michaelarias

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About me Wave Expert
Joined Australia
Markets Allocation
42 % forex 3 % cryptocurrency 1 % commodities 54 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
AUDUSD 11% | 8 SPX 11% | 8 USOIL 10% | 7 GBPUSD 7% | 5
michaelarias michaelarias PRO USOIL, 60,
USOIL: USOIL - Dont be fooled, be patient.
94 0 3
USOIL, 60
USOIL - Dont be fooled, be patient.

This is a corrective recovery and I expect this pattern to unfold before USOIL continues higher in the start of a C Wave of a zig zag. This is the final corrective wave before the impulsive C wave begins. I will post targets after this pattern has occurred.

michaelarias michaelarias PRO BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: BITCOIN Top Will Be Around $8530
201 0 2
BTCUSD, 240
BITCOIN Top Will Be Around $8530

When the price of Bitcoin hits roughly $8530 this will mark the top of Wave 5 for Bitcoin. Gold will be popular again soon just like USOIL.

michaelarias michaelarias PRO DXY, 60, Short ,
DXY: Final USD drop for now. USD - Short for Wave 5
46 0 2
DXY, 60 Short
Final USD drop for now. USD - Short for Wave 5

4th Wave is now looking complete and has not exceeded the previous 4th wave of the previous wave 3 so it looks like a good short. (Ignore new events.) The target below also marks a support area from a previous high as per previous related idea which wasn't very detailed. What can I say: I've come a long way. Once Wave C is over I am expecting a pretty big rally ...

michaelarias michaelarias PRO AUS200, D, Short ,
AUS200: ASX - SHORT - One last drop in this correction - C Wave.
120 0 2
AUS200, D Short
ASX - SHORT - One last drop in this correction - C Wave.

In what looks to be like the finishing move in this market its Bull VS Bear "Finish Him" announces the chartist. Once this move is over this should signal the end of the corrective period since 2007 in what would of been a 10 year bear market. Minimum downside expectation is 4800 with a stop at 5800. Good luck and safe trading.

michaelarias michaelarias PRO US30, 240, Short ,
US30: US30 - Short - Intermediate Top Formation
86 0 4
US30, 240 Short
US30 - Short - Intermediate Top Formation

This looks like a top to me. 5 up and done. Break the green trend line for a nice ride back down to where this move began as an initial target, I suspect it will drop further but the red line is a minimum expectation.

michaelarias michaelarias PRO GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: SHORT - C WAVE - German Elections Volatility
57 0 2
GBPUSD, D Short
SHORT - C WAVE - German Elections Volatility

This large C wave down has only just begun, wave 3 is next. It should in theory tag the 61.8% retracement before it continues lower. Please use your own method of trading safely during these high volatility events.

michaelarias michaelarias PRO GER30, D, Short ,
GER30: SHORT - C WAVE - German Elections Volatility
139 0 4
GER30, D Short
SHORT - C WAVE - German Elections Volatility

In what should kick off a C Wave down in the Dax this move should also coincide with a move down in the Euro. Support in theory should be around the area of the green dotted line but as always counting a complete 5 waves down should indicate the move is over. In theory a stop should be at the major high above this current pullback.

michaelarias michaelarias PRO XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: Gold in a bear market? - Wave C Analysis
146 0 5
XAUUSD, D
Gold in a bear market? - Wave C Analysis

Gold appears to be in the midst of a bear market in what I believe is a Wave 4 and if this is so then the current Wave would be a C Wave down. Within this C Wave it looks like we are about half way through a Wave 2 flat pattern. Within that flat pattern it appears to be a Wave flat of a (B) Wave flat. Within that wave we appear to be in the {C} wave of a ...

michaelarias michaelarias PRO USOIL, 240, Long ,
USOIL: USOIL - Long Idea plus wave analysis.
180 0 5
USOIL, 240 Long
USOIL - Long Idea plus wave analysis.

