kiwiwalnut

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Markets Allocation
100 % forex
Top Mentioned Symbols
NZDUSD 29% | 27 AUDNZD 13% | 12 AUDUSD 8% | 8 GBPNZD 6% | 6
kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut GBPNZD, 240, Short ,
GBPNZD: Risk Appetite for GBPNZD and other GBP Shorts
27 0 0
GBPNZD, 240 Short
Risk Appetite for GBPNZD and other GBP Shorts

Taken off NU shorts and using gains for this trade. Potential major downside from key risk events. Likely to hear more hawkish RBNZ since inflationary measures have been building and imported inflation likely to kick in soon. Only dampener will be household debt that will continue to weigh on rate expectations since wage growth continues to be mute and ...

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut CADJPY, 1D, Short ,
CADJPY: Hold off on CAD shorts - CADJPY is the pair to watch
15 0 0
CADJPY, 1D Short
Hold off on CAD shorts - CADJPY is the pair to watch

Drivers of oil and oil linked currencies will be in geopolitical risk events and North America output - not inventory data. OPEC output cuts = Asian buyers are turning to North America for their supplies from upticks in lagging export figures and also rising dirty tanker charter rates to US diverging from their SE Asia counterparts (Singapore) North American rigs ...

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut AUDCAD, 1D, Long ,
AUDCAD: AUDCAD - Early Daily Buy Signals Triggered - H & S Pattern?
29 0 0
AUDCAD, 1D Long
AUDCAD - Early Daily Buy Signals Triggered - H & S Pattern?

Starting to have some nice daily buy signals and bullish divergence appearing across different indicators for this pair where the Aussie has taken the worst beating + clear signs of a head & shoulders pattern forming but where neckline will complete still to be determined. 0.97xx looks to be a possible late run as the neckline. A generic play through if H&S ...

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut AUDNZD, 1W, Long ,
AUDNZD: AUDNZD at Critical Support level
47 0 3
AUDNZD, 1W Long
AUDNZD at Critical Support level

1.05 is a strong psychological level for this pair. Will not go into the macro of both countries but the Kiwi has been overly resilient compared to it's brother the Aussie dispute a very similar exposure to China. Will start seeing some passionate defense of the Aussie around this level albeit nothing near the parity levels. Currently drifting at the 1.382 Fib ...

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut NZDUSD, 240, Long ,
NZDUSD: Hold Shorts Swings on NZDUSD - Scalping opportunities near term
49 0 3
NZDUSD, 240 Long
Hold Shorts Swings on NZDUSD - Scalping opportunities near term

Weekly wave count is almost textbook > riding up the correctional B wave if everything carries on as they are now. If so, will be targeting .78 ~.079 within next 3 months before starting to have bearish view all else being equal. Despite a negative carry for long positions, will not have much impact in long swings. Immediately looks like pendant / flag as per ...

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut AUDCHF, 60, Short ,
AUDCHF: AUDCHF Spot Short Opportunity
16 0 0
AUDCHF, 60 Short
AUDCHF Spot Short Opportunity

May have a good short opportunity here.

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut NZDUSD, 240,
NZDUSD: Potential Pendant NZDUSD
30 0 2
NZDUSD, 240
Potential Pendant NZDUSD

.

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut AUDCAD, 1D, Short ,
AUDCAD: AUDCAD Seeing one of 2 outcomes in coming 2 weeks
22 0 0
AUDCAD, 1D Short
AUDCAD Seeing one of 2 outcomes in coming 2 weeks

While I personally am mid term bullish on the Aussie - the only thing holding it up is very strong technical structures. If there are any bulls left in the market, it will be right here and now where they will have to defend it. Any close on the daily past the trendline will mean a quick fall as it will also be breaking: Daily 200 EMA Daily & 4h Fib ...

