kpy90

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kpy90 kpy90 BTCUSD, 1W, Long ,
BTCUSD: Inflection Point
115 0 3
BTCUSD, 1W Long
Inflection Point

After nice bounce off 6k lows, next serious resistance should be the weekly 20ma at approximately 10,100. Both the 3day and weekly stochRSI are beginning to round off their lows, especially the 3day which has already broken out above 20. I feel there is a lot of coiled momentum that built up during the consolidation range of 8k at the 200dma that is now beginning ...

kpy90 kpy90 BTCUSD, 240, Long ,
BTCUSD: Resuming Uptrend
232 0 5
BTCUSD, 240 Long
Resuming Uptrend

The cross/re-cross of the 50/200 EMA on the 4hr chart seems to indicate that the rally is back on. Prior cross/re-cross in late January provided an attractive entry point to ride a strong leg up, and I think going long at this point should be a good trade until at least ~1250 levels, and would get out at that point to wait and see if price can break ATH again.

kpy90 kpy90 BTCUSD, D, Short ,
BTCUSD: BTC Rolling Over
297 2 4
BTCUSD, D Short
BTC Rolling Over

Trying something different and looking at price using Ichimoku cloud - on the daily chart, it seems like we have a lot of empty space between here and cloud support, and price has just broken below both moving averages. I'm bearish in the short term and anticipate a test of cloud support over the next week or so. Would go short here and trade until cloud support ...

kpy90 kpy90 BTCUSD, W, Long ,
BTCUSD: Cup Complete - Handle Forming
259 0 3
BTCUSD, W Long
Cup Complete - Handle Forming

BTC broke through my 950-1000 target and hit ~1130, just shy of all-time high before a serious retrace. I think this was beginning of handle formation that should see us retesting the lows on the pullback before rounding out the handle and breaking out to new highs.

kpy90 kpy90 BTCUSD, W,
BTCUSD: Bitstamp breaks July 778 Highs - Target ~950-1000
196 0 3
BTCUSD, W
Bitstamp breaks July 778 Highs - Target ~950-1000

Bitstamp confirms the cup & handle breakout originally seen on Huobi, moving past prior $778 high. Next serious resistance should be encountered in the mid/high $900's indicated by the upper green line. The exact direction that the price will take is unknown, but my target is now ~980 with some minor/moderate corrections along the way.

kpy90 kpy90 BTCUSD, W, Long ,
BTCUSD: An Attempt at Fundamental Analysis
265 0 3
BTCUSD, W Long
An Attempt at Fundamental Analysis

Although BTC is largely traded and interpreted purely from a technical lens, I think it's important to attempt to outline what (if any) the fundamental drivers of price could be. This graph plots the BTC/USD chart against the USD/CNY chart (I would've used Huobi in place of BitStamp, but it appears TradingView does not have chart data on Huobi going back more ...

kpy90 kpy90 BTCUSD, W, Long ,
BTCUSD: Potential Cup & Handle Completion
220 0 4
BTCUSD, W Long
Potential Cup & Handle Completion

Retrace to middle BB zone @ approx 650 to complete handle then breakout. Recent weekly MACD crossover is bullish.

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