gold to correct down into its 200MA by the end-March / early-April timeframe and begin to move higher again from there. This could be a very similar replay of how gold started its last major uptrend in early-2009.

kaotic363 kaotic363 XAUUSD, M, Long ,
XAUUSD: How high could gold prices go?
191 0 2
XAUUSD, M Long
How high could gold prices go?

I decided to get together with a mathematician friend of mine who is a long time aerospace engineer by trade. My friend has no inclinations about gold or stocks in general. I mean the guy owns 1 house, 1 car, 1 dog and has the rest of most everything (in cash) stuffed away in US Treasuries. So I thought he would be the ideal person to have a look from a neutral ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Seasonal gold correction on the way..
343 2 5
XAUUSD, D Long
Seasonal gold correction on the way..

Not much has changed since our gold correction commentary post on the 10th except that gold had spike up to $1263 on Thursday after global equities weakness and continued fears about European banks. The fib retracements have stayed pretty much the same except now moving up a bit. For the most part, our analysis has not changed as we still anticipate a move lower ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold correction then... blastoff??
245 0 3
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold correction then... blastoff??

While gold has now backed off after touching $1200 this week, it should be no surprise that prices are starting to correct after a $150 run from the December lows. Early February is also a seasonally known time period for a correct to develop which usually into late-February or March. If we have a look at possible retracement patterns, we could expect gold to ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 GLD, W, Long ,
GLD: Gold's Bucking Backtest
96 0 3
GLD, W Long
Gold's Bucking Backtest

If we take a look at the history of gold movements during its two generational bull markets ,we can easily see that gold tends to make a major retracement in price before continuing upward and establishing new secular highs. In the mid-1970's, just before gold when onto breakout over $200/oz., gold corrected roughly 46% from its previous highs and in the process, ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 XAUUSD, W, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold/USD to resume uptrend and complete 3rd wave higher
67 0 0
XAUUSD, W Long
Gold/USD to resume uptrend and complete 3rd wave higher

Gold (in USD) appears to be trying to breakout from its 4+ year downtrend. In my view, there is solid evidence that gold will attempt to breakout but we need to see the following occur first: 1. 7EMA needs to cross through the 41EMA on the weekly timeframe. 2. Gold needs to breakout and hold over $1200 3. A series of higher highs and higher lows over ...

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