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut NZDUSD, 240, Long ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD - Upside Risk from Policy and Fed
45 0 1
NZDUSD, 240 Long
NZDUSD - Upside Risk from Policy and Fed

Will have to say that risk for this pair is skewed upwards from a sentiment perspective. Market consensus is that Powell will not mention anything regarding the tariffs the White House plans to announce towards the end of the week, however due to the risk of an impeding trade war, markets will likely overact to any mention of Macro areas towards trade in the Fed ...

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut NZDUSD, 240, Long ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD - Aggressive Long Entry
35 0 5
NZDUSD, 240 Long
NZDUSD - Aggressive Long Entry

Have a flag forming for a consolidating pattern. Mixed bag and this is a political news trade. Let's see how Trump handles Xi and vice versa.... Hoping for some good sparks to fly after their meeting

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut EURJPY, D, Long ,
EURJPY: EURJPY - Consolidating Channel for Post French Election
71 0 3
EURJPY, D Long
EURJPY - Consolidating Channel for Post French Election

Political risk marring the Euro will continue until the conclusion of the the French Election. Marine Le Pen is still the most significant political risk for the Euro and recent price action would confirm that markets are more adverse to this risk than upbeat economic data releases of late. We have the possibility of a bullish consolidation pattern forming here - ...

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut AUDNZD, D, Short ,
AUDNZD: AUDNZD - Wait for the Double Top At the Very Least
44 0 3
AUDNZD, D Short
AUDNZD - Wait for the Double Top At the Very Least

Will look to consolidate on daily grinding down to 1.0775 area before AUD tries for 1.10 again. Aggressive traders hoping for a double top will pile in here but will wait for a fairly large daily candle wick / pin bar to form before I go into shorts as there are upper trend lines to consider. Look for more signs of divergence in your indicators on daily before ...

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut AUDNZD, D, Short ,
AUDNZD: AUDNZD - Holding shorts For Now
51 0 4
AUDNZD, D Short
AUDNZD - Holding shorts For Now

AUD is gunning for 1.10 area basis weekly timeframe and daily structure shows upper trendlines in areas between 1.105 and 1.110. This is the area where I will start looking for shorts as shown with tentative targets. Anticipate reduced upward momentum for a more tampered grind to 1.10 ( if it gets there ) so sitting back and keeping on my radar for near future. ...

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut EURAUD, 240,
EURAUD: EURAUD Potential Retest of Recent Structure
24 0 4
EURAUD, 240
EURAUD Potential Retest of Recent Structure

Euro has been battered of late and overdue for a longer time frame retracement. Potential for long targets to 1.408~ Wait for dips and half an eye on "grexit" talks

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut EURNZD, 240,
EURNZD: EURNZD Inverted S&H
29 0 5
EURNZD, 240
EURNZD Inverted S&H

Potential inverted heads and shoulders pattern. wait for retest 1.4663~ for 3:1 RR Target !: Neck line 1.4830~ Target 2: sub 1.5 area - 1.4960~

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut NZDUSD, 240, Short ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD Looking for Short Signals and observing PA
43 0 6
NZDUSD, 240 Short
NZDUSD Looking for Short Signals and observing PA

Currently still long on this pair as we approach 20th January for the big Twitter loving man's big day. Having trouble digesting the election, nomination processes and 'press' releases as I try like everyone else out there, to figure out what Trump will do with regards to his policies. If Trump is going to pivot his policies toward protectionism and balancing US ...

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut NZDUSD, 240, Long ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD - Long Opportunity
57 1 6
NZDUSD, 240 Long
NZDUSD - Long Opportunity

Potential long for some pips. 2 targets listed

kiwiwalnut kiwiwalnut NZDUSD, 240, Short ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD Building up to a Short
31 0 1
NZDUSD, 240 Short
NZDUSD Building up to a Short

I have tidied up chart and added trade plan - aggressive entries get go at market now for a short. Otherwise can wait for yellow upper TL bounce. Be ware of retest for higher upward moves targeting .725. Will write better commentary after meeting lol

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