mistertomlinson

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Markets Allocation
80 % stocks 20 % indices
Top Mentioned Symbols
AAPL 73% | 11 SPX 20% | 3 NKE 6% | 1
mistertomlinson mistertomlinson SPX, W, Short ,
SPX: This had better be a crash or I'm broke.
232 1 2
SPX, W Short
This had better be a crash or I'm broke.

The technicals in the chart indicate this ain't over. I've been saying for months the fall in oil prices is a net negative for the US economy. Considering how much money was poured into the energy sector when oil was at $140 a barrel, a lot of jobs were created. The fracking industry has exploded. This year however, these companies' hedges are going to expire ...

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson SPX, W, Short ,
SPX: Major trendline violated and now serving as resistance.
41 0 0
SPX, W Short
Major trendline violated and now serving as resistance.

Market has been finding support along this trendline since 2011. It fell below it in August and is now finding resistance, closing on/below it. I believe we go down from here. I'm shorting a few stocks, have a couple leveraged inverse ETFs and have been trading puts. If we continue down next week, I've got a few more names I'll be watching.

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson NKE, D, Short ,
NKE: Perfect head and shoulders and impending trendline breach.
78 0 0
NKE, D Short
Perfect head and shoulders and impending trendline breach.

NKE has formed a perfect head and shoulders and fell through the neckline on HEAVY volume. If support fails at this major trendline, I'm expecting a freefall. I won't pretend to know much about Nike's business, but I doubt a 28 P/E is warranted. Heavy insider selling is also disconcerting. This stock has PLENTY of room to fall. The market is crashing and this is ...

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson AAPL, W, Short ,
AAPL: AAPL appears to be crashing. Will the market follow?
32 0 1
AAPL, W Short
AAPL appears to be crashing. Will the market follow?

Market breadth indicators have been turning over for months. I'm watching SPX for one last thing before I start shorting everything. Based on a small checklist of indicators I use, I'm expecting the market to crash before the year's end. With AAPL being the most owned stock making up large percentages of professional investors' portfolios, if the market starts ...

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson AAPL, W, Short ,
AAPL: Now is the time to get out of AAPL.
36 0 0
AAPL, W Short
Now is the time to get out of AAPL.

Simple trendline suggests now is the time to get out of AAPL. My theory: The market is going to correct significantly from here and with AAPL being one of the most widely owned stocks, I would expect to see the liquidation start here first. Fundamentals are good, but it doesn't matter, if the market is falling apart.

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson AAPL, D, Long ,
AAPL: AAPL pennant breakout at ER?
256 1 3
AAPL, D Long
AAPL pennant breakout at ER?

I had originally hoped for a flag for a lower risk entry, but this would still be a good place to enter. Measuring implications would suggest ~$153 in early June. My only caveat: major index technicals look really bad, so I wouldn't expect this breakout to hold up in a down market. Apple's ER would be the catalyst. Considering the iPhone 6's success in China last ...

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson AAPL, D,
AAPL: Waiting for perfect entry before ER.
479 3 8
AAPL, D
Waiting for perfect entry before ER.

AAPL has consolidated before the last 3 ERs and broken out thereafter. The chart appears to suggest the same thing is happening now. If so, I would expect a pullback to the major trendline around $116. Measuring the previous move and applying it to the breakout at ER, my price target would be around $143 in late May.

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson AAPL, D,
AAPL: AAPL setting up for another ER breakout?
516 0 4
AAPL, D
AAPL setting up for another ER breakout?

After the last couple of ER breakouts, the price has hit a temporary top and consolidates, pulling back to the major trendline. It looks like the same thing is happening now. Depending on the angle of the decline, $118 or so could prove a great entry point just before the next blowout ER. That price would give AAPL a P/E around 15 depending on EPS. I believe the ...

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson AAPL, D,
AAPL: AAPL post-breakout consolidation.
51 0 0
AAPL, D
AAPL post-breakout consolidation.

Past few ERs have been preceded by consolidation. There were flag patterns before the previous two and a triangle before that. I suspect this is the start of yet another consolidation. If market holds up, I would suspect this will breakout after consolidation.

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson AAPL, W, Long ,
AAPL: Another AAPL ER breakout.
47 0 0
AAPL, W Long
Another AAPL ER breakout.

Chart has consolidated nicely just before 3 of the last 4 ERs and resulted in breakouts. $128 price target.

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson SPX, M,
SPX: Market top?
539 4 11
SPX, M
Market top?

Geopolitical risks. Currency risk. If oil stays low, it's gonna lead to massive layoffs. Take caution. Chart agrees.

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson AAPL, D, Long ,
AAPL: Another ER flag... should breakout Wednesday.
47 0 0
AAPL, D Long
Another ER flag... should breakout Wednesday.

Last ER, we had a flag breakout suggesting $128 in February. Latest flag suggests yet another ER breakout and $132 in late February.

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson AAPL, W, Long ,
AAPL: AAPL flag breakout updated with more info. $128 in February.
168 0 2
AAPL, W Long
AAPL flag breakout updated with more info. $128 in February.

Fundamental info ON chart.

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson AAPL, W, Long ,
AAPL: AAPL October flag breakout. $128 in February 2015.
577 0 6
AAPL, W Long
AAPL October flag breakout. $128 in February 2015.

The measuring implications for this flag pattern suggest a 26 point increase, from the point at which the price broke resistance, in about 4 months. Therefor, I'm expecting $128 late February. This would give AAPL a P/E no greater than 18.74 (that's assuming they only MEET and not exceed Q1earnings expectations). The market is willing to pay 19.03 times earnings ...

mistertomlinson mistertomlinson AAPL, D,
AAPL: Is AAPL preparing to breakout of this triangle?
49 0 0
AAPL, D
Is AAPL preparing to breakout of this triangle?

After 4 days of nasty declines, a hammer at support suggests a long-awaited breakout is still possible, assuming the market holds up.

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