I believe the base pattern is complete for oil and I expect to see some upward momentum for a larger Wave C to new highs.

michaelarias michaelarias PRO SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: WAVE 2 Correction Has Begun - Min. 50% Correction ahead
189 0 6
SPX500, D Short
WAVE 2 Correction Has Begun - Min. 50% Correction ahead

The 5th wave since the 2009 (wave 4 AREA) low looks complete so I shorted this market about 2 weeks ago. Background I've been busy dissecting the S&P500\DOW and other markets but mainly these. Based on The Wave Principle I have meticulously pulled apart the theory in every aspect and put it back together to find out exactly where we are today. We are in a LONG ...

michaelarias michaelarias PRO AUS200, 240, Short ,
AUS200: ASX About to crumble? - Short Idea plus wave analysis
39 0 4
AUS200, 240 Short
ASX About to crumble? - Short Idea plus wave analysis

Im expecting a 5 wave move to the downside. Wave 2 looks to be complete finally after a complex flat unfolded. A break of the lower trendline is confirmation a wave 3 down has begun.

michaelarias michaelarias PRO AUS200, 60, Short ,
AUS200: ASX Sell
24 1 3
AUS200, 60 Short
ASX Sell

ASX Sell

michaelarias michaelarias PRO USDOLLAR, 240, Long ,
USDOLLAR: USDOLLAR - Long - Wave count revision.
78 0 7
USDOLLAR, 240 Long
USDOLLAR - Long - Wave count revision.

After what looked to be a completed 5 wave down on my previous analysis I counted wave c as wave 1 - Rookie mistake. It looks like overthrow of an extended wave 5 of an ending diagonal Wave C of a zig zag either complete or almost complete, looking for a sharp move up to around the start of wave C initially to confirm this. On the AUDUSD pair you can see the ...

michaelarias michaelarias PRO USDCHF, 240, Long ,
USDCHF: USDCHF - Long Idea - Waves lining up for a 3rd wave
45 0 5
USDCHF, 240 Long
USDCHF - Long Idea - Waves lining up for a 3rd wave

After a series of 1-2's on the daily time frame this pair looks like its ready to move higher. If support holds this should theoretically kick off a wave 3.

michaelarias michaelarias PRO AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD - Short - Preferred Elliott Wave Count
146 1 8
AUDUSD, 240 Short
AUDUSD - Short - Preferred Elliott Wave Count

This is my preferred Elliott Wave interpretation of AUDUSD. I think we are close to finishing this correction. Stop above .78500 See related ideas.

michaelarias michaelarias PRO USDOLLAR, 15, Long ,
USDOLLAR: USDOLLAR BULLS - Take Charge: if you believe
66 0 5
USDOLLAR, 15 Long
USDOLLAR BULLS - Take Charge: if you believe

What appears to be the end of a zig zag correction followed by a 5 wave advance (Wave 1) followed by a 3 wave correction (Wave 2) is enough evidence for a long position with low risk.

michaelarias michaelarias PRO SPX500, 60, Short ,
SPX500: SPX500 - Time to short?
68 0 4
SPX500, 60 Short
SPX500 - Time to short?

Wave 2 appears to have produced a flat correction which is not usual for Wave 2 but acceptable. If your bearish then placing a stop above 2447.1 is advised. I do expect a zig zig correction to ensue from here if it is a Wave 2. See my related idea for potential targets.

michaelarias michaelarias PRO GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: Short - GBPUSD - Long term triangle complete...Whats next?
82 0 10
GBPUSD, D Short
Short - GBPUSD - Long term triangle complete...Whats next?

This is open for interpretation but I have my sneaking suspicions that we haven't seen the big drop yet. I seriously think that if you look back through the many charts available on the pound back when it was at around $4.60 USD for 1 pound you might see that the wave 4 of the supposed 5 wave decline was a triangle and its probably going to spew out a nice long ...

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