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A rare piece of public analysis, and more a warning rather than anything else after seeing so many Bullish BTC idea's on here.
Lets face it, its exciting that BTC is on the verge of a potential breakout, Volume is low as can be, price is static within its Descending Triangle, something is going to happen this week. But its important that your Bias stays Mechnical ...
Quick Video for my team showing what I expect on EURUSD and how the EMA's I use as confluence will play their part in confirming entry and TP point.
EURAUD had a huge rejection from the monthly resistance range which broke the uptrend and started the potential long-term reversal pattern. Price is peaking on the Right Hand Shoulder right now so we are awaiting a trend-line break and to short the retest for a 900 pip move on a completed pattern.
GA has broken its 1HR mini range trendline and has retested the 61.8 so the downtrend should continue from here, multiple areas of confluence and fibonacci support the theory and a Aussie that appears to be strenghtening. THE Long Term EMA's may cause you some trouble though.
Price reversed at the Monthly supply area with a 5th Wave deeper correction we are now looking at the right shoulder for a completion of a Head & Shoulders formation with a view to a potential 1000 pip down-move. Beware of the Aussie Dollar though fundamentally while the Euro looks fairly Bullish against the Dollar the Aussie does not.
Small Head & Shoulders on Hourly indicates continuation entry on this long term short from Daily Flag.
Notice previous rejections from 200 & 500 EMA's, break of trend and consolidation back upto strong resistance point.
Huge opportunity presenting itself for a Long Trade as price continuously fails to break 82 for the second time.
Inverse H&S Pattern on a Demand Zone on Horizontal and Diagonal Plains
This could go either way right now, look for the Break of the 147 Neckline for a very nice short opportunity on the retest. Alternatively look for Buy confirmations back up-to 150 or even to the upper trend-line for the Wedge Formation.
Double Demand confirmation of Trendline and Support area so the Bias has to be upwards until broken.
We have 3 instances of Demand being hit right now, the 200EMA coming into play on the Weekly and the Daily so we can look Long on price action confirmation. Potential Triple Bottom completion and retest before moving up in wave 5.
Potential Trend-Line Break is a slight worry but with good price action it could be a very nice Swing.
Gold has dropped to just above the $1300 threshold once again - This time in conjunction with the Daily 200 EMA. We could see a nice move up however it may be limited to the 38.2 where it would meet a potential Trend-line break (Retest) before continuing down, on the Flip side of that, the push from the EMA could push it through the Supply at the top for a Long ...
Silver has again reached its crucial lower range end and is in a serious demand area around the $16 area on top of a Daily Trendline and area of support. It also sits atop the 23.6 of the larger move, price tends not to drop below here in recent history look for a Long entry with your stoploss below the 23.6
Price is in a Weekly Wedge and very likely to break out ...
EURGBP About to start the next move up - As it breaks out of its flag formation we can look long on a break of the 200EMA
USDMXN Potential Head & Shoulders in Strong Supply Area on the 1Hr for a Short with a High Risk to reward after a third hit of a Daily Trend line posted a strong Shooting Star
EURUSD Unconvincing in its Break - Flag Formation on the higher time-frames is missing a retest of previous support, not bearish long term until it falls below 1.205.
We see on the Daily price reversing around the 100 EMA (Post Death Cross) upon hitting a Price Reversal Area
Its a game of Cat & Mouse between the Bull & Bears but my Bias is UP.
Something for next week maybe, after failing on the 78.6, clear consolidating Pullback in a downward wedge on NZDCAD looks ready to take off from the Demand zone on the 50% Fib Level in conjunction with hits of the 100 & 200 EMA's.
AUDUSD Has Buy & Sell confirmations on both the 4H and the Daily.