kaotic363

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Last visit Joined 2 years ago
Markets Allocation
11 % stocks 89 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
XAUUSD 77% | 7 GLD 11% | 1 XPTUSD 11% | 1
kaotic363 kaotic363 PRO XPTUSD, M, Long , 2 months ago
XPTUSD: New Bull Starting in Platinum?
97 11 4
XPTUSD, M Long
New Bull Starting in Platinum?

A few interesting points about XPTUSD and why it might be time to look at long positions: 1. 7-Year cycle in XPTUSD is bottoming out right now. 2. We are seeing a backtest of the initial breakout similar to what happened in 2000-2001 3. XPTUSD production is going to see major cutbacks moving forward from South Africa 4. Above ground stocks are winding down which ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 PRO XAUUSD, M, 4 months ago
XAUUSD: Gold - Long Term Perspective
107 2 4
XAUUSD, M
Gold - Long Term Perspective

The symmetry between gold's movements today and from the mid-1970's through the mid-1980's can't be ignored. At the current juncture, with gold heading down from its early-July highs, we could very well see gold embarking on its Point 6 terminal down to $1000. Thereafter, gold could meander and consolidate between $1000 and $1350 for another 10 years.

kaotic363 kaotic363 PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , 4 months ago
XAUUSD: Gold - Keeping it Simple..
59 0 4
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold - Keeping it Simple..

Once gold broke its topside resistance in early February of this year, the 400 EMA (on a daily basis) has provided very strong support. In June, prices tagged this level and price began to rally in earnest. We have again tagged this level last Friday and the $1250 area is now showing very strong support and physical buying interest. For time being, we have to ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , a year ago
XAUUSD: Gold should tag its 200MA and move higher..
108 0 1
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold should tag its 200MA and move higher..

Daily MACD is turning down and we are right in the grasp of the usual seasonal correction time period. It would be very healthy and constructive for gold to correct down into its 200MA by the end-March / early-April timeframe and begin to move higher again from there. This could be a very similar replay of how gold started its last major uptrend in early-2009.

kaotic363 kaotic363 PRO XAUUSD, M, Long , a year ago
XAUUSD: How high could gold prices go?
181 0 2
XAUUSD, M Long
How high could gold prices go?

I decided to get together with a mathematician friend of mine who is a long time aerospace engineer by trade. My friend has no inclinations about gold or stocks in general. I mean the guy owns 1 house, 1 car, 1 dog and has the rest of most everything (in cash) stuffed away in US Treasuries. So I thought he would be the ideal person to have a look from a neutral ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , a year ago
XAUUSD: Seasonal gold correction on the way..
332 2 5
XAUUSD, D Long
Seasonal gold correction on the way..

Not much has changed since our gold correction commentary post on the 10th except that gold had spike up to $1263 on Thursday after global equities weakness and continued fears about European banks. The fib retracements have stayed pretty much the same except now moving up a bit. For the most part, our analysis has not changed as we still anticipate a move lower ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , a year ago
XAUUSD: Gold correction then... blastoff??
242 0 3
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold correction then... blastoff??

While gold has now backed off after touching $1200 this week, it should be no surprise that prices are starting to correct after a $150 run from the December lows. Early February is also a seasonally known time period for a correct to develop which usually into late-February or March. If we have a look at possible retracement patterns, we could expect gold to ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 PRO GLD, W, Long , a year ago
GLD: Gold's Bucking Backtest
82 0 2
GLD, W Long
Gold's Bucking Backtest

If we take a look at the history of gold movements during its two generational bull markets ,we can easily see that gold tends to make a major retracement in price before continuing upward and establishing new secular highs. In the mid-1970's, just before gold when onto breakout over $200/oz., gold corrected roughly 46% from its previous highs and in the process, ...

kaotic363 kaotic363 PRO XAUUSD, W, Long , a year ago
XAUUSD: Gold/USD to resume uptrend and complete 3rd wave higher
58 0 0
XAUUSD, W Long
Gold/USD to resume uptrend and complete 3rd wave higher

Gold (in USD) appears to be trying to breakout from its 4+ year downtrend. In my view, there is solid evidence that gold will attempt to breakout but we need to see the following occur first: 1. 7EMA needs to cross through the 41EMA on the weekly timeframe. 2. Gold needs to breakout and hold over $1200 3. A series of higher highs and higher lows over ...

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